HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The HSI has already recovered to 2.2% above the pre-"reciprocal tariff" level, and the top 10 best-performing constituents have registered an average return of 15.6%.</li>
<li>Despite so, there are still 40 under-performing stocks, with 32 of them remain in the negative zone with an average of 4.8% loss. </li>
<li>Among them, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zto-express-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33488:1" rel="noopener">ZTO Express Cayman (2057 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> look well-positioned to catch up.</li>
</ul>


The HSI has already recovered to 2.2% above the pre-"reciprocal tariff" level, and the top 10 best-performing constituents have registered an average return of 15.6%.
Despite so, there are still 40 under-performing stocks, with 32 of them remain in the negative zone with an average of 4.8% loss. 
Among them, ZTO Express Cayman (2057 HK), Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK), BYD Electronics (285 HK), and Meituan (3690 HK) look well-positioned to catch up.


HK Strategy: What Are Some of the HSI Laggards to Pick Up?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-pharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44224:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK)</a> has launched its H Share listing at HK$41.45 to HK$44.05 per H Share. Pricing will be on 21 May.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jiangsu-hengrui-pharma-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:185190" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a></strong></em>. </li>
<li>The proposed AH discount can be argued as either light or attractive. I lean toward the latter and would participate in the H Share listing.</li>
</ul>



Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK) has launched its H Share listing at HK$41.45 to HK$44.05 per H Share. Pricing will be on 21 May.
I discussed the H Share listing in Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma H Share Listing: The Investment Case. 
The proposed AH discount can be argued as either light or attractive. I lean toward the latter and would participate in the H Share listing.


Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma H Share Listing (1276 HK): Valuation Insights

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a>, a China-based pharmaceutical company, aims to raise around US$1.3bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>JHP Has been ranked as one of the global Top 50 pharmaceutical companies by Pharm Exec for six consecutive years since 2019.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and other deal dynamics in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.</li>
</ul>



Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), a China-based pharmaceutical company, aims to raise around US$1.3bn in its H-share listing.
JHP Has been ranked as one of the global Top 50 pharmaceutical companies by Pharm Exec for six consecutive years since 2019.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and other deal dynamics in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.


Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma A/H Listing - Low-End Is Probably Close to Fair Value

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mabwell-shanghai-bioscience-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44225:1" rel="noopener">Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience (MAB HK)</a> has three commercialized products on the market, but their commercialization performance have been far lower-than-expected, leading to small revenue scale and continuously expanding losses. </li>
<li>Mabwell’s ADC technology is actually outdated. We’re not optimistic about the final efficacy of 9MW2821, which is hard to become a Best-In-Class. Other pipeline candidates need to face fierce competition.</li>
<li>Mabwell’s pipeline actually lack competitiveness in the market. Due to weak liquidity, share price of Mabwell in HK market would be traded at a discount to A shares.</li>
</ul>



Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience (MAB HK) has three commercialized products on the market, but their commercialization performance have been far lower-than-expected, leading to small revenue scale and continuously expanding losses. 
Mabwell’s ADC technology is actually outdated. We’re not optimistic about the final efficacy of 9MW2821, which is hard to become a Best-In-Class. Other pipeline candidates need to face fierce competition.
Mabwell’s pipeline actually lack competitiveness in the market. Due to weak liquidity, share price of Mabwell in HK market would be traded at a discount to A shares.


Pre-IPO Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience - The ADC Technology Is Outdated

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Guangzhou Innogen Pharmaceutical Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Innogen, a China-based near-commercial stage biotech company, is looking to raise at least USD 100 million via a Hong Kong listing. CITIC Securities and CICC are the joint sponsors.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company’s product pipeline, its pre-IPO investors, and management.</li>
<li>Our initial view is that the stock will rely heavily on its sales ramp. Yet we are not seeing signs that the company is at full throttle post-NMPA approval.</li>
</ul>


Innogen, a China-based near-commercial stage biotech company, is looking to raise at least USD 100 million via a Hong Kong listing. CITIC Securities and CICC are the joint sponsors.
In this note, we look at the company’s product pipeline, its pre-IPO investors, and management.
Our initial view is that the stock will rely heavily on its sales ramp. Yet we are not seeing signs that the company is at full throttle post-NMPA approval.


Innogen (银诺医药) Pre-IPO First Take: Good News Is Also Bad News

China

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company Limited operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company manufactures and sells anti-infectives, anti-neoplastic agents, diabetes drugs, and other products. Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group markets its products throughout China.

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Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK)

HK Strategy: What Are Some of the HSI Laggards to Pick Up?

HSI has rebounded above pre-reciprocal tariff levels, with top stocks up 15.6%. However, 32 stocks remain negative, with ZTO Express, Budweiser...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma A/H Listing - Low-End Is Probably Close to Fair Value

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), a China-based pharmaceutical company, aims to raise around US$1.3bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Pre-IPO Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience - The ADC Technology Is Outdated

Mabwell is struggling with lower-than-expected commercialization performance and outdated ADC technology. The pipeline lacks competitiveness,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Innogen (银诺医药) Pre-IPO First Take: Good News Is Also Bad News

Innogen, the leading Chinese company in the GLP-1 space, seeks to raise $100 million through Hong Kong listing, with focus on product pipeline and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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HK Strategy: What Are Some of the HSI Laggards to Pick Up?

​HSI has rebounded above pre-reciprocal tariff levels, with top stocks up 15.6%. However, 32 stocks remain negative, with ZTO Express, Budweiser...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma H Share Listing (1276 HK): Valuation Insights

The proposed AH discount can be argued as either light or attractive. I lean toward the latter and would participate in the H Share listing.

Arun George

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma A/H Listing - Low-End Is Probably Close to Fair Value

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), a China-based pharmaceutical company, aims to raise around US$1.3bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Pre-IPO Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience - The ADC Technology Is Outdated

​Mabwell is struggling with lower-than-expected commercialization performance and outdated ADC technology. The pipeline lacks competitiveness,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Innogen (银诺医药) Pre-IPO First Take: Good News Is Also Bad News

Innogen, the leading Chinese company in the GLP-1 space, seeks to raise $100 million through Hong Kong listing, with focus on product pipeline and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSI has rebounded above pre-reciprocal tariff levels, with top stocks up 15.6%. However, 32 stocks remain negative, with ZTO Express, Budweiser...

Mabwell is struggling with lower-than-expected commercialization performance and outdated ADC technology. The pipeline lacks competitiveness,...