Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group  / Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hansoh-pharmaceutical-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23675:1" rel="noopener">Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK)</a> reported 33% YoY net profit growth to RMB4.4B on 21% YoY revenue growth to RMB12.3B in 2024. Oncology revenue jumped 32% YoY to RMB8.1B.</li>
<li>Revenue from innovative drugs zoomed 38% YoY to RMB9.5B and its proportion to total revenue increased to 77.3% in 2024 from 67.9% in 2023.</li>
<li>In 2024, three key innovative drug candidates entered the phase 3 clinical stage for the first time. Hansoh will continue to focus on R&amp;D of innovative drugs and internationalization strategy.</li>
</ul>



Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) reported 33% YoY net profit growth to RMB4.4B on 21% YoY revenue growth to RMB12.3B in 2024. Oncology revenue jumped 32% YoY to RMB8.1B.
Revenue from innovative drugs zoomed 38% YoY to RMB9.5B and its proportion to total revenue increased to 77.3% in 2024 from 67.9% in 2023.
In 2024, three key innovative drug candidates entered the phase 3 clinical stage for the first time. Hansoh will continue to focus on R&amp;D of innovative drugs and internationalization strategy.


Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Innovative Drugs Drive 2024 Performance; Outlook Is Positive

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Hansoh out-licensed oral GLP-1 drug to MSD. Hansoh has granted MSD a global exclusive license for HS-10535, a preclinical stage oral small molecule GLP-1R agonist.</li><li>Under the agreement, Hansoh will receive an upfront payment of US$112mn, with potential milestone payments up to US$1.9bn, plus future sales royalties.</li><li>Under specific conditions, Hansoh may co-promote or exclusively commercialize HS-10535 within Greater China. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hansoh out-licensed oral GLP-1 drug to MSD. Hansoh has granted MSD a global exclusive license for HS-10535, a preclinical stage oral small molecule GLP-1R agonist.Under the agreement, Hansoh will receive an upfront payment of US$112mn, with potential milestone payments up to US$1.9bn, plus future sales royalties.Under specific conditions, Hansoh may co-promote or exclusively commercialize HS-10535 within Greater China. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hansoh Pharma (3692 HK) - Oral GLP-1 Candidate Accomplished Transaction with MSD

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>Hansoh’s 24H1 results beat the expectations. Product revenue (excluding BD cooperation revenue) would achieve double-digit growth in 2024 full year, among which revenue of Ameile would maintain 20%+ YoY growth.</li>
<li>Total product revenue would be about RMB14-14.5 billion in the future. Based on P/S of 5, market value is RMB70-72.5 billion, which is the lower end of market value range.</li>
<li>There is still certain gap in terms of R&amp;D capability/globalization outlook between Hansoh and those leading biotech in China. So, we think valuation of Hansoh would be lower than them.</li>
</ul>


Hansoh’s 24H1 results beat the expectations. Product revenue (excluding BD cooperation revenue) would achieve double-digit growth in 2024 full year, among which revenue of Ameile would maintain 20%+ YoY growth.
Total product revenue would be about RMB14-14.5 billion in the future. Based on P/S of 5, market value is RMB70-72.5 billion, which is the lower end of market value range.
There is still certain gap in terms of R&amp;D capability/globalization outlook between Hansoh and those leading biotech in China. So, we think valuation of Hansoh would be lower than them.


Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692.HK) - Successful Business Transformation Opens up Valuation Upside

<ul><li>Strong sales growth of innovative drugs in 1H24. Hansoh reported RMB6.51bn revenue in 1H24, including US$185mn upfront payment from GSK regarding the out-licensing of HS-20093 (B7-H3 ADC).</li><li>In 1H24, Hansoh recorded RMB5.10bn (+13.8% YoY) revenue from product sales, representing 48% of our previous FY24 estimate, in line with our expectations.</li><li>In 1H24, 77% of the total revenue came from innovative drugs. Excluding collaboration revenue, the sales from innovative drugs recorded strong growth of +31.6% YoY in 1H24.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Strong sales growth of innovative drugs in 1H24. Hansoh reported RMB6.51bn revenue in 1H24, including US$185mn upfront payment from GSK regarding the out-licensing of HS-20093 (B7-H3 ADC).In 1H24, Hansoh recorded RMB5.10bn (+13.8% YoY) revenue from product sales, representing 48% of our previous FY24 estimate, in line with our expectations.In 1H24, 77% of the total revenue came from innovative drugs. Excluding collaboration revenue, the sales from innovative drugs recorded strong growth of +31.6% YoY in 1H24.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hansoh Pharma (3692 HK) - Strong Sales Growth of Innovative Drugs

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

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<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115).</li>
<li>We are upgrading Korea(KOSPI) to overweight; we discussed May 30 several Financials and other stocks to buy. KOSPI has exploded higher since, and is now reversing its 2-year RS downtrend.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115).
We are upgrading Korea(KOSPI) to overweight; we discussed May 30 several Financials and other stocks to buy. KOSPI has exploded higher since, and is now reversing its 2-year RS downtrend.


Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

China

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company Limited operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company manufactures and sells anti-infectives, anti-neoplastic agents, diabetes drugs, and other products. Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group markets its products throughout China.

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Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK)

Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Innovative Drugs Drive 2024 Performance; Outlook Is Positive

Hansoh Pharma reported 33% YoY net profit growth on 21% YoY revenue growth in 2024. Revenue from innovative drugs grew 38% YoY and its proportion...

Tina Banerjee

Hansoh Pharma (3692 HK) - Oral GLP-1 Candidate Accomplished Transaction with MSD

Hansoh out-licensed oral GLP-1 drug to MSD. Hansoh has granted MSD a global exclusive license for HS-10535, a preclinical stage oral small molecule...

CMB International