Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene (6160 HK)</a> reported 3Q25 revenues of $1.4B, up 40% YoY (9M25 Revenue: $3.8B, up 43%), driven primarily by growth in Brukinsa sales in the U.S. and Europe.</li>
<li>In 3Q25, US sale of Brukinsa was $738.7M, up 46% YoY. For four consequtive quarters now, Brukinsa outpaced its closest competitor Calquence which reported US revenue of $612M in 3Q25.</li>
<li>BeOne now expects 2025 revenue to be in the range of $5.1–5.3B (up 34–39% YoY) compared to the previous revenue guidance of $5.0–5.3B.</li>
</ul>



BeiGene (6160 HK) reported 3Q25 revenues of $1.4B, up 40% YoY (9M25 Revenue: $3.8B, up 43%), driven primarily by growth in Brukinsa sales in the U.S. and Europe.
In 3Q25, US sale of Brukinsa was $738.7M, up 46% YoY. For four consequtive quarters now, Brukinsa outpaced its closest competitor Calquence which reported US revenue of $612M in 3Q25.
BeOne now expects 2025 revenue to be in the range of $5.1–5.3B (up 34–39% YoY) compared to the previous revenue guidance of $5.0–5.3B.


BeOne (6160 HK): Shares Are Breaking Into New Highs. Should You Buy?

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>The medical insurance fund has crossed certain “warning lines”. Therefore, it is inevitable that the measures to control costs at the expenditure end will be further tightened.</li>
<li>We are actually not optimistic about the NewCo model, because domestic pharmaceutical companies may not necessarily be able to share much of Newco's future development achievements in the end.</li>
<li>BeiGene’s 25Q3 results beat expectations. However, there’s no next blockbuster that can drive BeiGene to a big step forward, this is why the market is reluctant to offer higher valuation.</li>
</ul>


The medical insurance fund has crossed certain “warning lines”. Therefore, it is inevitable that the measures to control costs at the expenditure end will be further tightened.
We are actually not optimistic about the NewCo model, because domestic pharmaceutical companies may not necessarily be able to share much of Newco's future development achievements in the end.
BeiGene’s 25Q3 results beat expectations. However, there’s no next blockbuster that can drive BeiGene to a big step forward, this is why the market is reluctant to offer higher valuation.


China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.9)-Medical Insurance “Warning Lines”, NewCo Model, BeiGene 25Q3 Results

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Innovent Biologics announced strategic global collaboration with Takeda for total deal value of $11.4B. Akeso announced that phase 3 trial evaluating ivonescimab versus tislelizumab in sq-NSCLC met primary endpoint.</li>
<li>Celltrion received FDA approval for two additional pediatric indications for Humira biosimilar, Yuflyma. Classys plans to acquire 77.5% stake in JL Health, South American energy-based aesthetic medical device distribution group. </li>
<li>Syngene plans to add a bioconjugation suite at its commercial biologics facility. Cipla and Eli Lilly agreed to distribute and promote tirzepatide in India under a second brand name, Yurpeak.</li>
</ul>


Innovent Biologics announced strategic global collaboration with Takeda for total deal value of $11.4B. Akeso announced that phase 3 trial evaluating ivonescimab versus tislelizumab in sq-NSCLC met primary endpoint.
Celltrion received FDA approval for two additional pediatric indications for Humira biosimilar, Yuflyma. Classys plans to acquire 77.5% stake in JL Health, South American energy-based aesthetic medical device distribution group. 
Syngene plans to add a bioconjugation suite at its commercial biologics facility. Cipla and Eli Lilly agreed to distribute and promote tirzepatide in India under a second brand name, Yurpeak.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 26) – Innovent, Akeso, Celltrion, Classys, Daiichi, Syngene, Cipla

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The new payload story/ADC-engineering platforms need to be verified by big licensing-out deals. If verification is successful, MNCs will pay high price.However, if verification fails, BlissBio's pipeline would be “ignored”.</li>
<li>BlissBio entered into a wind-down agreement with Eisai for BB-1701.In our view, MNC's interest in BB-1701 is decreasing.The possibility of reaching big BD deal on BB-1712/BB-1705 is also not high.</li>
<li>The investment logic of biotech has changed and high valuation is driven by big licensing-out deals. From this perspective, we think valuation of BlissBio should be lower than peers.</li>
</ul>


The new payload story/ADC-engineering platforms need to be verified by big licensing-out deals. If verification is successful, MNCs will pay high price.However, if verification fails, BlissBio's pipeline would be “ignored”.
BlissBio entered into a wind-down agreement with Eisai for BB-1701.In our view, MNC's interest in BB-1701 is decreasing.The possibility of reaching big BD deal on BB-1712/BB-1705 is also not high.
The investment logic of biotech has changed and high valuation is driven by big licensing-out deals. From this perspective, we think valuation of BlissBio should be lower than peers.


Pre-IPO BlissBio - The Pipeline Has Not yet Been Verified as No Deal Has Been Reached with MNCs

<ul>
<li>Hansoh Pharmaceutical entered outlicense agreement with Roche for upfront and milestone payments of $2B+. Leads Biolabs and Dianthus Therapeutics entered into exclusive global license agreement for pre-clinical asset.</li>
<li>Chugai Pharmaceutical’s partner Eli Lilly announced positive results from Phase 3 trials of orforglipron. SanBio Co announced that their partial change application for AKUUGO is one step ahead for approval.</li>
<li>Celltrion launched Actemra biosimilar, Aptozma in the U.S. at ~35% discount to original drug. Samsung Biologics shareholders approved biologics business spin-off plan to transform the company into a pure-play CDMO.</li>
</ul>


Hansoh Pharmaceutical entered outlicense agreement with Roche for upfront and milestone payments of $2B+. Leads Biolabs and Dianthus Therapeutics entered into exclusive global license agreement for pre-clinical asset.
Chugai Pharmaceutical’s partner Eli Lilly announced positive results from Phase 3 trials of orforglipron. SanBio Co announced that their partial change application for AKUUGO is one step ahead for approval.
Celltrion launched Actemra biosimilar, Aptozma in the U.S. at ~35% discount to original drug. Samsung Biologics shareholders approved biologics business spin-off plan to transform the company into a pure-play CDMO.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 19) – Hansoh, Leads Biolabs, Chugai, SanBio, Celltrion, Samsung Bio

China

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company Limited operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company manufactures and sells anti-infectives, anti-neoplastic agents, diabetes drugs, and other products. Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group markets its products throughout China.

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Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK)

BeOne (6160 HK): Shares Are Breaking Into New Highs. Should You Buy?

BeiGene (6160 HK) reported strong 3Q25 earnings driven by Brukinsa sales. With guidance revised upwards its market leader position and pipeline...

Tina Banerjee

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.9)-Medical Insurance “Warning Lines”, NewCo Model, BeiGene 25Q3 Results

Cost control measure of medical insurance fund to be tightened.Domestic drug company won't benefit from NewCo model.Despite BeiGene's strong Q3...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 26) – Innovent, Akeso, Celltrion, Classys, Daiichi, Syngene, Cipla

Innovent Biologics announced collaboration with Takeda. FDA approves two additional indications for Celltrion's Humira biosimilar. Syngene is...

Tina Banerjee

Pre-IPO BlissBio - The Pipeline Has Not yet Been Verified as No Deal Has Been Reached with MNCs

BlissBio's success hinges on verifying pipeline through big licensing-out deal, with the risk of being "ignored" if verification fails. Valuation...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 19) – Hansoh, Leads Biolabs, Chugai, SanBio, Celltrion, Samsung Bio

Hansoh and Leads Biolabs bag global outlicensing deals. Chugai’s partner Lilly announced positive P3 result for orforglipron. Celltrion launched...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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BeOne (6160 HK): Shares Are Breaking Into New Highs. Should You Buy?

​BeiGene (6160 HK) reported strong 3Q25 earnings driven by Brukinsa sales. With guidance revised upwards its market leader position and pipeline...

Tina Banerjee

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.9)-Medical Insurance “Warning Lines”, NewCo Model, BeiGene 25Q3 Results

Cost control measure of ​medical insurance fund to be tightened.Domestic drug company won't benefit from NewCo model.Despite BeiGene's strong Q3...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 26) – Innovent, Akeso, Celltrion, Classys, Daiichi, Syngene, Cipla

Innovent Biologics announced collaboration with Takeda. FDA approves two additional indications for Celltrion's Humira biosimilar. Syngene is...

Tina Banerjee

Pre-IPO BlissBio - The Pipeline Has Not yet Been Verified as No Deal Has Been Reached with MNCs

​BlissBio's success hinges on verifying pipeline through big licensing-out deal, with the risk of being "ignored" if verification fails. Valuation...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

APAC Healthcare Weekly (October 19) – Hansoh, Leads Biolabs, Chugai, SanBio, Celltrion, Samsung Bio

Hansoh and Leads Biolabs bag global outlicensing deals. Chugai’s partner Lilly announced positive P3 result for orforglipron. Celltrion launched...

Tina Banerjee

BeiGene (6160 HK) reported strong 3Q25 earnings driven by Brukinsa sales. With guidance revised upwards its market leader position and pipeline...

Cost control measure of medical insurance fund to be tightened.Domestic drug company won't benefit from NewCo model.Despite BeiGene's strong Q3...

BlissBio's success hinges on verifying pipeline through big licensing-out deal, with the risk of being "ignored" if verification fails. Valuation...