Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The results are pretty much in line with the predictions, except for Hanwha Aerospace which made it to LARGE instead of Hyundai Marine &amp; Fire Insurance.</li>
<li>Assuming that ten names, including Hyundai Marine, were traded in a LONG/SHORT basket with equal weight, the yield from August 17 to the last close would have been 4.6%.</li>
<li>I would still approach with an equal-weighted basket trading until this Thursday. This flow trading usually loses its effect rapidly after rebalancing. So, I wouldn't carry it beyond this Thursday.</li>
</ul>


The results are pretty much in line with the predictions, except for Hanwha Aerospace which made it to LARGE instead of Hyundai Marine &amp; Fire Insurance.
Assuming that ten names, including Hyundai Marine, were traded in a LONG/SHORT basket with equal weight, the yield from August 17 to the last close would have been 4.6%.
I would still approach with an equal-weighted basket trading until this Thursday. This flow trading usually loses its effect rapidly after rebalancing. So, I wouldn't carry it beyond this Thursday.


KOSPI Size Index Migration: Official Results & Trading Approach Towards Implementation

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

Hyundai Engineering & Construction / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Mohammed bin Salman (MBS), the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, is expected to visit South Korea in late October/early November 2022.</li>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the top 14 stocks in Korea that could benefit from his visit of South Korea in a couple of months.</li>
<li>We think that many local investors have been buying some of the 14 stocks mentioned in this insight with the expectation of further positive news from MBS visiting South Korea.</li>
</ul>


Mohammed bin Salman (MBS), the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, is expected to visit South Korea in late October/early November 2022.
In this insight, we discuss the top 14 stocks in Korea that could benefit from his visit of South Korea in a couple of months.
We think that many local investors have been buying some of the 14 stocks mentioned in this insight with the expectation of further positive news from MBS visiting South Korea.


Top 14 Korean Stocks to Benefit from Mohammed Bin Salman's Visit to South Korea in October/November

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.</li>
<li>Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).</li>
<li>Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.</li>
</ul>


This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.
Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).
Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.


U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

<ul>
<li>Hanwha Group announced another large-scale reorganization directly involving Hanwha Corp, Hanwha Aerospace, and Hanwha Impact. Several deal contracts arise, two of which require shareholder approval. However, none grants appraisal rights.</li>
<li>The market responded quite positively to this. Direct parties to the reorganization were Hanwha Corp and Hanwha Aerospace, up 7.83% and 19.93%, respectively, on Friday.</li>
<li>This event has little room for event trading for its size. We have no choice but to approach this event with outright momentum trading, which inevitably increases the risk-reward ratio.</li>
</ul>


Hanwha Group announced another large-scale reorganization directly involving Hanwha Corp, Hanwha Aerospace, and Hanwha Impact. Several deal contracts arise, two of which require shareholder approval. However, none grants appraisal rights.
The market responded quite positively to this. Direct parties to the reorganization were Hanwha Corp and Hanwha Aerospace, up 7.83% and 19.93%, respectively, on Friday.
This event has little room for event trading for its size. We have no choice but to approach this event with outright momentum trading, which inevitably increases the risk-reward ratio.


Compact Summary of Hanwha Group Reorganization

<ul>
<li>There have been more news flow about several major Korean defense companies that could receive as much as 28 trillion won in new orders from three major European countries.</li>
<li>The Poland government could purchase jets, tanks, and howitzers from major Korean defense companies such as Hyundai Rotem (K2 tanks), KAI (FA50 fighter jets), and Hanwha Defense (K9 howitzers).</li>
<li>There is a good probability that the Korean defense contractors may be able to secure a large percentage of the 28 trillion won in new arms exports contracts.</li>
</ul>


There have been more news flow about several major Korean defense companies that could receive as much as 28 trillion won in new orders from three major European countries.
The Poland government could purchase jets, tanks, and howitzers from major Korean defense companies such as Hyundai Rotem (K2 tanks), KAI (FA50 fighter jets), and Hanwha Defense (K9 howitzers).
There is a good probability that the Korean defense contractors may be able to secure a large percentage of the 28 trillion won in new arms exports contracts.


Korean Defense Companies:  Potential Contracts Worth 28 Trillion Won from Poland, UK, & Norway

South Korea

Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. operates as an aircraft parts manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells aircraft gas turbine engine products, aircraft compressors, low pressure turbines, and other products. Hanwha Aerospace markets its products worldwide.

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Hanwha Aerospace (012450 KS)

KOSPI Size Index Migration: Official Results & Trading Approach Towards Implementation

This post looks at the official results of the KOSPI Size Index migration in the September rebalancing and discusses the noteworthy flow patterns...

Sanghyun Park

Top 14 Korean Stocks to Benefit from Mohammed Bin Salman's Visit to South Korea in October/November

In this insight, we discuss the top 14 stocks in Korea that could benefit from Saudi Arabia's Mohammed bin Salman's visit of South Korea in a...

Douglas Kim

U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

This is now the third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes with bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals,...

Vermilion Research

Compact Summary of Hanwha Group Reorganization

This post compactly summarizes the large-scale reorganization of Hanwha Group, directly involving Hanwha Corp, Hanwha Aerospace, and Hanwha Impact.

Sanghyun Park

Korean Defense Companies: Potential Contracts Worth 28 Trillion Won from Poland, UK, & Norway

There have been more news flow about several major Korean defense companies that could receive as much as 28 trillion won in new orders from three...

Douglas Kim

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