Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<p>Our NAV analysis of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10619:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Corporation (000880 KS)</a> suggests NAV of 3,845 billion won (51,298 won per share). This represents a 62% upside from the current price of 31,600 won. The biggest component of the company's value is its investments in other Hanwha Group related companies. Hanwha Corp's 37% stake in Hanwha Solution is worth 3.3 trillion won, which represents 60% of the value of the company (pre-holdco discount).</p><p>With the resumption of the partial short selling of Korean stocks on May 3rd, more hedge funds and other active investors will likely to employ pair trade strategies involving holdcos and opcos in Korea. The pair between Hanwha Corp and Hanwha Solution is the one which have shown one of widest gaps in share price performance in the past year. In our view, there is a good chance that this price gap narrows between Hanwha Corp and Hanwha Solution in the coming months.</p>

Our NAV analysis of Hanwha Corporation (000880 KS) suggests NAV of 3,845 billion won (51,298 won per share). This represents a 62% upside from the current price of 31,600 won. The biggest component of the company's value is its investments in other Hanwha Group related companies. Hanwha Corp's 37% stake in Hanwha Solution is worth 3.3 trillion won, which represents 60% of the value of the company (pre-holdco discount).With the resumption of the partial short selling of Korean stocks on May 3rd, more hedge funds and other active investors will likely to employ pair trade strategies involving holdcos and opcos in Korea. The pair between Hanwha Corp and Hanwha Solution is the one which have shown one of widest gaps in share price performance in the past year. In our view, there is a good chance that this price gap narrows between Hanwha Corp and Hanwha Solution in the coming months.

Our NAV Analysis of Hanwha Corp and A Pair Trade with Hanwha Solution

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

<div><p>The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.</p></div><div><p>Hong Kong saw shorts rise on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smoore-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28241:1" rel="noopener">Smoore International (6969 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (HK) (9618 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao (6862 HK)</a> while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC Holdings (5 HK)</a>. Shorts increased on Real Estate, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples and Materials, and decreased on Financials , Information Technology, Health Care and Communication Services.</p></div><div><p>In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trend-micro-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13172:1" rel="noopener">Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seiko-epson-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16793:1" rel="noopener">Seiko Epson (6724 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-kyoto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5248:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Kyoto (8369 JP)</a> while shorts decreased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honda-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:154:1" rel="noopener">Honda Motor (7267 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ana-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5308:1" rel="noopener">Ana Holdings (9202 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kao-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12933:1" rel="noopener">Kao Corp (4452 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kubota-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12926:1" rel="noopener">Kubota Corp (6326 JP)</a>. Sectorally, shorts increased on Information Technology and Financials, while decreasing on Consumer Discretionary,  Industrials, Consumer Staples and Real Estate.</p></div><div><p>In Korea, there were short positions put on in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15002:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Corp (035720 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-display-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7145:1" rel="noopener">LG Display (034220 KS)</a> while shorts were covered in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-oil-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1667:1" rel="noopener">S Oil Corp (010950 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mirae-asset-daewoo-co-ltd-b50c4d95-1687-46cb-9b58-f79ce0e72670" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12061:1" rel="noopener">Mirae Asset Daewoo (006800 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-life-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2163:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Life Insurance (088350 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-infracore-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3982:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Infracore (042670 KS)</a>. </p></div><div><p>Stocks in Taiwan that saw the highest increase in shorts were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pegatron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12852:1" rel="noopener">Pegatron Corp (4938 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/foxconn-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11950:1" rel="noopener">Foxconn Technology (2354 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yageo-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13212:1" rel="noopener">Yageo Corporation (2327 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unimicron-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18778:1" rel="noopener">Unimicron Technology (3037 TT)</a> while shorts were covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6450:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergreen-marine-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15428:1" rel="noopener">Evergreen Marine Corp (2603 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12688:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics (2308 TT)</a>.</p></div>

The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.Hong Kong saw shorts rise on Smoore International (6969 HK), Tencent Holdings (700 HK), JD.com (HK) (9618 HK) and Haidilao (6862 HK) while there was short covering on Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK), Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK), China Mobile (941 HK) and HSBC Holdings (5 HK). Shorts increased on Real Estate, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples and Materials, and decreased on Financials , Information Technology, Health Care and Communication Services.In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were Itochu Corp (8001 JP), Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP), Seiko Epson (6724 JP) and Bank Of Kyoto (8369 JP) while shorts decreased on Honda Motor (7267 JP), Ana Holdings (9202 JP), Kao Corp (4452 JP) and Kubota Corp (6326 JP). Sectorally, shorts increased on Information Technology and Financials, while decreasing on Consumer Discretionary,  Industrials, Consumer Staples and Real Estate.In Korea, there were short positions put on in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS), Kakao Corp (035720 KS) and LG Display (034220 KS) while shorts were covered in S Oil Corp (010950 KS), Mirae Asset Daewoo (006800 KS), Hanwha Life Insurance (088350 KS) and Doosan Infracore (042670 KS). Stocks in Taiwan that saw the highest increase in shorts were Pegatron Corp (4938 TT), Foxconn Technology (2354 TT), Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) and Unimicron Technology (3037 TT) while shorts were covered on United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT), TSMC (2330 TT), Evergreen Marine Corp (2603 TT) and Delta Electronics (2308 TT).

Asia Short Interest: Smoore, JD, SMIC, China Mobile, Itochu, Honda, Ana, Samsung, Pegatron, TSMC

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>Positive COVID vaccine news has since led to bullish inflections in a staggering number of countries, ACWI-US included. Our current outlook is bullish. Buy dips. In this report we outline key technical levels across markets and highlight actionable ideas within our Financials &amp; Energy Sectors.</p>

Positive COVID vaccine news has since led to bullish inflections in a staggering number of countries, ACWI-US included. Our current outlook is bullish. Buy dips. In this report we outline key technical levels across markets and highlight actionable ideas within our Financials &amp; Energy Sectors.

<ul>
<li>
<strong>The combination of the panic selling due to COVID-19 combined with the consolidation of the Korean life insurance industry has resulted in interesting opportunities to invest in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-life-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:510:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Life Insurance (032830 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-life-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2163:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Life Insurance (088350 KS) </a></strong><strong>at deeply depressed prices.</strong>
</li>
<li>Samsung Life Insurance owns an 8.5% stake in Samsung Electronics, which is currently worth 25 trillion won. Samsung Life Insurance's market cap has fallen to 10.1 trillion won so its 8.5% stake in Samsung Electronics is nearly 245% of its entire market cap.</li>
<li>On 10 April, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kb-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:718:1" rel="noopener">Kb Financial Group (105560 KS)</a> announced that it will acquire Prudential Life Insurance Korea for<a href="http://www.koreaninvestors.com/?p=8052" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> 2.3 trillion won</a> ($1.9 billion).</li>
<li>Following the sale of Prudential Life Insurance Korea to KB Financial, it has been reported that<a href="http://www.wowtv.co.kr/NewsCenter/News/Read?articleId=A202004130002&amp;t=NN" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> KDB Life Insurance</a> is also likely to be sold soon with a private equity firm called JC Partners, which is expected to purchase a 92.7% stake in KDB Life Insurance for about 200 billion won and afterward conduct an additional rights offering of about 300 billion won.</li>
</ul>



The combination of the panic selling due to COVID-19 combined with the consolidation of the Korean life insurance industry has resulted in interesting opportunities to invest in Samsung Life Insurance (032830 KS) and Hanwha Life Insurance (088350 KS) at deeply depressed prices.

Samsung Life Insurance owns an 8.5% stake in Samsung Electronics, which is currently worth 25 trillion won. Samsung Life Insurance's market cap has fallen to 10.1 trillion won so its 8.5% stake in Samsung Electronics is nearly 245% of its entire market cap.
On 10 April, Kb Financial Group (105560 KS) announced that it will acquire Prudential Life Insurance Korea for 2.3 trillion won ($1.9 billion).
Following the sale of Prudential Life Insurance Korea to KB Financial, it has been reported that KDB Life Insurance is also likely to be sold soon with a private equity firm called JC Partners, which is expected to purchase a 92.7% stake in KDB Life Insurance for about 200 billion won and afterward conduct an additional rights offering of about 300 billion won.


Consolidation of the Korean Life Insurance Industry & Panic Selling Due to COVID-19

<ul>
<li><div class="content-highlight">On 11 February, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10619:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Corporation (000880 KS)</a><a href="https://n.news.naver.com/article/015/0004289078" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> announced</a> that it will adopt RSU (restricted stock units) incentive scheme for its top executives. <strong>This will be the first case among the major Korean chaebol companies to adopt RSU based incentive scheme. </strong>Hanwha Corp announced that it will be purchasing 18,012 shares (4.1 billion won) in treasury shares to set it aside for the RSU payment.</div></li>
<li>
<span data-clk="phplus">As part of this RSU plan, the CEO Ok Kyung-Seok can receive his RSU units 10 years from now in 2030 whereas other senior managers can receive their RSU in January 2027. </span><span data-clk="phplus">According to Hanwha Corp, it has adopted the RSU system to encourage its executives to make positive long-term decisions, rather than focus too much on short-term immediate results. Hanwha Group is considering adopting the RSU system on its other major affiliates.</span>
</li>
<li>We believe that this adoption of RSU incentive scheme for its top executives is a step in the right direction since it better aligns the long-term interests of the professional executives with the minority shareholders of the company. </li>
</ul>


On 11 February, Hanwha Corporation (000880 KS) announced that it will adopt RSU (restricted stock units) incentive scheme for its top executives. This will be the first case among the major Korean chaebol companies to adopt RSU based incentive scheme. Hanwha Corp announced that it will be purchasing 18,012 shares (4.1 billion won) in treasury shares to set it aside for the RSU payment.

As part of this RSU plan, the CEO Ok Kyung-Seok can receive his RSU units 10 years from now in 2030 whereas other senior managers can receive their RSU in January 2027. According to Hanwha Corp, it has adopted the RSU system to encourage its executives to make positive long-term decisions, rather than focus too much on short-term immediate results. Hanwha Group is considering adopting the RSU system on its other major affiliates.

We believe that this adoption of RSU incentive scheme for its top executives is a step in the right direction since it better aligns the long-term interests of the professional executives with the minority shareholders of the company. 


Hanwha Corp Adopts RSU Incentives Scheme for Top Executives

South Korea

Hanwha Life Insurance Co., Ltd. offers life insurance services and reinsurance services.  The Company also does insurance against loss business, beverages business, real estate rental, and securities investment business through its subsidiaries.

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Hanwha Life Insurance (088350 KS)

Our NAV Analysis of Hanwha Corp and A Pair Trade with Hanwha Solution

In this insight, we provide our NAV Analysis of Hanwha Corp suggest a pair trade involving Hanwha Corp & Hanwha Solutions.

Douglas Kim

Asia Short Interest: Smoore, JD, SMIC, China Mobile, Itochu, Honda, Ana, Samsung, Pegatron, TSMC

The Insight looks at large short interest movements across HK, Japan, Korea and Taiwan stocks and highlights large increases/decreases in shorts to...

Brian Freitas

Bullish Inflections Around The World

In this report we outline key technical levels across markets and highlight actionable ideas within our Financials & Energy Sectors.

Vermilion Research

Consolidation of the Korean Life Insurance Industry & Panic Selling Due to COVID-19

The combination of the panic selling due to COVID-19 combined with the consolidation of the Korean life insurance industry has resulted in...

Douglas Kim

Hanwha Corp Adopts RSU Incentives Scheme for Top Executives

On 11 February, Hanwha Corporation (000880 KS) announced that it will adopt RSU (restricted stock units) incentive scheme for its top executives....

Douglas Kim

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