Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

Hartford Financial Svcs Grp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (The Hartford) demonstrated robust results for the second quarter of 2024, marking a continuation of its steady performance during the first half of the year.</li><li>Highlights of the quarter include substantial growth in both commercial and personal lines, a solid core earnings margin from Group Benefits, and strong performance across its investment portfolio.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (The Hartford) demonstrated robust results for the second quarter of 2024, marking a continuation of its steady performance during the first half of the year.Highlights of the quarter include substantial growth in both commercial and personal lines, a solid core earnings margin from Group Benefits, and strong performance across its investment portfolio.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

The Hartford Financial Services Group: These Are The 4 Biggest Challenges Which Drive Our Pessimism! - Major Drivers

<ul><li>The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. delivered robust financial outcomes for the first quarter of 2024, demonstrating consistent performance and growth across various business segments.</li><li>The firm achieved notable progress in Commercial Lines, achieving an 8% growth and maintaining an underlying combined ratio of 88.4%, reflecting strong underwriting and pricing strategies.</li><li>Commercial Lines also reported a commendable trail in twelve-month core earnings return on equity (ROE) at 16.6%, underpinning a stable financial positioning.</li></ul>

The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. delivered robust financial outcomes for the first quarter of 2024, demonstrating consistent performance and growth across various business segments.The firm achieved notable progress in Commercial Lines, achieving an 8% growth and maintaining an underlying combined ratio of 88.4%, reflecting strong underwriting and pricing strategies.Commercial Lines also reported a commendable trail in twelve-month core earnings return on equity (ROE) at 16.6%, underpinning a stable financial positioning.

The Hartford Financial Services Group: Initiation of Coverage - Evolution and Expansion in Product Offerings! - Major Drivers

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The SPX, Nasdaq 100, and DJI breaking out to new all-time highs following 3-week consolidations. Russell 2000 (IWM), S&amp;P 400 (IJH), Vanguard ExtendedMarket (VXF), countless other Sectors/industries breaking out also.</li>
<li>This is classic bull market behavior. Considering market dynamics remain healthy, this is all evidence that supports our ongoing bullish outlook.</li>
<li>Software, Data Storage buys: NTAP, NTNX, DBX, VRNS, and CVLT. Investment Banking &amp; Brokerage, Mid-Cap buys: JEF, SF, EVR, MC, and LAZ</li>
</ul>


The SPX, Nasdaq 100, and DJI breaking out to new all-time highs following 3-week consolidations. Russell 2000 (IWM), S&amp;P 400 (IJH), Vanguard ExtendedMarket (VXF), countless other Sectors/industries breaking out also.
This is classic bull market behavior. Considering market dynamics remain healthy, this is all evidence that supports our ongoing bullish outlook.
Software, Data Storage buys: NTAP, NTNX, DBX, VRNS, and CVLT. Investment Banking &amp; Brokerage, Mid-Cap buys: JEF, SF, EVR, MC, and LAZ


Breakouts Proliferate; Bullish Outlook Intact; Small- And Mid-Caps to Lead?

Technicals continue to endorse a bullish outlook. And with the S&amp;P 500 breaking out to new highs yesterday, and insurance stocks recovering from last week, we are benefitting from renewed clarity following the muddled, past two months.In today’s report we highlight actionable ideas in the following Groups:<ul><li>Semis... see page 14-20</li><li>Insurers... see page 8-13</li></ul>

Technicals continue to endorse a bullish outlook. And with the S&amp;P 500 breaking out to new highs yesterday, and insurance stocks recovering from last week, we are benefitting from renewed clarity following the muddled, past two months.In today’s report we highlight actionable ideas in the following Groups:Semis... see page 14-20Insurers... see page 8-13

U.S. Equity Uptrend Resumes; Outlook Remains Bullish

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

This topic has nagged me for some time. Two months ago when the Case-Shiller Home Price Index “made a new high” and after new highs again this week, I’ve been doing back of the envelope calculations based on my property portfolio to show how screwed tracking prices in property investments can be.I believe such coverage of property price performance is wholly misleading and misrepresents real returns for investors and home buyers.A  home and a home price  that was transacted even 10 years ago was a substantially different home to today’s home. A recognized stock price (not DRYS!)  over 10 years has a much better chance of reflecting price movements that correspond to positive and negative returns to the investor directly.The distortion in property prices comes from a slew of adjustments we need to make, and which can shave several percent off a value per year! I’ve used my own property transaction data to work out the adjustments that should be made. There are two main categories which need to be made (with many sub-categories).

This topic has nagged me for some time. Two months ago when the Case-Shiller Home Price Index “made a new high” and after new highs again this week, I’ve been doing back of the envelope calculations based on my property portfolio to show how screwed tracking prices in property investments can be.I believe such coverage of property price performance is wholly misleading and misrepresents real returns for investors and home buyers.A  home and a home price  that was transacted even 10 years ago was a substantially different home to today’s home. A recognized stock price (not DRYS!)  over 10 years has a much better chance of reflecting price movements that correspond to positive and negative returns to the investor directly.The distortion in property prices comes from a slew of adjustments we need to make, and which can shave several percent off a value per year! I’ve used my own property transaction data to work out the adjustments that should be made. There are two main categories which need to be made (with many sub-categories).

Case-Shiller Property Indices Hugely Misleading...and Different from Stocks (LT Invst Windows Tight)

United States

The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. provides a range of insurance products.  The Company's products include property and casualty insurance, group benefits and mutual funds.  Hartford Financial is based and operates in the U.S.

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Hartford Financial Svcs Grp (HIG US)

The Hartford Financial Services Group: These Are The 4 Biggest Challenges Which Drive Our Pessimism! - Major Drivers

The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (The Hartford) demonstrated robust results for the second quarter of 2024, marking a continuation of...

Baptista Research

The Hartford Financial Services Group: Initiation of Coverage - Evolution and Expansion in Product Offerings! - Major Drivers

The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. delivered robust financial outcomes for the first quarter of 2024, demonstrating consistent...

Baptista Research

Breakouts Proliferate; Bullish Outlook Intact; Small- And Mid-Caps to Lead?

Breakouts Proliferate; Bullish Outlook Intact; Small- and Mid-Caps to Outperform? $SPX $QQQ $DJI breakout to all-time highs, $IWM $IJH $VXF,...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Uptrend Resumes; Outlook Remains Bullish

Technicals continue to endorse a bullish outlook. And with the S&P 500 breaking out to new highs yesterday, and insurance stocks recovering...

Vermilion Research

Case-Shiller Property Indices Hugely Misleading...and Different from Stocks (LT Invst Windows Tight)

This topic has nagged me for some time. Two months ago when the Case-Shiller Home Price Index “made a new high” and after new highs again this...

Charles De Trenck

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