Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector, Small Cap Consumer Research

Small Cap Consumer Research

Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector

Small Cap Consumer Research, LLC is a leading company-sponsored equity research provider focusing on the consumer sector (apparel, brand licensing and specialty retailing segments).

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating, $41 price target and projections for Build-A-Bear Workshop with the company announcing 3QFY23 (October) results before the open on Thursday.</li><li>We believe Build-A-Bear remains a key experiential winner for 3Q, driving strong results with an impressive offering of Halloween driven items, key online winners, product expansion to satisfy a growing cadre of adult collectors and materially expanding a new category (Build-A-Bear Buddies).</li><li>We reiterate our Buy rating and $41 price target for BBW.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $41 price target and projections for Build-A-Bear Workshop with the company announcing 3QFY23 (October) results before the open on Thursday.We believe Build-A-Bear remains a key experiential winner for 3Q, driving strong results with an impressive offering of Halloween driven items, key online winners, product expansion to satisfy a growing cadre of adult collectors and materially expanding a new category (Build-A-Bear Buddies).We reiterate our Buy rating and $41 price target for BBW.

BBW: 3Q Preview; Halloween Rocks; Glisten Ready to Roll? Reiterate Buy & $41 PT

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>Based in Hong Kong, Dream International is one of the largest toy manufacturers in the world. It specializes on plush stuffed toys and plastic figures. </li>
<li>Despite the global toys markets going into destocking cycle, the company has generated significant growth in operating profit in the past year driven by strong demand for plush stuffed toys.</li>
<li>If we assume a moderate 20% YoY increase in dividends in 2023, this would imply DPS of HKD 0.48 and this would suggest a dividend yield of 12.7% current prices. </li>
</ul>


Based in Hong Kong, Dream International is one of the largest toy manufacturers in the world. It specializes on plush stuffed toys and plastic figures. 
Despite the global toys markets going into destocking cycle, the company has generated significant growth in operating profit in the past year driven by strong demand for plush stuffed toys.
If we assume a moderate 20% YoY increase in dividends in 2023, this would imply DPS of HKD 0.48 and this would suggest a dividend yield of 12.7% current prices. 


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">POP MART (POP HK)</a> is the largest and fastest-growing pop toy company in China, as measured by revenue in 2019 and revenue growth from 2017 to 2019, respectively, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Pop Mart will commence trading on Friday, 11 December. Pop Mart priced its IPO at HK$38.50 and <a href="http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/news/aafn-con/NOW.1062357/ipo-news" target="_blank" rel="noopener">opened 82% higher</a> at HK$70.00 in the grey market and last stood at $70.00.</p></div><div><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/pop-mart-international-ipo-creditable-performance-in-tough-times" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45653" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International IPO: Creditable Performance in Tough Times</a> we noted that the 1H20 results demonstrate that Pop Mart has navigated a tough trading environment by delivering creditable growth and margin. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/pop-mart-international-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45956" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International IPO: Valuation Insights</a>, we noted that IPO price range is attractive.</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>Our base-case DCF derived price target of HK$43.06 per share. As DCF-based target prices are subject to a wide range of variability, we present a sensitivity table to help investors gauge where target prices could head. Our DCF sensitivity analysis shows that the IPO price continues to provide good upside potential. </p></div></div></div>

POP MART (POP HK) is the largest and fastest-growing pop toy company in China, as measured by revenue in 2019 and revenue growth from 2017 to 2019, respectively, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Pop Mart will commence trading on Friday, 11 December. Pop Mart priced its IPO at HK$38.50 and opened 82% higher at HK$70.00 in the grey market and last stood at $70.00.In Pop Mart International IPO: Creditable Performance in Tough Times we noted that the 1H20 results demonstrate that Pop Mart has navigated a tough trading environment by delivering creditable growth and margin. In Pop Mart International IPO: Valuation Insights, we noted that IPO price range is attractive.Our base-case DCF derived price target of HK$43.06 per share. As DCF-based target prices are subject to a wide range of variability, we present a sensitivity table to help investors gauge where target prices could head. Our DCF sensitivity analysis shows that the IPO price continues to provide good upside potential. 

Pop Mart International IPO: Trading Debut

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">POP MART (POP HK)</a> is the largest and fastest-growing pop toy company in China, as measured by revenue in 2019 and revenue growth from 2017 to 2019, respectively, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</p></div><div><p>At the proposed IPO price range of HK$31.50-38.50 per share, Pop Mart will have a market cap of HK$43,519.8-53,190.8 million ($5.6-6.9 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total net proceeds are HK$4,568.8 million ($589 million). </p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/pop-mart-international-ipo-creditable-performance-in-tough-times" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45653" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International IPO: Creditable Performance in Tough Times</a> we noted that the 1H20 results demonstrate that Pop Mart has navigated a tough trading environment by delivering creditable growth and margin. Overall, we would participate in the IPO due to an attractive IPO price range.</p></div></div></div>

POP MART (POP HK) is the largest and fastest-growing pop toy company in China, as measured by revenue in 2019 and revenue growth from 2017 to 2019, respectively, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.At the proposed IPO price range of HK$31.50-38.50 per share, Pop Mart will have a market cap of HK$43,519.8-53,190.8 million ($5.6-6.9 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total net proceeds are HK$4,568.8 million ($589 million). In Pop Mart International IPO: Creditable Performance in Tough Times we noted that the 1H20 results demonstrate that Pop Mart has navigated a tough trading environment by delivering creditable growth and margin. Overall, we would participate in the IPO due to an attractive IPO price range.

Pop Mart International IPO: Valuation Insights

<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">POP MART (POP HK)</a> is the largest and fastest-growing pop toy company in China, as measured by revenue in 2019 and revenue growth from 2017 to 2019, respectively, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. “Pop Mart” has become the most popular pop toy brand in China. Pop Mart is seeking to raise $600 million (double the original $200-300 million target) at a $7 billion valuation, according to Reuters. </p>
<div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/pop-mart-international-ipo-initiation-state-of-play" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:42200" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International IPO Initiation: State of Play</a>, we stated that setting aside the short-term negative impact due to COVID-19, Pop Mart presents a unique opportunity to gain exposure to China’s pop toy retailing market. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/pop-mart-international-ipo-creditable-performance-in-tough-times" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45653" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International IPO: Creditable Performance in Tough Times</a> we noted that the 1H20 results demonstrate that Pop Mart has navigated a tough trading environment by delivering creditable growth and margin. In this note, we take a first look at Pop Mart's valuation. Overall, based on valuation analysis, we think that the rumoured IPO valuation can be justified.</p></div>
</div>


POP MART (POP HK) is the largest and fastest-growing pop toy company in China, as measured by revenue in 2019 and revenue growth from 2017 to 2019, respectively, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. “Pop Mart” has become the most popular pop toy brand in China. Pop Mart is seeking to raise $600 million (double the original $200-300 million target) at a $7 billion valuation, according to Reuters. 
In Pop Mart International IPO Initiation: State of Play, we stated that setting aside the short-term negative impact due to COVID-19, Pop Mart presents a unique opportunity to gain exposure to China’s pop toy retailing market. In Pop Mart International IPO: Creditable Performance in Tough Times we noted that the 1H20 results demonstrate that Pop Mart has navigated a tough trading environment by delivering creditable growth and margin. In this note, we take a first look at Pop Mart's valuation. Overall, based on valuation analysis, we think that the rumoured IPO valuation can be justified.


Pop Mart International IPO: Valuation First Look

United States

Hasbro, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets toys, games, interactive software, puzzles, and infant products in the United States and internationally. The Company's products include a variety of games, including traditional board, card, hand-held electronic, trading card, role-playing and DVD games, as well as electronic learning aids and puzzles as well as dolls and action figures.

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Hasbro Inc (HAS US)

BBW: 3Q Preview; Halloween Rocks; Glisten Ready to Roll? Reiterate Buy & $41 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating, $41 price target and projections for Build-A-Bear Workshop with the company announcing 3QFY23 (October) results...

Small Cap Consumer Research

Asian Dividend Gems: Dream International

Based in Hong Kong, Dream International is one of the largest toy manufacturers in the world. It specializes on plush stuffed toys and plastic...

Douglas Kim

Pop Mart International IPO: Trading Debut

Pop Mart priced its IPO at HK$38.50 and opened 82% higher at HK$70.00 in the grey market. Our DCF sensitivity analysis shows that the IPO price...

Arun George

Pop Mart International IPO: Valuation Insights

At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total net proceeds are HK$4,568.8 million ($589 million). Overall, we would participate in the IPO due...

Arun George

Pop Mart International IPO: Valuation First Look

Pop Mart is seeking to raise $600 million (double the original $200-300 million target) at a $7 billion valuation, according to Reuters. We think...

Arun George

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