Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>NSE Indices have started a market consultation on dropping stocks that are not a part of the Futures &amp; Options segment from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>This will be done in two phases with a weight reduction for non-F&amp;O stocks in June and deletion from the index in September.</li>
<li>That will result in 11 inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in September and bring in a lot of flow to the stocks.</li>
</ul>


NSE Indices have started a market consultation on dropping stocks that are not a part of the Futures &amp; Options segment from the Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX). 
This will be done in two phases with a weight reduction for non-F&amp;O stocks in June and deletion from the index in September.
That will result in 11 inclusions to the Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in September and bring in a lot of flow to the stocks.


NIFTY NEXT 50 Index Market Consultation: Non-F&O Stocks Could Be Dropped

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this Insight, we review the recent performance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abb-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8703:1" rel="noopener">ABB India Ltd (ABB IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siemens-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6440:1" rel="noopener">Siemens Ltd (SIEM IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/polycab-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27877:1" rel="noopener">Polycab India (POLYCAB IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/havells-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9158:1" rel="noopener">Havells India (HAVL IN)</a>. </li>
<li>ABB posted a strong start, SIEM has a black dot with respect to its recent sale of subsidiary. POLYCAB continues to perform, and HAVL is back to capex mode. </li>
<li>Our picks remain the same, ABB instead of SIEM, POLYCAB instead of HAVL.</li>
</ul>


In this Insight, we review the recent performance of ABB India Ltd (ABB IN) , Siemens Ltd (SIEM IN) , Polycab India (POLYCAB IN) and Havells India (HAVL IN). 
ABB posted a strong start, SIEM has a black dot with respect to its recent sale of subsidiary. POLYCAB continues to perform, and HAVL is back to capex mode. 
Our picks remain the same, ABB instead of SIEM, POLYCAB instead of HAVL.


India Industrials | Quarterly Update - ABB, SIEM, HAVELLS, POLYCAB

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/voltas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19924:1" rel="noopener">Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN)</a> has experienced a decline in revenue due to a slowdown in demand, increased competition, and higher commodity prices. </li>
<li>The Voltas Beko brand has been a ray of hope for the company, with strong growth in demand and market share.</li>
<li>While there may be an upside in volumes as capex kicks in,  but better to be on the sidelines until there is a change in the structure of the industry.</li>
</ul>



Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) has experienced a decline in revenue due to a slowdown in demand, increased competition, and higher commodity prices. 
The Voltas Beko brand has been a ray of hope for the company, with strong growth in demand and market share.
While there may be an upside in volumes as capex kicks in,  but better to be on the sidelines until there is a change in the structure of the industry.


Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Competition Casualty

Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Forensic Accounting

HPL Electric & Power / Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hpl-electric-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36893:1" rel="noopener">HPL Electric &amp; Power (HPLE IN)</a> is one of the key players in domestic electric meters market and domestic on-load, change-over switches market. The company also manufactures LED products.</li>
<li>Forensic overview of the company indicates poor capital allocation in the past, along with cash generation issues.</li>
<li>One must also keep a note of the inherent credit risk, as well as some interesting line items such as software and designs, on the balance sheet.</li>
</ul>



HPL Electric &amp; Power (HPLE IN) is one of the key players in domestic electric meters market and domestic on-load, change-over switches market. The company also manufactures LED products.
Forensic overview of the company indicates poor capital allocation in the past, along with cash generation issues.
One must also keep a note of the inherent credit risk, as well as some interesting line items such as software and designs, on the balance sheet.


HPL Electric and Power Ltd- Forensic Analysis

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Creating Wealth through Alpha and Compounding

Yellowstone Equity

Providing unbiased and independent research on Indian equities to global institutions and individual investors


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Regulatory Disclosure: 
Note that Ankit Agrawal (Proprietor of Yellowstone Equity) is a SEBI registered Research Analyst (Registration No.: INH000007216). Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.

Research Analyst Contact Details:
Address: A-412, Shilp Aaron, Sindhu Bhavan Road, Ahmedabad, Gujarat - 380059
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289

Compliance/Grievance Officer:
Name: Ankit Agrawal
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289
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<ul>
<li>Polycab is a high-quality wires/cables and FMEG brand, benefitting from growing domestic consumption and rising capex led by India gaining foothold in global manufacturing.</li>
<li>Its FMEG business is currently in nascent stage representing just 10-12% of revenues but is poised to scale up exponentially over the next 3 years.</li>
<li>Its Wires and Cables business, despite commanding a dominant 22%+ market share, has been gaining share and is benefitting from strong demand tailwinds, positioning it well for double-digit growth.</li>
</ul>


Polycab is a high-quality wires/cables and FMEG brand, benefitting from growing domestic consumption and rising capex led by India gaining foothold in global manufacturing.
Its FMEG business is currently in nascent stage representing just 10-12% of revenues but is poised to scale up exponentially over the next 3 years.
Its Wires and Cables business, despite commanding a dominant 22%+ market share, has been gaining share and is benefitting from strong demand tailwinds, positioning it well for double-digit growth.


2023 High Conviction | Polycab: A High Quality Play on Rise of India as a Manufacturing Hub

India

Havells India is a multinational fast-moving electrical goods (FMEG) company that manufactures and distributes a diverse range of industrial and consumer electrical products. Their offerings include circuit protection devices, cables and wires, motors, fans, modular switches, lighting, home appliances, and air conditioners. The company is headquartered in Noida, Uttar Pradesh, India, and was founded in 1958.

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Havells India (HAVL IN)

NIFTY NEXT 50 Index Market Consultation: Non-F&O Stocks Could Be Dropped

A market consultation could lead to the deletion of non-F&O stocks from the NIFTY NEXT50 index in September. That means 11 new index members and...

Brian Freitas

India Industrials | Quarterly Update - ABB, SIEM, HAVELLS, POLYCAB

ABB strong, SIEM's subsidiary sale a concern. POLYCAB performing, HAVL in capex mode. Picks: ABB over SIEM, POLYCAB over HAVL.

Pranav Bhavsar

Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Competition Casualty

Voltas is losing market share due to irrational competition, capex can help regain volumes. However, better to wait until the industry structure...

Pranav Bhavsar

HPL Electric and Power Ltd- Forensic Analysis

Forensic overview of the company indicates poor capital allocation in the past, along with cash generation issues, inherent credit risk, as well as...

Nitin Mangal

2023 High Conviction | Polycab: A High Quality Play on Rise of India as a Manufacturing Hub

Polycab is well-placed to see strong earnings growth over the next 3 years starting FY24. We project a 65%+ upside potential, bulk of which could...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

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