Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index / Technical Analysis

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index (TWSE INDEX)

<ul>
<li>The bear market rally that we have discussed since our Sept. 29 Int'l Compass has managed to surpass our price targets, which were YTD downtrends on the ACWX-US and EFA-US.</li>
<li>As a result of these bullish reversals and breakdowns on the US dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield, we are upgrading our outlook to neutral.</li>
<li>Buy ideas on a pullback in: Consumer Discretionary, Energy, and Technology/Tech Services</li>
</ul>


The bear market rally that we have discussed since our Sept. 29 Int'l Compass has managed to surpass our price targets, which were YTD downtrends on the ACWX-US and EFA-US.
As a result of these bullish reversals and breakdowns on the US dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield, we are upgrading our outlook to neutral.
Buy ideas on a pullback in: Consumer Discretionary, Energy, and Technology/Tech Services


Bullish Reversals Continue: TAIEX, KOSPI, AEX, Hang Seng, CSI 300. Buy Cyclicals/Growth on Pullbacks

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meesho-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35872:1" rel="noopener">Meesho (MEESHO IN)</a> raised about US$600m in its Dec 2025 India IPO. The lockup on a part of stake of its promoters and pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Meesho is an e-commerce marketplace, offering a wide assortment of products ranging from low cost unbranded products, regional and national brands at affordable prices to consumers.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Meesho (MEESHO IN) raised about US$600m in its Dec 2025 India IPO. The lockup on a part of stake of its promoters and pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Meesho is an e-commerce marketplace, offering a wide assortment of products ranging from low cost unbranded products, regional and national brands at affordable prices to consumers.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: Meesho Ltd IPO Lockup Expiry - US$5.7bn Lockup Release with PE Investors Well in The Money

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Following the purple patch of growth experienced in the wake of accelerated digitization following the COVID-19 pandemic, revenue growth has continued to slow down during FY2023, for the sector.</li>
<li>Operating margin deterioration has continued, despite significant FX tailwinds, largely due to the inflationary impact of increased employee attrition rates, to record levels, across the industry.</li>
<li>Given weakening near-term revenue growth prospects and valuation levels barely touching fair value levels, we remain cautious on the sector.</li>
</ul>


Following the purple patch of growth experienced in the wake of accelerated digitization following the COVID-19 pandemic, revenue growth has continued to slow down during FY2023, for the sector.
Operating margin deterioration has continued, despite significant FX tailwinds, largely due to the inflationary impact of increased employee attrition rates, to record levels, across the industry.
Given weakening near-term revenue growth prospects and valuation levels barely touching fair value levels, we remain cautious on the sector.


Indian IT Services: Weakening Revenue Dynamics, and Above-Fair Valuation Levels, Keep Us Side-Lined

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>HCL Technologies: HCL Tech (HCLT) posted better-than-estimated growth and a slightly higher margin in Q2FY23</li><li>Revenue growth, at 3.8% QoQ CC and 15.8% YoY CC, is tracking better than last year’s, led by 5%+ sequential growth in both IT &amp; BS as well as ER&amp;D segments</li><li>Q2 revenue outperformance and H2 visibility syncs with upgrade in revenue guidance to 13.5-14.5% CC for FY23E (vs 12-14% earlier), including Services (ex-P&amp;P) growth guidance of 16-17% CC</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HCL Technologies: HCL Tech (HCLT) posted better-than-estimated growth and a slightly higher margin in Q2FY23Revenue growth, at 3.8% QoQ CC and 15.8% YoY CC, is tracking better than last year’s, led by 5%+ sequential growth in both IT &amp; BS as well as ER&amp;D segmentsQ2 revenue outperformance and H2 visibility syncs with upgrade in revenue guidance to 13.5-14.5% CC for FY23E (vs 12-14% earlier), including Services (ex-P&amp;P) growth guidance of 16-17% CCContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: HCL Technologies, Wipro

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The IT Services sector is expected to report resilient growth in Q2FY23 primarily led by the new large deal wins and a ramp-up of deals won in the previous quarter despite likely macroeconomic challenges.</li><li>IT spending in North America and Europe has remained robust due to strong demand for digital and cloud transformations.</li><li>We believe the said demand momentum is likely to remain intact at least for the quarter and don’t foresee any spending being cut in this quarter, at least from the large clients across geographies.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The IT Services sector is expected to report resilient growth in Q2FY23 primarily led by the new large deal wins and a ramp-up of deals won in the previous quarter despite likely macroeconomic challenges.IT spending in North America and Europe has remained robust due to strong demand for digital and cloud transformations.We believe the said demand momentum is likely to remain intact at least for the quarter and don’t foresee any spending being cut in this quarter, at least from the large clients across geographies.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

It & Telecom Q2fy23 Result Preview – Demand to Remain Robust

India

HCLTech is a global technology services and consulting company that provides a comprehensive range of software and infrastructure solutions. The company offers IT and business services, engineering and R&D services, and HCLSoftware products, focusing on digital, cloud, AI, and engineering solutions to help enterprises transform their businesses. HCLTech is headquartered in Noida, Uttar Pradesh, India, and was spun out in 1991.

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HCLTech (HCLT IN)

Bullish Reversals Continue: TAIEX, KOSPI, AEX, Hang Seng, CSI 300. Buy Cyclicals/Growth on Pullbacks

Bullish reversals: Taiwan $TAIEX, Korea $KOSPI, Netherlands' $AEX reversing YTD downtrends, while Hang Seng $HSI and China's CSI 300 are reversing...

Vermilion Research

Aequitas: Meesho Ltd IPO Lockup Expiry - US$5.7bn Lockup Release with PE Investors Well in The Money

A group of investors (Elevation Capital and Peak XV) have launched an INR19bn (US$199m) selldown at a floor price of INR182.08/share, a 5% discount...

Akshat Shah

Indian IT Services: Weakening Revenue Dynamics, and Above-Fair Valuation Levels, Keep Us Side-Lined

In this insight, we take a longer-term view on the 4 largest Indian IT Services companies, analysing recent financial performance, growth outlook,...

Wium Malan, CFA

HSIE Results Daily: HCL Technologies, Wipro

Revenue growth, at 3.8% QoQ CC and 15.8% YoY CC, is tracking better than last year’s, led by 5%+ sequential growth in both IT & BS as well as ER&D...

HDFC Securities

It & Telecom Q2fy23 Result Preview – Demand to Remain Robust

The IT Services sector is expected to report resilient growth in Q2FY23 primarily led by the new large deal wins and a ramp-up of deals won in the...

Axis Direct

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