Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li><em><strong>DH Shipbuilding is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in August. DH Shipbuilding would be the second largest IPO in Korea after LG CNS so far this year.</strong></em></li>
<li>The IPO price range is 42,000 won to 50,000 won per share. At the high end of the IPO price range, it could raise as much as 500 billion won.</li>
<li>The bankers used four companies including HD Hyundai Heavy Industries, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Heavy Industries, and HD Hyundai Mipo as comps for DH Shipbuilding. </li>
</ul>


DH Shipbuilding is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in August. DH Shipbuilding would be the second largest IPO in Korea after LG CNS so far this year.
The IPO price range is 42,000 won to 50,000 won per share. At the high end of the IPO price range, it could raise as much as 500 billion won.
The bankers used four companies including HD Hyundai Heavy Industries, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Heavy Industries, and HD Hyundai Mipo as comps for DH Shipbuilding. 


Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

Samsung Heavy Industries / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>SHI reported robust Q1 2025 results with revenue of KRW 2.49T (+6% YoY) and operating profit of KRW 123B (+58% YoY), reflecting improved offshore project execution and margin expansion.</li>
<li>Management reiterated FY2025 guidance of KRW 10.5T revenue and KRW 630B operating profit, with offshore accounting for ~40% of new orders and a USD 9.8B full-year target</li>
<li>With LNG carrier replacement demand, FLNG ramp-up, and leadership in eco-vessels, SHI’s earnings trajectory supports its 22x FY27E P/E, despite execution and competition risks.</li>
</ul>


SHI reported robust Q1 2025 results with revenue of KRW 2.49T (+6% YoY) and operating profit of KRW 123B (+58% YoY), reflecting improved offshore project execution and margin expansion.
Management reiterated FY2025 guidance of KRW 10.5T revenue and KRW 630B operating profit, with offshore accounting for ~40% of new orders and a USD 9.8B full-year target
With LNG carrier replacement demand, FLNG ramp-up, and leadership in eco-vessels, SHI’s earnings trajectory supports its 22x FY27E P/E, despite execution and competition risks.


Samsung Heavy Industries (010140.KQ) – Offshore Momentum, LNG Tailwinds Justify Premium

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jun 6th. The aggregated short interest was USD0.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Celltrion, Ecoprobm Co.Ltd, Hanmi Semicon, Hlb.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jun 6th. The aggregated short interest was USD0.8bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Celltrion, Ecoprobm Co.Ltd, Hanmi Semicon, Hlb.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 6th): Lg Energy Solution, Celltrion, Ecoprobm, Hanmi Semicon

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Top 3 stays unchanged — HD KSOE beats HHI on consolidated sales, and index rules push HHI to the Plus side since a group sibling’s already in the Top 3.</li>
<li>Plus Universe also looks stable, but HD Hyundai Mipo’s weight drops from 14.12% to 10% Friday — triggering ~₩40B in passive outflows, a key flow trade setup.</li>
<li>₩40B sell vs. ₩60–90B daily turnover, all hitting via one ETF desk (Shinhan SOL) Friday afternoon — flow size could move the tape. Should keep it on our radar.</li>
</ul>


Top 3 stays unchanged — HD KSOE beats HHI on consolidated sales, and index rules push HHI to the Plus side since a group sibling’s already in the Top 3.
Plus Universe also looks stable, but HD Hyundai Mipo’s weight drops from 14.12% to 10% Friday — triggering ~₩40B in passive outflows, a key flow trade setup.
₩40B sell vs. ₩60–90B daily turnover, all hitting via one ETF desk (Shinhan SOL) Friday afternoon — flow size could move the tape. Should keep it on our radar.


Friday’s Cap Reversion in the SOL Shipbuilding Top 3 ETF Sets up a Clean Flow Trade Opportunity

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There could be 2 changes for the FnGuide Top 10 Index and 1 change for the FnGuide Top 10 Equal Weight Index in June.</li>
<li>There will be capping inflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, capping outflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a> and funding outflows for the other index constituents.</li>
<li>A long adds/ short deletes trade has performed well historically for the FnGuide Top 10 Index with positive performance till implementation followed by reversion post implementation in most cases.</li>
</ul>


There could be 2 changes for the FnGuide Top 10 Index and 1 change for the FnGuide Top 10 Equal Weight Index in June.
There will be capping inflows for Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), capping outflows for SK Hynix (000660 KS) and funding outflows for the other index constituents.
A long adds/ short deletes trade has performed well historically for the FnGuide Top 10 Index with positive performance till implementation followed by reversion post implementation in most cases.


FnGuide Top 10 & Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Outperformance Continues

South Korea

HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. operates as a shipbuilding company. The Company provides naval shipbuilding, industrial shipbuilding, crude oil tanker, bulk carrier, container carrier, and other related services. HD Hyundai Heavy Industries also offers offshore and engineering, engine and machinery, offshore, industrial, and marine plant services.

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HD Hyundai Heavy Industries (329180 KS)

DH Shipbuilding IPO Preview

DH Shipbuilding is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in August. DH Shipbuilding would be the second largest IPO in Korea after LG CNS so...

Douglas Kim

Samsung Heavy Industries (010140.KQ) – Offshore Momentum, LNG Tailwinds Justify Premium

SHI posts strong Q1 results, reaffirms FY2025 guidance with focus on offshore projects and LNG carrier demand driving earnings growth.

Rahul Jain

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 6th): Lg Energy Solution, Celltrion, Ecoprobm, Hanmi Semicon

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Celltrion, Ecoprobm Co.Ltd,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Friday’s Cap Reversion in the SOL Shipbuilding Top 3 ETF Sets up a Clean Flow Trade Opportunity

This post breaks down Friday’s cap reversion in the SOL Shipbuilding Top 3 ETF — a setup that presents a clear flow trade opportunity.

Sanghyun Park

FnGuide Top 10 & Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Outperformance Continues

There could be 2 changes for the FnGuide Top 10 Index and 1 change for the FnGuide Top 10 Equal Weight Index in June. The forecast adds have...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

DH Shipbuilding IPO Preview

DH Shipbuilding is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in August. DH Shipbuilding would be the second largest IPO in Korea after LG CNS so...

Douglas Kim

Samsung Heavy Industries (010140.KQ) – Offshore Momentum, LNG Tailwinds Justify Premium

​SHI posts strong Q1 results, reaffirms FY2025 guidance with focus on offshore projects and LNG carrier demand driving earnings growth.

Rahul Jain

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 6th): Lg Energy Solution, Celltrion, Ecoprobm, Hanmi Semicon

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Celltrion, Ecoprobm Co.Ltd,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Friday’s Cap Reversion in the SOL Shipbuilding Top 3 ETF Sets up a Clean Flow Trade Opportunity

This post breaks down Friday’s cap reversion in the SOL Shipbuilding Top 3 ETF — a setup that presents a clear flow trade opportunity.

Sanghyun Park

FnGuide Top 10 & Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Outperformance Continues

There could be 2 changes for the FnGuide Top 10 Index and 1 change for the FnGuide Top 10 Equal Weight Index in June. The forecast adds have...

Brian Freitas

SHI posts strong Q1 results, reaffirms FY2025 guidance with focus on offshore projects and LNG carrier demand driving earnings growth.