Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 6 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a>, 16 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index, and 33 changes for the NIFTY Smallcap 250 Index.</li>
<li>The largest passive flows are in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index</a> changes but there are a lot of active assets tracking the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index.</li>
<li>The outright adds to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index</a> and the Nifty Midcap 150 Index have outperformed the outright deletes over the last few months.</li>
</ul>


There are 6 changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX), 16 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index, and 33 changes for the NIFTY Smallcap 250 Index.
The largest passive flows are in the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index changes but there are a lot of active assets tracking the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index.
The outright adds to the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index and the Nifty Midcap 150 Index have outperformed the outright deletes over the last few months.


NIFTY Family Index Rebalance: Over US$1.7bn to Trade Across Indices

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the <em>next</em> 50 largest names.</li>
<li>Here we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices during the March 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see no changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100 (and NIFTY Next 50).</li>
</ul>


NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
Here we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices during the March 2026 index rebal event.
We see no changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100 (and NIFTY Next 50).


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar26: Five Changes and US$367mn One-Way Flow NIFTY Next 50

Authum Investment & Infrastructure / Index Rebalance

Authum Investment & Infrastructure (AIIL IN)

<ul>
<li>With the review period now complete, there could be 15 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 9.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 26.5bn (US$290m). With over US$43bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.</li>
<li>Removing the newly listed stocks and upward/downward migrations, the remaining potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions over the last 6 months. Near-term performance has suffered.</li>
</ul>


With the review period now complete, there could be 15 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the March rebalance.
Estimated one-way turnover is 9.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 26.5bn (US$290m). With over US$43bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.
Removing the newly listed stocks and upward/downward migrations, the remaining potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions over the last 6 months. Near-term performance has suffered.


NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Potential Changes in March

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

National Securities Depository / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-securities-depository-ltd-nsdl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39939:1" rel="noopener">NSDL (NSDL IN)</a> raised around US$460m in its India IPO. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>It is the largest depository in India in terms of number of issuers, number of active instruments, market share in demat value of settlement volume and value of assets.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



NSDL (NSDL IN) raised around US$460m in its India IPO. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
It is the largest depository in India in terms of number of issuers, number of active instruments, market share in demat value of settlement volume and value of assets.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: NSDL IPO Lockup - US$1.6bn Lockup Release with Most Sitting on 10x Gains

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-June.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in flow from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 19 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 8 could have passive outflows in February.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-June.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in flow from passive trackers.
Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 19 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 8 could have passive outflows in February.


India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February 2026

India

HDFC Asset Management is a leading Indian investment manager, serving as the asset management arm of HDFC Bank. It provides a comprehensive suite of savings and investment products, including mutual funds, portfolio management services (PMS), and alternative investment funds (AIF) across various asset classes. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and was founded in 1999 (commenced operations in 2000).

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HDFC Asset Management (HDFCAMC IN)

NIFTY Family Index Rebalance: Over US$1.7bn to Trade Across Indices

There are plenty of changes to the NIFTY family of indices in March. The net round-trip trade across all indices is estimated at INR 157.7bn...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar26: Five Changes and US$367mn One-Way Flow NIFTY Next 50

These are our final expectations for ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY March 2026 index review. The reference period ended on 31st January 2026. We expect...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Potential Changes in March

There could be 15 changes in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 9.8% and round-trip trade is INR 26.5bn. With over US$43bn tracking the index...

Brian Freitas

Aequitas: NSDL IPO Lockup - US$1.6bn Lockup Release with Most Sitting on 10x Gains

NSDL (NSDL IN) raised around US$460m in its India IPO. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon, who are all sitting on at least...

Sumeet Singh

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February 2026

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices in February. Passive trackers will need to...

Brian Freitas

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