Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Foreign shareholding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> has dropped to 54.83% and that results in foreign room crossing the 'magical' 25% mark.</li>
<li>The increase in foreign room could lead to passive trackers of a global index needing to buy 256m shares (US$5.3bn; 11.5x ADV) at the end of August.</li>
<li>There will definitely be positioning in the stock but there should still be upside in the stock. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:559:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (ADR) (HDB US)</a> line was up 4.5% overnight.</li>
</ul>


Foreign shareholding in HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) has dropped to 54.83% and that results in foreign room crossing the 'magical' 25% mark.
The increase in foreign room could lead to passive trackers of a global index needing to buy 256m shares (US$5.3bn; 11.5x ADV) at the end of August.
There will definitely be positioning in the stock but there should still be upside in the stock. The HDFC Bank (ADR) (HDB US) line was up 4.5% overnight.


HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN): Foreign Room Crosses 25%; Index Implications & Positioning for US$5bn+ Buying

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>India Inc. leaders have been outperformers as compared to global peers on the back of strong ROE and EPS growth over the years.</li>
<li>India Inc has a higher % of companies with better RoE than the rest of the world.</li>
<li>Key takeaways for investors: Avoid macro noise, focus on fundamentals with peer comparison</li>
</ul>


India Inc. leaders have been outperformers as compared to global peers on the back of strong ROE and EPS growth over the years.
India Inc has a higher % of companies with better RoE than the rest of the world.
Key takeaways for investors: Avoid macro noise, focus on fundamentals with peer comparison


Chartered Insights: Why Indian Businesses Outperform: A Data-Driven Perspective

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> 's operating engine has decelerated across loan growth, NII, and productivity, while provisioning has turned volatile and ROE/ROA declined faster than ICICI or SBI.</li>
<li>Over the recent period, governance concerns compounded: whistleblower complaints nearly doubled, the chairman resigned citing unspecified ethics concerns, and the CEO opted not to seek reappointment.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> remains the sole laggard in a global peer set, with no signs the trend is turning and hence, capital probably is better deployed exploring opportunities globally.</li>
</ul>



HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) 's operating engine has decelerated across loan growth, NII, and productivity, while provisioning has turned volatile and ROE/ROA declined faster than ICICI or SBI.
Over the recent period, governance concerns compounded: whistleblower complaints nearly doubled, the chairman resigned citing unspecified ethics concerns, and the CEO opted not to seek reappointment.

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) remains the sole laggard in a global peer set, with no signs the trend is turning and hence, capital probably is better deployed exploring opportunities globally.


HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) | Signals the Board & Investors Ignored

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Jio Platforms Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jio-platforms-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50269:1" rel="noopener">Jio Platforms</a> is looking to raise up to US$3.75bn in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Jio Platforms Ltd (JPL) is a technology and digital services platform company promoted by Reliance Industries, built on a proprietary digital technology stack and pan-India connectivity infrastructure.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and other deal dynamics in our previous note. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



Jio Platforms is looking to raise up to US$3.75bn in its upcoming India IPO.
Jio Platforms Ltd (JPL) is a technology and digital services platform company promoted by Reliance Industries, built on a proprietary digital technology stack and pan-India connectivity infrastructure.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and other deal dynamics in our previous note. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.


Aequitas: Jio Platforms Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>New HDFC Bank appears to have far better returns and credit metrics that large Asian peers</li>
<li>Pro-Forma amalgamation puts HDFC Bank as 2nd largest bank in Asia Pacific in market cap </li>
<li>Comparably large banks in Asia are concentrated in China, where credit metrics are opaque</li>
</ul>


New HDFC Bank appears to have far better returns and credit metrics that large Asian peers
Pro-Forma amalgamation puts HDFC Bank as 2nd largest bank in Asia Pacific in market cap 
Comparably large banks in Asia are concentrated in China, where credit metrics are opaque


HDFC Bank - Ranks 2nd After Merger Compared With Asia Pacific Banks

India

HDFC Bank Ltd. offers a wide range of services to the global corporate sector. The Bank provides corporate banking and custodial services and is active in the treasury and capital markets. HDFC also markets project advisory services and capital market products such as Global Deposit Receipts, Euro currency loans, and Euro currency bonds.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

HDFC Bank (ADR) (HDB US)

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN): Foreign Room Crosses 25%; Index Implications & Positioning for US$5bn+ Buying

HDFC Bank announced its June-end shareholding last evening. Foreign room is higher than 25% and the ADR jumped 4.5% overnight. Passive trackers...

Brian Freitas

Chartered Insights: Why Indian Businesses Outperform: A Data-Driven Perspective

Indian companies have outperformed global peers with strong ROE and EPS growth, emphasizing the importance of focusing on fundamentals and peer...

Nimish Maheshwari

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) | Signals the Board & Investors Ignored

A chairman's abrupt exit. Whistleblowers up 82%. Decelerating growth. HDFC Bank's numbers were flashing red — the board and bulls looked away.

Pranav Bhavsar

Aequitas: Jio Platforms Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

Jio Platforms is looking to raise up to US$3.75bn in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

HDFC Bank - Ranks 2nd After Merger Compared With Asia Pacific Banks

The merger is now done, and this is more relevant, highlighting now large HDFC Bank is now in Asia Pacific, not only in India.

Daniel Tabbush

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN): Foreign Room Crosses 25%; Index Implications & Positioning for US$5bn+ Buying

HDFC Bank announced its June-end shareholding last evening. Foreign room is higher than 25% and the ADR jumped 4.5% overnight. Passive trackers...

Brian Freitas

Chartered Insights: Why Indian Businesses Outperform: A Data-Driven Perspective

​Indian companies have outperformed global peers with strong ROE and EPS growth, emphasizing the importance of focusing on fundamentals and peer...

Nimish Maheshwari

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) | Signals the Board & Investors Ignored

A chairman's abrupt exit. Whistleblowers up 82%. Decelerating growth. HDFC Bank's numbers were flashing red — the board and bulls looked away.

Pranav Bhavsar

Aequitas: Jio Platforms Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

Jio Platforms is looking to raise up to US$3.75bn in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

HDFC Bank - Ranks 2nd After Merger Compared With Asia Pacific Banks

The merger is now done, and this is more relevant, highlighting now large HDFC Bank is now in Asia Pacific, not only in India.

Daniel Tabbush

Indian companies have outperformed global peers with strong ROE and EPS growth, emphasizing the importance of focusing on fundamentals and peer...