Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Creating Wealth through Alpha and Compounding

Yellowstone Equity

Providing unbiased and independent research on Indian equities to global institutions and individual investors


-------------
Regulatory Disclosure: 
Note that Ankit Agrawal (Proprietor of Yellowstone Equity) is a SEBI registered Research Analyst (Registration No.: INH000007216). Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.

Research Analyst Contact Details:
Address: A-412, Shilp Aaron, Sindhu Bhavan Road, Ahmedabad, Gujarat - 380059
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289

Compliance/Grievance Officer:
Name: Ankit Agrawal
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289
-------------

Equity Bottom-Up

HealthCare Global Enterprises / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>HCG ended FY23 with decent profitability and is on track to see significant scale up over the next 12-18 months as its emerging centers become mature.</li>
<li>During the course of the next couple of years, HCG is also looking to enhance its presence through the inorganic route.</li>
<li>We project that HCG may do a PAT of INR 200cr by FY25. At the current market cap of INR 4450cr, HCG is attractively valued at 22x per FY25E PAT. </li>
</ul>


HCG ended FY23 with decent profitability and is on track to see significant scale up over the next 12-18 months as its emerging centers become mature.
During the course of the next couple of years, HCG is also looking to enhance its presence through the inorganic route.
We project that HCG may do a PAT of INR 200cr by FY25. At the current market cap of INR 4450cr, HCG is attractively valued at 22x per FY25E PAT. 


HCG: Emerging Centers Are Inching Closer to Maturity

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Axis Top Picks basket outperformed the benchmark by a significant margin with its impressive return of 9.7% in FY23 as against the 0.6% decline posted by NIFTY 50 over the same period.</li><li>The basket, however, reported a flattish return (-0.3%) in a highly volatile Mar’23 which witnessed a rather mixed performance across sectoral, market cap, and style indices, indicating an underlying change in the market positioning.</li><li>Nonetheless, the basket has delivered an astounding return of 149% since its inception (May'20) which stands significantly higher than the 87% returns delivered by NIFTY 50 over the same period.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Axis Top Picks basket outperformed the benchmark by a significant margin with its impressive return of 9.7% in FY23 as against the 0.6% decline posted by NIFTY 50 over the same period.The basket, however, reported a flattish return (-0.3%) in a highly volatile Mar’23 which witnessed a rather mixed performance across sectoral, market cap, and style indices, indicating an underlying change in the market positioning.Nonetheless, the basket has delivered an astounding return of 149% since its inception (May'20) which stands significantly higher than the 87% returns delivered by NIFTY 50 over the same period.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>HCG continues to scale up well as its new centers are maturing. Its mature centers are also growing at a healthy pace.</li>
<li>Margins are improving across the board led by 1) Realization Improvement 2) Operational Efficiencies 3) Operating Leverage and 4) Improving Mix of Cases.</li>
<li>FY24 is all set to be a defining year in terms of HCG's financial performance across growth and profitability.</li>
</ul>


HCG continues to scale up well as its new centers are maturing. Its mature centers are also growing at a healthy pace.
Margins are improving across the board led by 1) Realization Improvement 2) Operational Efficiencies 3) Operating Leverage and 4) Improving Mix of Cases.
FY24 is all set to be a defining year in terms of HCG's financial performance across growth and profitability.


HCG: Firing On All Cylinders - All Set For FY24 To Be A Defining Year

<div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<ul>
<li>ARPOB (Rs 37,000) stood flat YoY and the number of occupied bed days grew by 30% YoY for Q3FY23.</li>
<li>Over the last 4 quarters, the company’s EBITDA margins were flat (range 18.2%) despite a fall in other expenses as expenses are increasing in the Medical Consultancy segment.</li>
<li>We believe New centers' margins will improve fast in the upcoming quarters as hospitals have 35% variable cost and 65% fixed cost.</li>
</ul>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>






ARPOB (Rs 37,000) stood flat YoY and the number of occupied bed days grew by 30% YoY for Q3FY23.
Over the last 4 quarters, the company’s EBITDA margins were flat (range 18.2%) despite a fall in other expenses as expenses are increasing in the Medical Consultancy segment.
We believe New centers' margins will improve fast in the upcoming quarters as hospitals have 35% variable cost and 65% fixed cost.





Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Healthcare Global Enterprises Ltd - Margins Still Below Industry Levels

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>In Q3FY23, the Pharma sector is expected to benefit from positive attributes such as currency depreciation, fall in raw material prices, low crude prices, and correction in shipping prices which would aid in revenue growth and improvement in gross margins.</li><li>We expect the Pharma universe under our coverage to report healthy aggregate Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 7.4%/9.5%/9.1% YoY. 8% depreciation in the Indian currency (Rs) may majorly contribute to the overall growth of 7.4% for the last quarter.</li><li>Low single-digit growth in the US market (due to intense competition) and low double-digit growth in the India business after Covid-19 business has now stabilised. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In Q3FY23, the Pharma sector is expected to benefit from positive attributes such as currency depreciation, fall in raw material prices, low crude prices, and correction in shipping prices which would aid in revenue growth and improvement in gross margins.We expect the Pharma universe under our coverage to report healthy aggregate Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 7.4%/9.5%/9.1% YoY. 8% depreciation in the Indian currency (Rs) may majorly contribute to the overall growth of 7.4% for the last quarter.Low single-digit growth in the US market (due to intense competition) and low double-digit growth in the India business after Covid-19 business has now stabilised. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

HealthCare Global Enterprises Limited provides medical and surgical hospital services. The Hospital offers cancer care, chemotherapy, cyberknife surgery, surgical, radiation, and medical oncology services. HealthCare Global Enterprises operates worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

HealthCare Global Enterprises (HCG IN)

HCG: Emerging Centers Are Inching Closer to Maturity

An investment in HCG offers an upside potential of 70%+ over the next couple of years, as its emerging centers mature. We estimate HCG to do a PAT...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Top Picks - Apr 2023

Axis Top Picks basket outperformed the benchmark by a significant margin with its impressive return of 9.7% in FY23 as against the 0.6% decline...

Axis Direct

HCG: Firing On All Cylinders - All Set For FY24 To Be A Defining Year

HCG is set up well to deliver a strong performance in FY24. At current valuation, it offers an upside potential of 90%+ over the next couple of years.

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Healthcare Global Enterprises Ltd - Margins Still Below Industry Levels

Over the last 4 quarters, the company’s EBITDA margins were flat (range 18.2%) despite a fall in other expenses as expenses are increasing in the...

Axis Direct

Pharma - Q3FY23 - Earnings Preview

Low single-digit growth in the US market (due to intense competition) and low double-digit growth in the India business after Covid-19 business has...

Axis Direct

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)