Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The bear market rally that we were on watch for started last week, confirmed by the bullish reversals on the DAX, Hang Seng, MSCI China (MCHI-US), and China Internet (KWEB-US).</li>
<li>Is this just another bear market rally, or will indexes are able to make a higher low and start a new bull market? Either way, it's a start.</li>
<li>We highlight attractive stocks from a bottoms-up perspective, spanning several Sectors. Over half hail from Japan, where the TOPIX Small index is reversing its downtrend.</li>
</ul>


The bear market rally that we were on watch for started last week, confirmed by the bullish reversals on the DAX, Hang Seng, MSCI China (MCHI-US), and China Internet (KWEB-US).
Is this just another bear market rally, or will indexes are able to make a higher low and start a new bull market? Either way, it's a start.
We highlight attractive stocks from a bottoms-up perspective, spanning several Sectors. Over half hail from Japan, where the TOPIX Small index is reversing its downtrend.


Cautiously Optimistic Following Downtrend Reversals; Japan Continues to Lead; Bottoms-Up Stock Rec's

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR / Technical Analysis

This report highlights actionable set ups from predominately European, developed markets, and is supportive of our view that Europe is bottoming, a viewpoint that remains far from consensus. Within Europe, we put a spotlight on Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40. Today’s recommendations are primarily from cyclical Sectors, however European Consumer Staples also exhibits bottoming RS.

This report highlights actionable set ups from predominately European, developed markets, and is supportive of our view that Europe is bottoming, a viewpoint that remains far from consensus. Within Europe, we put a spotlight on Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40. Today’s recommendations are primarily from cyclical Sectors, however European Consumer Staples also exhibits bottoming RS. 

Developed Markets Chart Book: Europe in Focus

CHINA - Healthcare, Steel, Autos, Education, Research From Beijing

Scott Laprise/ 乐天虎

CHINA - Healthcare, Steel, Autos, Education

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Local Weibo explodes on obscenities by a foreigner<ul><li>Senior manager believed to have yelled obscenities at a local Chinese.</li><li>The story became a top social media story with over 13 million views.</li><li>The company has said it has removed the employee from his position in China.</li><li>Mercedes Benz business continues to grow well in China on the back of strong car sales.</li><li>We expect little impact due to this incidence due to the swift measures by the company.</li></ul>

Local Weibo explodes on obscenities by a foreignerSenior manager believed to have yelled obscenities at a local Chinese.The story became a top social media story with over 13 million views.The company has said it has removed the employee from his position in China.Mercedes Benz business continues to grow well in China on the back of strong car sales.We expect little impact due to this incidence due to the swift measures by the company.

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>HELLA GmbH &amp; Co. KGaA's first quarter of fiscal year 2025 presented a mixed bag of results, reflecting varied performances across its business segments.</li>
<li>The company's sales stabilized at around EUR 2 billion, mirroring the previous year's results, but the details reveal divergences in the performance of its business units.</li>
<li>Positively, the Electronics division continues its upward trajectory with a commendable growth of 8.9%, driven notably by strong demand in the radar sector, outperforming the broader market by 7.5%.</li>
</ul>


HELLA GmbH &amp; Co. KGaA's first quarter of fiscal year 2025 presented a mixed bag of results, reflecting varied performances across its business segments.
The company's sales stabilized at around EUR 2 billion, mirroring the previous year's results, but the details reveal divergences in the performance of its business units.
Positively, the Electronics division continues its upward trajectory with a commendable growth of 8.9%, driven notably by strong demand in the radar sector, outperforming the broader market by 7.5%.


Hella AG:  Will U.S. Manufacturing Expansion Be the Game-Changer Amid Tariff Turmoil?

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The September 2022 index changes for DAX, MDAX, SDAX, and TecDAX were announced late last night.</li>
<li>There is one change for the DAX Index, four changes for the MDAX Index, seven changes for the SDAX Index, and two changes for the TecDAX Index.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a closer look at our expectations for index flows and potential trading ideas.</li>
</ul>


The September 2022 index changes for DAX, MDAX, SDAX, and TecDAX were announced late last night.
There is one change for the DAX Index, four changes for the MDAX Index, seven changes for the SDAX Index, and two changes for the TecDAX Index.
In this insight, we take a closer look at our expectations for index flows and potential trading ideas.


DAX, MDAX, SDAX, TecDAX Sep 2022 Rebal: Large Impacts Only for Hella & Stabilius

Germany

HELLA GmbH & Co. KGaA develops and manufactures lighting, electronic components, and systems. The Company offers spare parts, chassis, side lights, and accessories, as well as vehicle diagnostics, battery installation, and lighting services. HELLA serves customers worldwide.

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Hella GmbH & Co KGaA (HLE GR)

Cautiously Optimistic Following Downtrend Reversals; Japan Continues to Lead; Bottoms-Up Stock Rec's

The bear market rally that we were on watch for started last week, confirmed by the bullish reversals on the DAX, Hang Seng, MSCI China $MCHI, and...

Vermilion Research

Developed Markets Chart Book: Europe in Focus

This report highlights actionable set ups from predominately European, developed markets, and is supportive of our view that Europe is bottoming, a...

Vermilion Research

Mercedes Benz Dodges a Bullet

Local Weibo explodes on obscenities by a foreigner Senior manager believed to have yelled obscenities at a local Chinese. The story became a top...

Scott Laprise/ 乐天虎

Hella AG: Will U.S. Manufacturing Expansion Be the Game-Changer Amid Tariff Turmoil?

HELLA GmbH & Co. KGaA's first quarter of fiscal year 2025 presented a mixed bag of results, reflecting varied performances across its business...

Baptista Research

DAX, MDAX, SDAX, TecDAX Sep 2022 Rebal: Large Impacts Only for Hella & Stabilius

Hella and Stabilus are likely to see large positive impacts but the other candidates generally have small impacts and small flow sizes.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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