Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/laopu-gold-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44036:1" rel="noopener">Laopu Gold (6181 HK)</a>’s stock has fallen nearly 30% since its July 8 peak and declined another 4% yesterday despite an upbeat 1H2025 profit update.</li>
<li>The company’s positive profit alert reported revenues and profits up more than 2.5x year-on-year, exceeding market expectations.</li>
<li>The ongoing share price weakness despite strong results likely reflects a combination of technical factors, such as lock-up related selling, and broader fundamental concerns.</li>
</ul>



Laopu Gold (6181 HK)’s stock has fallen nearly 30% since its July 8 peak and declined another 4% yesterday despite an upbeat 1H2025 profit update.
The company’s positive profit alert reported revenues and profits up more than 2.5x year-on-year, exceeding market expectations.
The ongoing share price weakness despite strong results likely reflects a combination of technical factors, such as lock-up related selling, and broader fundamental concerns.


Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Strong Earnings, Soft Share Price – What’s Driving the Disconnect?

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/laopu-gold-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44036:1" rel="noopener">Laopu Gold (6181 HK)</a>’s  365-day lockup on shares held by pre-IPO investors expires tomorrow (June 27), more than doubling its current free float.</li>
<li>Near-Term pressure on the stock is likely, given the sharp increase in tradable shares, mixed gold price outlook, and limited retail investor access after a steep rally.</li>
<li>A potential stock split could broaden investor participation, improve liquidity and serve as a catalyst for next leg of stock upside.</li>
</ul>



Laopu Gold (6181 HK)’s  365-day lockup on shares held by pre-IPO investors expires tomorrow (June 27), more than doubling its current free float.
Near-Term pressure on the stock is likely, given the sharp increase in tradable shares, mixed gold price outlook, and limited retail investor access after a steep rally.
A potential stock split could broaden investor participation, improve liquidity and serve as a catalyst for next leg of stock upside.


Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Lockup Expiry Ahead. After 2000% Rally, Is There Still Shine Left?

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/laopu-gold-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44036:1" rel="noopener">Laopu Gold (6181 HK)</a>  targets to raise approximately USD350 mn from a primary placement of 4.31 million new shares at HKD630 per share.</li>
<li>Laopu Gold has delivered both superior margins and rapid growth by marrying cultural resonance, premium pricing, artisanal excellence, and outstanding store economics.</li>
<li>Laopu’s growth track record coincides with period of rising gold prices. Investors should weigh its impressive margins and brand strength against the risk of a less supportive gold price environment.</li>
</ul>



Laopu Gold (6181 HK)  targets to raise approximately USD350 mn from a primary placement of 4.31 million new shares at HKD630 per share.
Laopu Gold has delivered both superior margins and rapid growth by marrying cultural resonance, premium pricing, artisanal excellence, and outstanding store economics.
Laopu’s growth track record coincides with period of rising gold prices. Investors should weigh its impressive margins and brand strength against the risk of a less supportive gold price environment.


Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Heritage Luxury, Guochao Appeal. Key Facts, Financials & Valuation

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

<ul><li>From a technical perspective, the SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the resistance levels at 1,460 and 1,464 points and the support at 1,448 and 1,440 points.</li><li>We recommend waiting to buy when the index weakens to below 1,434 points.</li><li>The Consumer Confidence Index for September, as projected by the consensus, is expected to improve to 62 (up from 56.5 in August), supported by the rollout of a Bt10,000 cash handout to 14.5mn welfare cardholders and people with disabilities.</li></ul>

From a technical perspective, the SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the resistance levels at 1,460 and 1,464 points and the support at 1,448 and 1,440 points.We recommend waiting to buy when the index weakens to below 1,434 points.The Consumer Confidence Index for September, as projected by the consensus, is expected to improve to 62 (up from 56.5 in August), supported by the rollout of a Bt10,000 cash handout to 14.5mn welfare cardholders and people with disabilities.

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

<ul><li>Luxury sector experiencing challenges after period of record-high growth</li><li>Key players like LVMH, Hermes, and Richemont facing corrections in share prices</li><li>Burberry facing short thesis due to concerns about navigating changing market dynamics</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.</em></p>

Luxury sector experiencing challenges after period of record-high growthKey players like LVMH, Hermes, and Richemont facing corrections in share pricesBurberry facing short thesis due to concerns about navigating changing market dynamicsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

France

Hermes International designs, produces, and distributes personal luxury accessories and apparel.  The Company operates a chain of boutiques under the Hermes name that sells items such as leather, scarves, men's clothes, ties, women's fashions, perfume, watches, stationery, shoes, hats, gloves, and jewelry.

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Hermes International (RMS FP)

Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Lockup Expiry Ahead. After 2000% Rally, Is There Still Shine Left?

Post Lockup expiry, What's next? Outlook on gold price matters. Also, a potential stock split could broaden investor participation, improve...

Devi Subhakesan

Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Heritage Luxury, Guochao Appeal. Key Facts, Financials & Valuation

Laopu Gold's multiples are not too steep given strong earnings growth outlook. Investors however need to weigh its upside potential against...

Devi Subhakesan

US FOMC Minutes

From a technical perspective, the SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the resistance levels at 1,460 and 1,464 points and the support...

Krungthai XSpring

Burberry (BRBY) - Sunday, Mar 31, 2024

Luxury sector experiencing challenges after period of record-high growthKey players like LVMH, Hermes, and Richemont facing corrections in share...

Value Investors Club (VIC)

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Strong Earnings, Soft Share Price – What’s Driving the Disconnect?

The ongoing share price weakness despite strong results likely reflects a combination of technical factors, such as lock-up related selling, and...

Devi Subhakesan

Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Lockup Expiry Ahead. After 2000% Rally, Is There Still Shine Left?

Post Lockup expiry, What's next? Outlook on gold price matters. Also, a potential stock split could broaden investor participation, improve...

Devi Subhakesan

Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Heritage Luxury, Guochao Appeal. Key Facts, Financials & Valuation

Laopu Gold's multiples are not too steep given strong earnings growth outlook. Investors however need to weigh its upside potential against...

Devi Subhakesan

US FOMC Minutes

From a technical perspective, the SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the resistance levels at 1,460 and 1,464 points and the support...

Krungthai XSpring

Burberry (BRBY) - Sunday, Mar 31, 2024

Luxury sector experiencing challenges after period of record-high growthKey players like LVMH, Hermes, and Richemont facing corrections in share...

Value Investors Club (VIC)