Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

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Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>We spoke with multiple channels covering 3Ws, 2Ws, and 4Ws to understand the current dynamics of the Electric Vehicle (EV) scene in India.</li>
<li>Adoption of E-3 and E-4 Wheelers is hindered by high prices, range issues, inadequate charging infrastructure, and platform stability concerns.</li>
<li>E-2 Wheelers show resilience with stable sales led by aggressive pricing from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (1700674D IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We spoke with multiple channels covering 3Ws, 2Ws, and 4Ws to understand the current dynamics of the Electric Vehicle (EV) scene in India.
Adoption of E-3 and E-4 Wheelers is hindered by high prices, range issues, inadequate charging infrastructure, and platform stability concerns.
E-2 Wheelers show resilience with stable sales led by aggressive pricing from Ola Electric (1700674D IN). 


India Channel Insight | What Is the EV Scene in India?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The auto sector has outperformed the Nifty Index in Q4, led largely by a sharp rally in some 2W and PV stocks</li><li>We continue to like Maruti Suzuki, and M&amp;M as we expect both of them to continue to outperform the UV segment, which would in turn help improve their performance</li><li>Within 2Ws, we continue to like TVS Motors. We have rolled over the valuation to the year-ended Jun-26.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The auto sector has outperformed the Nifty Index in Q4, led largely by a sharp rally in some 2W and PV stocksWe continue to like Maruti Suzuki, and M&amp;M as we expect both of them to continue to outperform the UV segment, which would in turn help improve their performanceWithin 2Ws, we continue to like TVS Motors. We have rolled over the valuation to the year-ended Jun-26.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Autos (Q1FY25 Results Preview): 2W to Drive Growth While PVs Ride Pillion

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The Finance Minister of India will present the full-year Union Budget for FY24-25 on 23rd July’24.</li><li>The impact of the Union Budget on the equity market has reduced notably over the past few years with the government undertaking most of the reforms outside the purview of the Budget.</li><li>As it is the first full-year budget after the formation of the NDA 3.0 government, market participants continue to view it as a critical catalyst stimulating the Indian economy’s growth and thereby the Indian market.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Finance Minister of India will present the full-year Union Budget for FY24-25 on 23rd July’24.The impact of the Union Budget on the equity market has reduced notably over the past few years with the government undertaking most of the reforms outside the purview of the Budget.As it is the first full-year budget after the formation of the NDA 3.0 government, market participants continue to view it as a critical catalyst stimulating the Indian economy’s growth and thereby the Indian market.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pre Union Budget Expectations 2024-25: Budget Likely to Strengthen the Narrative of “Viksit Bharat”

<ul><li>Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by ~10%/24%/21% YoY along with ~160bps improvement in EBITDA margin.</li><li>The growth will be driven by i) Double-digit volume growth in 2Ws, ii) Mid to high single-digit growth for PVs/CVs partially, which will be offset by iii) Single-digit YoY decline in the tractor volumes respectively.</li><li>The YoY EBITDA margin expansion will be led by a richer product mix, RM softening and price hikes undertaken over the last one year</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by ~10%/24%/21% YoY along with ~160bps improvement in EBITDA margin.The growth will be driven by i) Double-digit volume growth in 2Ws, ii) Mid to high single-digit growth for PVs/CVs partially, which will be offset by iii) Single-digit YoY decline in the tractor volumes respectively.The YoY EBITDA margin expansion will be led by a richer product mix, RM softening and price hikes undertaken over the last one yearContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Q1FY25 earnings season was marked by a) Robust PMI manufacturing and Services, b) Stronger E-way bill and GST collection, d) Heat waves and electricity demand, and e) Election campaigns and rallies. Domestic-facing sectors largely enjoyed the economic recovery backed by these factors and hence, margins may surprise positively.</li><li>On the other hand, export-oriented themes are likely to showcase relatively weaker performance.</li><li>Most of the domestic high-frequency indicators have trended higher during the quarter which is likely to translate into good demand momentum for the domestic corporate segment. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q1FY25 earnings season was marked by a) Robust PMI manufacturing and Services, b) Stronger E-way bill and GST collection, d) Heat waves and electricity demand, and e) Election campaigns and rallies. Domestic-facing sectors largely enjoyed the economic recovery backed by these factors and hence, margins may surprise positively.On the other hand, export-oriented themes are likely to showcase relatively weaker performance.Most of the domestic high-frequency indicators have trended higher during the quarter which is likely to translate into good demand momentum for the domestic corporate segment. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Hero MotoCorp Ltd. designs, manufactures and distributes motorcycles. The Company's products also include motorcycle parts and accessories.

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Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)

India Channel Insight | What Is the EV Scene in India?

Current dynamics of Electric Vehicles in India show hindrances in adoption of 3 and 4 wheelers due to various challenges, while E-2 wheelers led...

Pranav Bhavsar

Autos (Q1FY25 Results Preview): 2W to Drive Growth While PVs Ride Pillion

We continue to like Maruti Suzuki, and M&M as we expect both of them to continue to outperform the UV segment, which would in turn help improve...

HDFC Securities

Pre Union Budget Expectations 2024-25: Budget Likely to Strengthen the Narrative of “Viksit Bharat”

The impact of the Union Budget on the equity market has reduced notably over the past few years with the government undertaking most of the reforms...

Axis Direct

Q1FY25 Earnings Preview - Automobile

Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by ~10%/24%/21% YoY along with ~160bps improvement in EBITDA margin.

Axis Direct

Q1FY25 - Consolidated Earnings Preview

Based on our and consensus estimates, we forecast Nifty to deliver Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 7.8%/3%/1.2% respectively for the quarter.

Axis Direct

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

India Channel Insight | What Is the EV Scene in India?

​Current dynamics of Electric Vehicles in India show hindrances in adoption of 3 and 4 wheelers due to various challenges, while E-2 wheelers led...

Pranav Bhavsar

Autos (Q1FY25 Results Preview): 2W to Drive Growth While PVs Ride Pillion

We continue to like Maruti Suzuki, and M&M as we expect both of them to continue to outperform the UV segment, which would in turn help improve...

HDFC Securities

Pre Union Budget Expectations 2024-25: Budget Likely to Strengthen the Narrative of “Viksit Bharat”

The impact of the Union Budget on the equity market has reduced notably over the past few years with the government undertaking most of the reforms...

Axis Direct

Q1FY25 Earnings Preview - Automobile

Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT for our OEM coverage universe to grow by ~10%/24%/21% YoY along with ~160bps improvement in EBITDA margin.

Axis Direct

Q1FY25 - Consolidated Earnings Preview

Based on our and consensus estimates, we forecast Nifty to deliver Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 7.8%/3%/1.2% respectively for the quarter.

Axis Direct

Current dynamics of Electric Vehicles in India show hindrances in adoption of 3 and 4 wheelers due to various challenges, while E-2 wheelers led...