External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The companies under our coverage reported Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 16.5%/38.9%/40.6% YoY against expectations of 17%/34%/33%.</li><li>This was driven by higher ASPs, sales volumes, and operating leverage. On a QoQ basis, the aggregate Revenue/EBITDA/PAT degrew by 2.5%/3.6%/2.8%, against expectations of a 2%/7%/8% decline.</li><li>The QoQ degrowth in EBITDA and PAT was largely limited by operational outperformance led by Escorts Kubota Ltd and 2W OEMs such as Bajaj Auto, TVS Motors, and Hero Motocorp.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The companies under our coverage reported Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 16.5%/38.9%/40.6% YoY against expectations of 17%/34%/33%.This was driven by higher ASPs, sales volumes, and operating leverage. On a QoQ basis, the aggregate Revenue/EBITDA/PAT degrew by 2.5%/3.6%/2.8%, against expectations of a 2%/7%/8% decline.The QoQ degrowth in EBITDA and PAT was largely limited by operational outperformance led by Escorts Kubota Ltd and 2W OEMs such as Bajaj Auto, TVS Motors, and Hero Motocorp.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Top Sector Ideas - Auto and Auto Ancillaries - Q3FY24

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Q3FY24 earnings season saw an overall in-line performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companies</li><li>Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 5%/20% YoY and 4%/-4% QoQ across the HSIE coverage (~224 stocks), with their four-year CAGRs at 13%/18%</li><li>There was similar participation by large and midcap categories towards incremental earnings growth as large-cap grew by 20% YoY and midcap grew by 21% YoY</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q3FY24 earnings season saw an overall in-line performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companiesAggregate revenue/PAT grew by 5%/20% YoY and 4%/-4% QoQ across the HSIE coverage (~224 stocks), with their four-year CAGRs at 13%/18%There was similar participation by large and midcap categories towards incremental earnings growth as large-cap grew by 20% YoY and midcap grew by 21% YoYContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India Equity Strategy: Input Cost Benefits Drive Earnings Growth, Revenue Contribution Muted

<ul><li>Hero Motocorp: Hero MotoCorp’s Q3 margin, at 14%, was down 10bps QoQ despite the 3% QoQ volume growth and improved mix, due to higher promotional spending</li><li>The recovery in the entry segment continues to be impacted by erratic monsoons</li><li>More importantly, despite the launch of new variants in the 125cc motorcycle segment, it has seen a decline in market share, dropping by 330bps to 20.2% in H1</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hero Motocorp: Hero MotoCorp’s Q3 margin, at 14%, was down 10bps QoQ despite the 3% QoQ volume growth and improved mix, due to higher promotional spendingThe recovery in the entry segment continues to be impacted by erratic monsoonsMore importantly, despite the launch of new variants in the 125cc motorcycle segment, it has seen a decline in market share, dropping by 330bps to 20.2% in H1Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Hero Motocorp, Bandhan Bank, Aarti Industries

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Hero MotoCorp’s Revenue/EBITDA stood largely in line with our estimates, while PAT stood ahead by 7%, led by higher-than-expected other income.</li><li>Revenue grew by 4%/8% YoY/QoQ to Rs 9,445 Cr, largely in line with our estimate.</li><li>EBITDA grew by 28%/10% YoY/QoQ (inline) to Rs 1,328 Cr, while EBITDA margins reached the 14% mark, up 262/30bps YoY/QoQ, led by lower RM costs (GMs at 31%, up 337bps YoY), price hikes and better sales mix. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hero MotoCorp’s Revenue/EBITDA stood largely in line with our estimates, while PAT stood ahead by 7%, led by higher-than-expected other income.Revenue grew by 4%/8% YoY/QoQ to Rs 9,445 Cr, largely in line with our estimate.EBITDA grew by 28%/10% YoY/QoQ (inline) to Rs 1,328 Cr, while EBITDA margins reached the 14% mark, up 262/30bps YoY/QoQ, led by lower RM costs (GMs at 31%, up 337bps YoY), price hikes and better sales mix. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hero MotoCorp - Products Lineup in Place; Market Share Gains Impending

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There will be a bunch of rebalance announcements towards the start and at the end of the coming week. This includes the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, HSCI, HSIII and global indices.</li>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and related indices ends on 16 February. The announcement of the changes will come couple of weeks later.</li>
<li>There were HUGE inflows to mainland China ETFs for yet another week as Central Huijin indicated that they would continue to buy/create ETFs units.</li>
</ul>


There will be a bunch of rebalance announcements towards the start and at the end of the coming week. This includes the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, HSIII and global indices.
The review period for the March rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and related indices ends on 16 February. The announcement of the changes will come couple of weeks later.
There were HUGE inflows to mainland China ETFs for yet another week as Central Huijin indicated that they would continue to buy/create ETFs units.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR100, NEXT50, LowVol30, KOSPI200, TW50, NWD, ITC, India Float

India

Hero MotoCorp Ltd. designs, manufactures and distributes motorcycles. The Company's products also include motorcycle parts and accessories.

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Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)

Top Sector Ideas - Auto and Auto Ancillaries - Q3FY24

The companies under our coverage reported Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 16.5%/38.9%/40.6% YoY against expectations of 17%/34%/33%.

Axis Direct

India Equity Strategy: Input Cost Benefits Drive Earnings Growth, Revenue Contribution Muted

Q3FY24 earnings season saw an overall in-line performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companies. Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 5%/20%...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Hero Motocorp, Bandhan Bank, Aarti Industries

Hero Motocorp: Hero MotoCorp’s Q3 margin, at 14%, was down 10bps QoQ despite the 3% QoQ volume growth and improved mix, due to higher promotional...

HDFC Securities

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR100, NEXT50, LowVol30, KOSPI200, TW50, NWD, ITC, India Float

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

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