Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

We remain concerned about the prospect for additional weakness for the broad market due to deterioration in several metrics that we often turn to to get a pulse on the market. At the same time, several cyclical areas of the market have bounced off of logical support while RS has been unable to break out to new highs for defensive Sectors. Absent bearish price inflections in the cyclicals and new RS highs for defensive areas of the market, equities are likely to remain in a state of purgatory.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Staples, Health Care, and Utilities.

We remain concerned about the prospect for additional weakness for the broad market due to deterioration in several metrics that we often turn to to get a pulse on the market. At the same time, several cyclical areas of the market have bounced off of logical support while RS has been unable to break out to new highs for defensive Sectors. Absent bearish price inflections in the cyclicals and new RS highs for defensive areas of the market, equities are likely to remain in a state of purgatory.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Staples, Health Care, and Utilities.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Market Still Susceptible

In last week’s Compass (5/14) we laid our case for a more cautious outlook as a result of several negative developments, including breakdowns for EM (EEM) and China (MCHI, FXI), steep price and RS uptrend violations for Technology (XLK, RYT), improving RS for defensive areas of the market, and weakness in copper. Our outlook remains neutral. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Staples and Utilities.

In last week’s Compass (5/14) we laid our case for a more cautious outlook as a result of several negative developments, including breakdowns for EM (EEM) and China (MCHI, FXI), steep price and RS uptrend violations for Technology (XLK, RYT), improving RS for defensive areas of the market, and weakness in copper. Our outlook remains neutral. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Staples and Utilities.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Neutral Outlook; Opportunities Within Staples and Utilities

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Headlines</h2><ul><li>Chocolate confectionery current value sales rise by 5% to reach JPY555 billion in 2017</li><li>The health benefits of cacao continue to attract consumers in Japan</li><li>Tablet continues to lead growth in 2017, with current value sales rising by 8%</li><li>Average current unit prices increase by 2% in 2017 due to the premiumisation trend</li><li>Meiji continues to lead sales and is set to post a value share of 13% in 2017</li><li>Chocolate confectionery is expected to post a value CAGR of 3% at constant 2017 prices over the forecast period, with sales reaching JPY646 billion in 2022</li></ul>

HeadlinesChocolate confectionery current value sales rise by 5% to reach JPY555 billion in 2017The health benefits of cacao continue to attract consumers in JapanTablet continues to lead growth in 2017, with current value sales rising by 8%Average current unit prices increase by 2% in 2017 due to the premiumisation trendMeiji continues to lead sales and is set to post a value share of 13% in 2017Chocolate confectionery is expected to post a value CAGR of 3% at constant 2017 prices over the forecast period, with sales reaching JPY646 billion in 2022

Sector Capsule: Chocolate Confectionery in Japan

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions, Bixmoor

Bixmoor

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions

Bixmoor specialises in providing bespoke research to business, governments and the financial community on China and neighbouring regions. We seek to build long-term relationships with our clients, based on our expertise, our reliability and our determination to find the right solution.

Should we be concerned that a Chinese pork producer is buying the largest hog producer in the US? Growing concerns over food safety and problems with antibiotic resistance due to misuse should be taken seriously.

Should we be concerned that a Chinese pork producer is buying the largest hog producer in the US? Growing concerns over food safety and problems with antibiotic resistance due to misuse should be taken seriously.

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

In this report, we use intermarket analysis to analyze XLY (Consumer Discretionary SPDR ETF) vs. XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sect. SPDR ETF). The use of intermarket analysis is a practical method of assessing the future inflection points in the economy and the stock market.  Intermarket analysis is intuitive and logical. For example, we take two widely followed consumer ETFs, including XLY (discretionary) and XLP (staples). We use the US ETFs since they are the most liquid and have the deepest…

In this report, we use intermarket analysis to analyze XLY (Consumer Discretionary SPDR ETF) vs. XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sect. SPDR ETF). The use of intermarket analysis is a practical method of assessing the future inflection points in the economy and the stock market.  Intermarket analysis is intuitive and logical. For example, we take two widely followed consumer ETFs, including XLY (discretionary) and XLP (staples). We use the US ETFs since they are the most liquid and have the deepest…

United States

The Hershey Company manufactures chocolate and sugar confectionery products. The Company's principal products include chocolate and sugar confectionery products; gum and mint refreshment products; and pantry items, such as baking ingredients, toppings and beverages.

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Hershey Co/The (HSY US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Market Still Susceptible

We remain concerned about the prospect for additional weakness for the broad market due to deterioration in several metrics that we often turn to...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Neutral Outlook; Opportunities Within Staples and Utilities

In last week’s Compass (5/14) we laid our case for a more cautious outlook as a result of several negative developments, including breakdowns for...

Vermilion Research

Sector Capsule: Chocolate Confectionery in Japan

Headlines Chocolate confectionery current value sales rise by 5% to reach JPY555 billion in 2017 The health benefits of cacao continue to attract...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

Issues Raised by WH Group and US Pork

Should we be concerned that a Chinese pork producer is buying the largest hog producer in the US? Growing concerns over food safety and problems...

Bixmoor

Intermarket Analysis (1): XLY Versus XLP

In this report, we use intermarket analysis to analyze XLY (Consumer Discretionary SPDR ETF) vs. XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sect. SPDR ETF). The...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)