IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Hexaware Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hexaware-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7882:1" rel="noopener">Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN)</a>, an Indian mid-sized global IT services company, aims to raise up to US$1.0 billion.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hexaware-technologies-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:175288" rel="noopener">Hexaware Technologies IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on mid-tier revenue growth, bottom-tier margins, low offshore mix, rising unbilled receivables/contract assets and a large post-IPO share overhang.</li>
</ul>



Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN), an Indian mid-sized global IT services company, aims to raise up to US$1.0 billion.
In Hexaware Technologies IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on mid-tier revenue growth, bottom-tier margins, low offshore mix, rising unbilled receivables/contract assets and a large post-IPO share overhang.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hexaware-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7882:1" rel="noopener">Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN)</a>, an Indian mid-sized global IT services company, aims to raise up to US$1.0 billion. </li>
<li>BPEA privatised Hexaware in 2020. In 2021, Carlyle won an auction to acquire a 95.51% stake in Hexaware.</li>
<li>The bull case rests on sold revenue growth, reducing customer concentration, high utilization, low attrition rates, high customer satisfaction scores and top-tier cash generation.</li>
</ul>



Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN), an Indian mid-sized global IT services company, aims to raise up to US$1.0 billion. 
BPEA privatised Hexaware in 2020. In 2021, Carlyle won an auction to acquire a 95.51% stake in Hexaware.
The bull case rests on sold revenue growth, reducing customer concentration, high utilization, low attrition rates, high customer satisfaction scores and top-tier cash generation.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In November 2020, HT Global IT Solutions acquired all the shares it did not own in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hexaware-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7882:1" rel="noopener">Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN)</a> and delisted the stock from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-stock-exchange" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23751:1" rel="noopener">NSE</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bombay-stock-exchange" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23694:1" rel="noopener">BSE</a>.</li>
<li>Now, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carlyle-group-inc-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33402:1" rel="noopener">Carlyle Group</a> is looking to raise INR 87.5bn by selling stock at a price range of INR 674-708/share, valuing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hexaware-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7882:1" rel="noopener">Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN)</a> at US$4.8bn.</li>
<li>The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances should take place in May and September, though the impact will be limited.</li>
</ul>


In November 2020, HT Global IT Solutions acquired all the shares it did not own in Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN) and delisted the stock from the NSE and BSE.
Now, Carlyle Group is looking to raise INR 87.5bn by selling stock at a price range of INR 674-708/share, valuing Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN) at US$4.8bn.
The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances should take place in May and September, though the impact will be limited.


Hexaware Technologies IPO: Delisted in 2020; Now Looking to Raise US$1bn

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hexaware-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7882:1" rel="noopener">Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN)</a>is looking to raise about US$1.2bn in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Hexaware is a global digital and technology services company with AI at its core, delivering innovative solutions that help customers in their digital transformation journey and subsequent operations.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.</li>
</ul>



Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN)is looking to raise about US$1.2bn in its upcoming India IPO.
Hexaware is a global digital and technology services company with AI at its core, delivering innovative solutions that help customers in their digital transformation journey and subsequent operations.
In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.


Hexaware Technologies Pre-IPO- Decent Long-Term Track Record, Although a Large Overhang to Watch For

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 13 changes a side for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the September rebalance. There are many stocks with flows from passive trackers of other indices.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 18.23bn (US$209m). With over US$43bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.</li>
<li>The adds to the index have outperformed the deletes over the last 5 months and there has been noticeable outperformance in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 13 changes a side for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the September rebalance. There are many stocks with flows from passive trackers of other indices.
Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 18.23bn (US$209m). With over US$43bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.
The adds to the index have outperformed the deletes over the last 5 months and there has been noticeable outperformance in the last couple of weeks.


NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes a Side; Lots of Overlap with Other Index Flow

India

Hexaware Technologies Limited specializes in providing its clients with management and technology solutions in the enterprise applications software area. The Company also operates as an offshore-based vendor for the ERP and CRM software products of PeopleSoft, Inc. of U.S.A.

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Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN)

Hexaware Technologies IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on mid-tier revenue growth, bottom-tier margins, low offshore mix, rising unbilled receivables/contract assets and a large post...

Arun George

Hexaware Technologies IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on sold revenue growth, reducing customer concentration, high utilization, low attrition rates, high customer satisfaction...

Arun George

Hexaware Technologies IPO: Delisted in 2020; Now Looking to Raise US$1bn

Hexaware delisted in 2020. Now, Carlyle is looking to sell stock worth INR 87.5bn and relist Hexaware. The mid-point of the INR 674-708/share range...

Brian Freitas

Hexaware Technologies Pre-IPO- Decent Long-Term Track Record, Although a Large Overhang to Watch For

Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN) is looking to raise about US$1.2bn in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

Clarence Chu

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes a Side; Lots of Overlap with Other Index Flow

There are 13 changes for the index in Sep. Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% and the round-trip trade is INR 18.2bn. There are many stocks with...

Brian Freitas

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