Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Asia’s Group II base oils prices hold in relatively narrow range relative to US export prices, especially for heavy grades.</li><li>Steady price levels leave arbitrage from Asia to Americas hard to work, pointing to limited surplus supply.</li><li>US Group II light-grade export prices hold in narrow range or strengthen relative to CFR India prices since start of Q2 2025.</li></ul>

Asia’s Group II base oils prices hold in relatively narrow range relative to US export prices, especially for heavy grades.Steady price levels leave arbitrage from Asia to Americas hard to work, pointing to limited surplus supply.US Group II light-grade export prices hold in narrow range or strengthen relative to CFR India prices since start of Q2 2025.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 12 May

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils prices hold firm vs feedstock/gasoil prices, especially for heavy grades.</li><li>Price-strength suggests supply-tightness continues to outweigh weaker-than-expected demand.</li><li>That dynamic could ease as weak demand cushions impact of recent/ongoing plant maintenance, speeds up refiners’ stock-replenishment once plants resume operations.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils prices hold firm vs feedstock/gasoil prices, especially for heavy grades.Price-strength suggests supply-tightness continues to outweigh weaker-than-expected demand.That dynamic could ease as weak demand cushions impact of recent/ongoing plant maintenance, speeds up refiners’ stock-replenishment once plants resume operations.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 12 May

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand likely to ease as signs of weaker-than-expected lube consumption incentivize blenders to trim inventory levels.</li><li>Prospect of seasonal slowdown in consumption starting in a few weeks would coincide with expected completion of wave of plant maintenance work, boosting supply.</li><li>Firm base oils margins, prospect of weaker fundamentals and low crude oil prices add to incentive to procure sufficient volumes just to meet term commitments.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand likely to ease as signs of weaker-than-expected lube consumption incentivize blenders to trim inventory levels.Prospect of seasonal slowdown in consumption starting in a few weeks would coincide with expected completion of wave of plant maintenance work, boosting supply.Firm base oils margins, prospect of weaker fundamentals and low crude oil prices add to incentive to procure sufficient volumes just to meet term commitments.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 12 May

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Crude oil prices have dropped sharply, with WTI and Brent falling 3-4% due to OPEC+'s decision to increase oil output to 960,000 bpd, representing a 44% unwinding .  </li>
<li>This decline in oil prices could benefit India’s Oil Marketing Companies, paint, tyre, and aviation sectors, while negatively impacting upstream oil explorers and refineries.</li>
<li>Despite OPEC+'s move to ramp up production, global demand remains uncertain due to trade tensions, and oil prices are forecasted to stay low, affecting various sectors.</li>
</ul>


Crude oil prices have dropped sharply, with WTI and Brent falling 3-4% due to OPEC+'s decision to increase oil output to 960,000 bpd, representing a 44% unwinding .  
This decline in oil prices could benefit India’s Oil Marketing Companies, paint, tyre, and aviation sectors, while negatively impacting upstream oil explorers and refineries.
Despite OPEC+'s move to ramp up production, global demand remains uncertain due to trade tensions, and oil prices are forecasted to stay low, affecting various sectors.


OPEC+ Pushes for Market Share, How India Can Benefit?

<ul><li>Global base oils prices extend rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices.</li><li>Outright prices mostly hold firm or rise even in face of ongoing dip in crude oil/diesel prices.</li><li>Contrasting trends point to stronger base oils fundamentals relative to crude/diesel.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices extend rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices.Outright prices mostly hold firm or rise even in face of ongoing dip in crude oil/diesel prices.Contrasting trends point to stronger base oils fundamentals relative to crude/diesel.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 5 May

India

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited refines crude oil and manufactures petroleum and petroleum products. The Company's products, which are sold via outlets throughout India, include lube products, lubricating oil, aviation fuel, hydraulic brake fluid, greases, liquefied petroleum gas and insecticides. The Government of India is the majority shareholder in the company.

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Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL IN)

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 12 May

Asia’s Group II base oils prices hold in relatively narrow range relative to US export prices, especially for heavy grades. Steady price levels...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 12 May

Asia’s base oils prices hold firm vs feedstock/gasoil prices, especially for heavy grades. Price-strength suggests supply-tightness continues to...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 12 May

Asia’s base oils demand likely to ease as signs of weaker-than-expected lube consumption incentivize blenders to trim inventory levels. Prospect...

Base Oil News

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 5 May

Global base oils prices extend rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices. Outright prices mostly hold firm or rise even in face of ongoing dip in...

Base Oil News

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 12 May

Asia’s Group II base oils prices hold in relatively narrow range relative to US export prices, especially for heavy grades. Steady price levels...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 12 May

Asia’s base oils prices hold firm vs feedstock/gasoil prices, especially for heavy grades. Price-strength suggests supply-tightness continues to...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 12 May

Asia’s base oils demand likely to ease as signs of weaker-than-expected lube consumption incentivize blenders to trim inventory levels. Prospect...

Base Oil News

OPEC+ Pushes for Market Share, How India Can Benefit?

​OPEC+ decision to increase oil output leads to sharp drop in crude oil prices, benefiting some sectors in India but impacting others negatively,...

Nimish Maheshwari

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 5 May

Global base oils prices extend rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices. Outright prices mostly hold firm or rise even in face of ongoing dip in...

Base Oil News

OPEC+ decision to increase oil output leads to sharp drop in crude oil prices, benefiting some sectors in India but impacting others negatively,...