External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>HPCL’s reported 3QFY25 financial performance was significantly above our estimates, as weaker-than-expected marketing margin performance was overpowered by robust refining margins and marketing sale volumes.</li><li>We estimate up to a USD1/bbl refining GRM impact should the Russian crude proportion in the crude oil mix decline to zero (not our base case).</li><li>On a sequential basis, LPG prices have remained stable, and under-recoveries should start tapering off from 1QFY26 onwards.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HPCL’s reported 3QFY25 financial performance was significantly above our estimates, as weaker-than-expected marketing margin performance was overpowered by robust refining margins and marketing sale volumes.We estimate up to a USD1/bbl refining GRM impact should the Russian crude proportion in the crude oil mix decline to zero (not our base case).On a sequential basis, LPG prices have remained stable, and under-recoveries should start tapering off from 1QFY26 onwards.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HPCL - Strong Earning Momentum to Continue

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay

Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd. is a leader in the financial services sector, actively creating wealth for our clients for over two decades. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>HPCL reported better than expected Q3FY25 earnings with EBITDA/PAT of Rs64.5/30.2bn, a 10%/19% beat, driven by better-than-expected GRMs and marketing volumes.</li><li>Reported GRM was USD6/bbl (vs USD5/bbl est), while core was even better at USD6.9. Blended marketing margin at Rs7.6/kg was a 5% miss but offset by 3% lower opex.</li><li>Domestic marketing volumes rose 8.5% vs 4.5% of industry, while petrol/diesel grew 9.2%/4.9%, in line with industry but better than PSUs.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HPCL reported better than expected Q3FY25 earnings with EBITDA/PAT of Rs64.5/30.2bn, a 10%/19% beat, driven by better-than-expected GRMs and marketing volumes.Reported GRM was USD6/bbl (vs USD5/bbl est), while core was even better at USD6.9. Blended marketing margin at Rs7.6/kg was a 5% miss but offset by 3% lower opex.Domestic marketing volumes rose 8.5% vs 4.5% of industry, while petrol/diesel grew 9.2%/4.9%, in line with industry but better than PSUs.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HPCL -Better Refining Drives Profitability Beat; Outlook Steady

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>The 56th GST Council Meeting is currently underway in New Delhi, having commenced on September 3, 2025 at 11:00 AM and will continue until September 4, 2025.</li>
<li>These are supposed to be "next-generation GST reforms" with a promise of implementing reforms as a "Diwali gift" for consumers.</li>
<li>Negative FII Participation, Negative Price Action, Rich Multiples coupled with Negative Earnings Revisions argue for a bearish positioning going into the "G" Day - Day of GST Reform Announcements.</li>
</ul>


The 56th GST Council Meeting is currently underway in New Delhi, having commenced on September 3, 2025 at 11:00 AM and will continue until September 4, 2025.
These are supposed to be "next-generation GST reforms" with a promise of implementing reforms as a "Diwali gift" for consumers.
Negative FII Participation, Negative Price Action, Rich Multiples coupled with Negative Earnings Revisions argue for a bearish positioning going into the "G" Day - Day of GST Reform Announcements.


A Trader's Guide To "G" Day | Positioning For "Next-Generation GST Reforms"

Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils prices extend steep fall vs gasoil prices.</li><li>Weaker outright prices compound the drop.</li><li>Sliding price-differentials, combined with increasingly firm diesel premium to crude oil, increase pressure on refiners to adjust output in response.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils prices extend steep fall vs gasoil prices.Weaker outright prices compound the drop.Sliding price-differentials, combined with increasingly firm diesel premium to crude oil, increase pressure on refiners to adjust output in response.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 10 November

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay muted.</li><li>Expectations of healthy availability of supply and seasonal slowdown in demand curb urgency to lock in additional volumes.</li><li>Seasonal slowdown could limit immediate impact of any adjustment in base oils output because of lower margins.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay muted.Expectations of healthy availability of supply and seasonal slowdown in demand curb urgency to lock in additional volumes.Seasonal slowdown could limit immediate impact of any adjustment in base oils output because of lower margins.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 10 November

India

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited refines crude oil and manufactures petroleum and petroleum products. The Company's products, which are sold via outlets throughout India, include lube products, lubricating oil, aviation fuel, hydraulic brake fluid, greases, liquefied petroleum gas and insecticides. The Government of India is the majority shareholder in the company.

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Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL IN)

HPCL - Strong Earning Momentum to Continue

We estimate up to a USD1/bbl refining GRM impact should the Russian crude proportion in the crude oil mix decline to zero (not our base case).

Motilal Oswal

HPCL -Better Refining Drives Profitability Beat; Outlook Steady

HPCL reported better than expected Q3FY25 earnings with EBITDA/PAT of Rs64.5/30.2bn, a 10%/19% beat, driven by better-than-expected GRMs and...

Emkay

A Trader's Guide To "G" Day | Positioning For "Next-Generation GST Reforms"

The 56th GST Council Meeting in New Delhi aims to bring next-generation reforms as a "Diwali gift" for consumers, but market indicators suggest a...

Pranav Bhavsar

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 10 November

Asia’s base oils prices extend steep fall vs gasoil prices. Weaker outright prices compound the drop. Sliding price-differentials, combined with...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 10 November

Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay muted. Expectations of healthy availability of supply and seasonal slowdown in demand curb urgency to lock...

Base Oil News

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HPCL - Strong Earning Momentum to Continue

We estimate up to a USD1/bbl refining GRM impact should the Russian crude proportion in the crude oil mix decline to zero (not our base case).

Motilal Oswal

HPCL -Better Refining Drives Profitability Beat; Outlook Steady

HPCL reported better than expected Q3FY25 earnings with EBITDA/PAT of Rs64.5/30.2bn, a 10%/19% beat, driven by better-than-expected GRMs and...

Emkay

A Trader's Guide To "G" Day | Positioning For "Next-Generation GST Reforms"

​The 56th GST Council Meeting in New Delhi aims to bring next-generation reforms as a "Diwali gift" for consumers, but market indicators suggest a...

Pranav Bhavsar

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 10 November

Asia’s base oils prices extend steep fall vs gasoil prices. Weaker outright prices compound the drop. Sliding price-differentials, combined with...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 10 November

Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay muted. Expectations of healthy availability of supply and seasonal slowdown in demand curb urgency to lock...

Base Oil News

The 56th GST Council Meeting in New Delhi aims to bring next-generation reforms as a "Diwali gift" for consumers, but market indicators suggest a...