Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay muted amid expectations of ready availability of supply and waning consumption at year-end.</li><li>Recent volatility of crude oil prices adds to attraction of holding back.</li><li>Even so, firm China/India prices vs FOB Asia cargo prices points to ongoing buying interest in those markets.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay muted amid expectations of ready availability of supply and waning consumption at year-end.Recent volatility of crude oil prices adds to attraction of holding back.Even so, firm China/India prices vs FOB Asia cargo prices points to ongoing buying interest in those markets.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 27 October

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Trump administration sanctions Russia's largest oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil effective November 21, 2025, forcing India to potentially slash Russian crude imports that currently constitute 34% of total intake.​​</li>
<li>Indian refiners face USD 3-5 billion in additional annual costs and structurally lower GRMs as they pivot to expensive Middle Eastern and US alternatives.</li>
<li>Russia's embedded role in India's energy means any shift will be costly, and margin-dilutive, setting up a 6-12 month period of procurement volatility and compressed refining spreads for Indian OMCs.​​</li>
</ul>


Trump administration sanctions Russia's largest oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil effective November 21, 2025, forcing India to potentially slash Russian crude imports that currently constitute 34% of total intake.​​
Indian refiners face USD 3-5 billion in additional annual costs and structurally lower GRMs as they pivot to expensive Middle Eastern and US alternatives.
Russia's embedded role in India's energy means any shift will be costly, and margin-dilutive, setting up a 6-12 month period of procurement volatility and compressed refining spreads for Indian OMCs.​​


Shifting Barrels: Inside India’s Painful Rebalance Away from Russian Crude

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious as lower crude oil prices coincide with improving supply of most base oils grades.</li><li>Lower crude prices and rising supply increase concern about exposure to further downward pressure on base oils prices.</li><li>Signs of healthy stocks in all key regional markets give buyers flexibility to hold back until they are comfortable that any price-adjustments have been completed.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious as lower crude oil prices coincide with improving supply of most base oils grades.Lower crude prices and rising supply increase concern about exposure to further downward pressure on base oils prices.Signs of healthy stocks in all key regional markets give buyers flexibility to hold back until they are comfortable that any price-adjustments have been completed.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 20 October

<ul><li>Asia’s Group II base oils prices rise versus gasoil prices to highest in more than a month for heavy grades, highest since Q2 2025 for light grades.</li><li>Rising base oils margins point to firm supply-demand fundamentals, incentivizing refiners to maintain or raise output.</li><li>Incentive to raise output follows rise in base oils exports from Asia’s largest suppliers to thirteen-month high in Sept 2025.</li></ul>

Asia’s Group II base oils prices rise versus gasoil prices to highest in more than a month for heavy grades, highest since Q2 2025 for light grades.Rising base oils margins point to firm supply-demand fundamentals, incentivizing refiners to maintain or raise output.Incentive to raise output follows rise in base oils exports from Asia’s largest suppliers to thirteen-month high in Sept 2025.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 20 October

<ul><li>US Group II base oils prices stay in unusually narrow range versus vacuum gasoil feedstock prices throughout most of this year.</li><li>US Group II base oils domestic price-premium to export prices similarly stays in relatively narrow range so far this year.</li><li>US Group II heavy-grade price-discount to prices in markets like India similarly holds in relatively narrow range throughout most of this year.</li></ul>

US Group II base oils prices stay in unusually narrow range versus vacuum gasoil feedstock prices throughout most of this year.US Group II base oils domestic price-premium to export prices similarly stays in relatively narrow range so far this year.US Group II heavy-grade price-discount to prices in markets like India similarly holds in relatively narrow range throughout most of this year.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 20 October

India

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited refines crude oil and manufactures petroleum and petroleum products. The Company's products, which are sold via outlets throughout India, include lube products, lubricating oil, aviation fuel, hydraulic brake fluid, greases, liquefied petroleum gas and insecticides. The Government of India is the majority shareholder in the company.

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Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL IN)

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 27 October

Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay muted amid expectations of ready availability of supply and waning consumption at year-end. Recent...

Base Oil News

Shifting Barrels: Inside India’s Painful Rebalance Away from Russian Crude

Trump sanctions on Russian oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil will force India to cut imports, leading to higher costs and lower margins as they...

Nimish Maheshwari

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 20 October

Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious as lower crude oil prices coincide with improving supply of most base oils grades. Lower crude...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 20 October

Asia’s Group II base oils prices rise versus gasoil prices to highest in more than a month for heavy grades, highest since Q2 2025 for light...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 20 October

US Group II base oils prices stay in unusually narrow range versus vacuum gasoil feedstock prices throughout most of this year. US Group II base...

Base Oil News

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 27 October

Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay muted amid expectations of ready availability of supply and waning consumption at year-end. Recent...

Base Oil News

Shifting Barrels: Inside India’s Painful Rebalance Away from Russian Crude

​Trump sanctions on Russian oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil will force India to cut imports, leading to higher costs and lower margins as they...

Nimish Maheshwari

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 20 October

Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious as lower crude oil prices coincide with improving supply of most base oils grades. Lower crude...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 20 October

Asia’s Group II base oils prices rise versus gasoil prices to highest in more than a month for heavy grades, highest since Q2 2025 for light...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 20 October

US Group II base oils prices stay in unusually narrow range versus vacuum gasoil feedstock prices throughout most of this year. US Group II base...

Base Oil News

Trump sanctions on Russian oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil will force India to cut imports, leading to higher costs and lower margins as they...