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Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Home appliance / China’s home appliance exports grow as makers eye emerging, high-end markets</li><li>Stocks /: China’s Two Sessions report boosts investor confidence, as stocks upgraded to ‘overweight’</li><li>Power /In Depth: Chemical plant with its own power grid proves viability of disruptive model</li></ul>

Home appliance / China’s home appliance exports grow as makers eye emerging, high-end marketsStocks /: China’s Two Sessions report boosts investor confidence, as stocks upgraded to ‘overweight’Power /In Depth: Chemical plant with its own power grid proves viability of disruptive model

CX Daily: Home Appliance Exports Grow as Makers Eye Emerging, High-End Markets 

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>'s major shareholders proposed to privatise at HK$5.60, a 33.3% premium to the pre-suspension price. This is the same as we calculated using the 3-year average P/B. </li>
<li>At such a price, it will sit at 7.6x PER for FY25F, a level that it only touched briefly 3 times in the last two years. </li>
<li>This PER is at a 25-30% discount to the sector and justified by its smaller size and lesser diversification. All in all, the proposed price looks fair and reasonable.</li>
</ul>



Vesync (2148 HK)'s major shareholders proposed to privatise at HK$5.60, a 33.3% premium to the pre-suspension price. This is the same as we calculated using the 3-year average P/B. 
At such a price, it will sit at 7.6x PER for FY25F, a level that it only touched briefly 3 times in the last two years. 
This PER is at a 25-30% discount to the sector and justified by its smaller size and lesser diversification. All in all, the proposed price looks fair and reasonable.


Vesync (2148 HK): Proposed Privatisation at HK$5.60 Fair and Reasonable

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>'s suspension may suggest privatisation by the Yang family (68.8% stake). With US$192m public float and US$216m net cash, out-of-pocket cash needed is limited. </li>
<li>1H24 is decent with a 37.5% earnings growth and 3.3pp margin expansion. The consensus forecast of 4.8% growth in 2H24 is conservative, providing a good opportunity for privatisation.</li>
<li>Benchmarking the take-out price to the 3-year average P/B will mean a 33% upside while the sector's average PER multiple implies ~70% higher than the pre-suspension price.</li>
</ul>



Vesync (2148 HK)'s suspension may suggest privatisation by the Yang family (68.8% stake). With US$192m public float and US$216m net cash, out-of-pocket cash needed is limited. 
1H24 is decent with a 37.5% earnings growth and 3.3pp margin expansion. The consensus forecast of 4.8% growth in 2H24 is conservative, providing a good opportunity for privatisation.
Benchmarking the take-out price to the 3-year average P/B will mean a 33% upside while the sector's average PER multiple implies ~70% higher than the pre-suspension price.


Vesync (2148 HK): A Potential Privatisation?

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>NEV retail volume increased by 51% YoY in November and 41% YoY for first eleven months.</li>
<li>Jiyue Auto, as a car maker subsidiary of Baidu, is dismissing employees.</li>
<li>Hisense, a home appliance producer, lays off 30,000 employees of its total 110,000.</li>
</ul>


NEV retail volume increased by 51% YoY in November and 41% YoY for first eleven months.
Jiyue Auto, as a car maker subsidiary of Baidu, is dismissing employees.
Hisense, a home appliance producer, lays off 30,000 employees of its total 110,000.


China Consumption Weekly (16 Dec 2024): NEV Industry Nov., Baidu, Hisense, Boss Zhipin,

<ul>
<li>The spin-off of the value-added business (VAS) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-gas-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14315:1" rel="noopener">China Gas Holdings (384 HK)</a> may add HK$0.22-0.83/share to the stock price, or 3.4-12.8%, based on our initial assessment.</li>
<li>VAS generated an operating profit of HK$1.58bn in FY24, up by 5.7% YoY. It is significant to China Gas as this accounted for 23.5% of its total segment profit.</li>
<li>The share price has not reacted much to the news because weak Chinese equity market and uncertainties on the upcoming 1H FY25 result. Once cleared, we see good upside.</li>
</ul>


The spin-off of the value-added business (VAS) of China Gas Holdings (384 HK) may add HK$0.22-0.83/share to the stock price, or 3.4-12.8%, based on our initial assessment.
VAS generated an operating profit of HK$1.58bn in FY24, up by 5.7% YoY. It is significant to China Gas as this accounted for 23.5% of its total segment profit.
The share price has not reacted much to the news because weak Chinese equity market and uncertainties on the upcoming 1H FY25 result. Once cleared, we see good upside.


China Gas Holdings (384 HK): Assessing the Spin-Off of Value-Added Business

China

Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells refrigerators, air conditioners, freezers, and product components.

Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. H (921 HK)

Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. H

Price Gauge
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Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. H (921 HK)

CX Daily: Home Appliance Exports Grow as Makers Eye Emerging, High-End Markets

Home appliance / China’s home appliance exports grow as makers eye emerging, high-end markets China-made home appliance exports have exceeded $100...

Caixin Global

Vesync (2148 HK): Proposed Privatisation at HK$5.60 Fair and Reasonable

Vesync's major shareholders propose to privatise it at HK$5.60, a 33.3% premium. We consider this a fair and reasonable price based on PER, P/B,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Vesync (2148 HK): A Potential Privatisation?

Vesync may be heading towards privatisation by the Yang family which owns a 68.8% stake. Using historical P/B average and sector PER average as...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Consumption Weekly (16 Dec 2024): NEV Industry Nov., Baidu, Hisense, Boss Zhipin,

NEV retail volume increased by 51% YoY in November. Jiyue Auto, as a subsidiary of Baidu, is dismissing employees. Hisense, a home appliance...

Ming Lu

China Gas Holdings (384 HK): Assessing the Spin-Off of Value-Added Business

China Gas' spin-off of value-added services could boost the stock by 3.4-12.8%, with VAS contributing 23.5% of total segment profit. Weak market...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CX Daily: Home Appliance Exports Grow as Makers Eye Emerging, High-End Markets

Home appliance / China’s home appliance exports grow as makers eye emerging, high-end markets China-made home appliance exports have exceeded $100...

Caixin Global

Vesync (2148 HK): Proposed Privatisation at HK$5.60 Fair and Reasonable

​Vesync's major shareholders propose to privatise it at HK$5.60, a 33.3% premium. We consider this a fair and reasonable price based on PER, P/B,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Vesync (2148 HK): A Potential Privatisation?

​Vesync may be heading towards privatisation by the Yang family which owns a 68.8% stake. Using historical P/B average and sector PER average as...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Consumption Weekly (16 Dec 2024): NEV Industry Nov., Baidu, Hisense, Boss Zhipin,

NEV retail volume increased by 51% YoY in November. Jiyue Auto, as a subsidiary of Baidu, is dismissing employees. Hisense, a home appliance...

Ming Lu

China Gas Holdings (384 HK): Assessing the Spin-Off of Value-Added Business

​China Gas' spin-off of value-added services could boost the stock by 3.4-12.8%, with VAS contributing 23.5% of total segment profit. Weak market...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Vesync's major shareholders propose to privatise it at HK$5.60, a 33.3% premium. We consider this a fair and reasonable price based on PER, P/B,...

Vesync may be heading towards privatisation by the Yang family which owns a 68.8% stake. Using historical P/B average and sector PER average as...

China Gas' spin-off of value-added services could boost the stock by 3.4-12.8%, with VAS contributing 23.5% of total segment profit. Weak market...