India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Q4 FY26 concalls confirm five simultaneous cost shocks: bushing supply crunch, transformer oil inflation, US tariff volatility, Middle East export displacement and power-versus-distribution backlog mismatch hitting transformer manufacturers at once</li>
<li>India's transformer capacity set to nearly double to 690 GVA by FY28; the structural demand story is intact. But near-term margin compression is real as input cost escalates</li>
<li>The sector is building through a margin trough not a demand trough. Backward integration (CRGO, bushings, pressboard) is the critical differentiator for whoever emerges with structurally superior margins in FY28.</li>
</ul>


Q4 FY26 concalls confirm five simultaneous cost shocks: bushing supply crunch, transformer oil inflation, US tariff volatility, Middle East export displacement and power-versus-distribution backlog mismatch hitting transformer manufacturers at once
India's transformer capacity set to nearly double to 690 GVA by FY28; the structural demand story is intact. But near-term margin compression is real as input cost escalates
The sector is building through a margin trough not a demand trough. Backward integration (CRGO, bushings, pressboard) is the critical differentiator for whoever emerges with structurally superior margins in FY28.


Strong Order Books, Squeezed Margins: What India's Transformer Industry Is Actually Saying?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>NHAI awarding picks up pace, but subpar: In FY26, we saw some pick-up in awards but much lower than expectation at ~2,100km vs 4,500km target</li><li>This resulted in players like GR and KNR winning few projects but not enough to meet guidance</li><li>For our road coverage universe, awards win has been around 50% of the guidance</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NHAI awarding picks up pace, but subpar: In FY26, we saw some pick-up in awards but much lower than expectation at ~2,100km vs 4,500km targetThis resulted in players like GR and KNR winning few projects but not enough to meet guidanceFor our road coverage universe, awards win has been around 50% of the guidanceContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Industrials (Q4FY26 Results Preview): Domestic recovery, geopolitical headwinds

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>A big rally in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-energy-india-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36054:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Energy India (POWERIND IN)</a> this year could lead to the stock being added to a global index in August.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-energy-india-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36054:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Energy India (POWERIND IN)</a> has outperformed its peers and now trades at significantly higher valuations compared to its peer group.</li>
<li>There is positioning in the stock and early entrants could be looking to unwind some of their holdings over the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


A big rally in Hitachi Energy India (POWERIND IN) this year could lead to the stock being added to a global index in August.

Hitachi Energy India (POWERIND IN) has outperformed its peers and now trades at significantly higher valuations compared to its peer group.
There is positioning in the stock and early entrants could be looking to unwind some of their holdings over the next couple of weeks.


Hitachi Energy India (POWERIND IN): Powering into a Global Index in August

<ul>
<li>Budget 2026 grants foreign cloud companies a tax holiday until 2047, while four Indian conglomerates are on track to control 35-40% of national data center capacity by 2030.</li>
<li>The partnership model between global hyperscalers and Indian operators, structurally unlike the USA/Europe build-own approach, concentrates economic value domestically and compresses timelines.</li>
<li>AI demand is so capital-magnetic that the sector will grow regardless, but a chronic grid delivery gap raises the probability of the 10 GW target slipping to 2032.</li>
</ul>


Budget 2026 grants foreign cloud companies a tax holiday until 2047, while four Indian conglomerates are on track to control 35-40% of national data center capacity by 2030.
The partnership model between global hyperscalers and Indian operators, structurally unlike the USA/Europe build-own approach, concentrates economic value domestically and compresses timelines.
AI demand is so capital-magnetic that the sector will grow regardless, but a chronic grid delivery gap raises the probability of the 10 GW target slipping to 2032.


Thematic Report: India's Data Center Oligopoly!

<ul>
<li>India's power equipment manufacturers are collectively committing roughly INR 32,000 crore to new factories and capacity upgrades, the largest manufacturing investment wave the sector has seen in decades.</li>
<li>Peak electricity demand hit a record 250 GW in FY25 and is heading toward 458 GW by 2032, creating an order environment that manufacturers cannot fulfill with existing infrastructure alone.</li>
<li>This is not a single big-ticket NTPC-style investment, but dozens of simultaneous factory expansions across the power value chain funded majorly by internal accrual shocasing their confidence.</li>
</ul>


India's power equipment manufacturers are collectively committing roughly INR 32,000 crore to new factories and capacity upgrades, the largest manufacturing investment wave the sector has seen in decades.
Peak electricity demand hit a record 250 GW in FY25 and is heading toward 458 GW by 2032, creating an order environment that manufacturers cannot fulfill with existing infrastructure alone.
This is not a single big-ticket NTPC-style investment, but dozens of simultaneous factory expansions across the power value chain funded majorly by internal accrual shocasing their confidence.


India’s Energy Sector ₹32,000 Cr Capex Surge: Decoding the Value Chain

India

Hitachi Energy India Limited manufactures electrical equipment.

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Hitachi Energy India (POWERIND IN)

Strong Order Books, Squeezed Margins: What India's Transformer Industry Is Actually Saying?

Record backlogs. Collapsing margins. Five cost shocks hitting India's transformer sector at once and one backward integration race that decides...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Industrials (Q4FY26 Results Preview): Domestic recovery, geopolitical headwinds

NHAI awarding picks up pace, but subpar: In FY26, we saw some pick-up in awards but much lower than expectation at ~2,100km vs 4,500km target

HDFC Securities