Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.</li>
<li>We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.</li>
<li>With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.
We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.
With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.


Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Will we see more of the same ineffectual export curbs or a lightening of export restrictions?</li>
<li>Expect a continued rotation into all things non-tech in JP including Home Builders who jumped overnight as yields sank.</li>
<li>Plenty of shorts with ample downside including Hitachi, Fuji Elec, Hokkaido Elec outside of the mainstay AI plays.</li>
</ul>


Will we see more of the same ineffectual export curbs or a lightening of export restrictions?
Expect a continued rotation into all things non-tech in JP including Home Builders who jumped overnight as yields sank.
Plenty of shorts with ample downside including Hitachi, Fuji Elec, Hokkaido Elec outside of the mainstay AI plays.


Japan Morning Connection: US Tech Meltdown Set to Hit Japan AI/Tech Names Again

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>WEEKLY tactical global macro recap/analysis for several markets and stocks we track, grouped by sector.</li>
<li>We apply our quantitative models to each instrument's trend, to determine which stocks/markets are just starting a trend, are in the middle of it, or are about to end it. </li>
<li>
<strong>Most overbought</strong>: Meta, Softbank Group, SK Hynix, USO. <strong>Most oversold</strong>: NetEase Cloud Music, BYD Company, HKEX and Clearing, ASX 200, CATL, Hitachi, Advantest Corp, SPDR Gold Shares, BHP Group Ltd</li>
</ul>


WEEKLY tactical global macro recap/analysis for several markets and stocks we track, grouped by sector.
We apply our quantitative models to each instrument's trend, to determine which stocks/markets are just starting a trend, are in the middle of it, or are about to end it. 

Most overbought: Meta, Softbank Group, SK Hynix, USO. Most oversold: NetEase Cloud Music, BYD Company, HKEX and Clearing, ASX 200, CATL, Hitachi, Advantest Corp, SPDR Gold Shares, BHP Group Ltd


WEEKLY Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setups : SoftBank Group, SK Hynix, CATL, META, Gold, Oil, NetEase

<ul>
<li>Cummin's earnings +8.9% a good read for DC related power plays.</li>
<li>Weakness for Nintendo on an earnings miss could be a good chance to buy ahead of new Switch announcement.</li>
<li>JMDC sets a good tone for medical data related plays including M3 and Medley.</li>
</ul>


Cummin's earnings +8.9% a good read for DC related power plays.
Weakness for Nintendo on an earnings miss could be a good chance to buy ahead of new Switch announcement.
JMDC sets a good tone for medical data related plays including M3 and Medley.


Japan Morning Connection: Markets Turning Surprisingly Risk-On Despite the Election Uncertainty

<ul>
<li>Tech sell-off sets a weak tone for Japanese SPE after some big gains yesterday.</li>
<li>Good set of numbers for Advantest should buck this trend, although upside may be capped.</li>
<li>Is the big growth story for Hitachi, now +700% off its CV-19 lows finally over after its earnings and guidance miss?</li>
</ul>


Tech sell-off sets a weak tone for Japanese SPE after some big gains yesterday.
Good set of numbers for Advantest should buck this trend, although upside may be capped.
Is the big growth story for Hitachi, now +700% off its CV-19 lows finally over after its earnings and guidance miss?


Japan Morning Connection: Apple Suppliers in Focus After a Big Miss by Qorvo

Japan

Hitachi, Ltd. manufactures communications and electronic equipment, heavy electrical and industrial machinery, and consumer electronics.  The Company's diverse product line ranges from nuclear power systems to kitchen appliances. Hitachi also operates subsidiaries in the wire and cable, metal, and chemical industries.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Hitachi Ltd Adr (HTHIY US)

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar $DXY = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI despite near-term downside risk. We remain bullish if $ACWI > $116,...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: US Tech Meltdown Set to Hit Japan AI/Tech Names Again

Expect a continued shift away towards non-tech sectors, particularly home builders. Plenty of shorts with downside to consider.

Andrew Jackson

WEEKLY Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setups : SoftBank Group, SK Hynix, CATL, META, Gold, Oil, NetEase

Weekly Macro Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setups - Quantitative models tracking momentum extremes across Asian/Global equities and commodities to...

Nico Rosti

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Turning Surprisingly Risk-On Despite the Election Uncertainty

Cummin's earnings a good read for DC-related power plays. Nintendo's miss may present a buying opportunity before new Switch announcement. JMDC...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Apple Suppliers in Focus After a Big Miss by Qorvo

Tech sell-off sets weak tone for Japanese SPE after yesterday's gains, however Advantest's strong numbers may provide support. Hitachi's growth...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar $DXY = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI despite near-term downside risk. We remain bullish if $ACWI > $116,...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: US Tech Meltdown Set to Hit Japan AI/Tech Names Again

Expect a continued shift away towards non-tech sectors, particularly home builders. Plenty of shorts with downside to consider.

Andrew Jackson

WEEKLY Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setups : SoftBank Group, SK Hynix, CATL, META, Gold, Oil, NetEase

Weekly Macro Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setups - Quantitative models tracking momentum extremes across Asian/Global equities and commodities to...

Nico Rosti

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Turning Surprisingly Risk-On Despite the Election Uncertainty

​Cummin's earnings a good read for DC-related power plays. Nintendo's miss may present a buying opportunity before new Switch announcement. JMDC...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Apple Suppliers in Focus After a Big Miss by Qorvo

​Tech sell-off sets weak tone for Japanese SPE after yesterday's gains, however Advantest's strong numbers may provide support. Hitachi's growth...

Andrew Jackson

Cummin's earnings a good read for DC-related power plays. Nintendo's miss may present a buying opportunity before new Switch announcement. JMDC...

Tech sell-off sets weak tone for Japanese SPE after yesterday's gains, however Advantest's strong numbers may provide support. Hitachi's growth...