Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 45 adds/39 deletes for the JPX Nikkei400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are many stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 8.1% and a round-trip trade of JPY 1,424bn (US$9bn).</li>
<li>The adds have been floundering versus the deletes over the last few months and there could be some outperformance heading into implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 45 adds/39 deletes for the JPX Nikkei400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are many stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.
Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 8.1% and a round-trip trade of JPY 1,424bn (US$9bn).
The adds have been floundering versus the deletes over the last few months and there could be some outperformance heading into implementation of the changes.


JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: 45 Adds; 39 Deletes; US$9bn Trade

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW TO KEEP ABREAST.
</li>
<li>
OVERSEAS: SPX continue to hold as Tech leads the rebound; FTC moves to block MSFT acquistion of Activision (good); China stocks continue to be bid; Broadcom strong;  PPI on Friday</li>
<li>
JAPAN: Major SQ  futures point to +0.4% open on the NKY;  Govt continues to push forward with Nuclear rebirth(postive MHI);  Kishida outlines how to pay for massive defense spending rise</li>
</ul>



Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW TO KEEP ABREAST.


OVERSEAS: SPX continue to hold as Tech leads the rebound; FTC moves to block MSFT acquistion of Activision (good); China stocks continue to be bid; Broadcom strong;  PPI on Friday

JAPAN: Major SQ  futures point to +0.4% open on the NKY;  Govt continues to push forward with Nuclear rebirth(postive MHI);  Kishida outlines how to pay for massive defense spending rise


Good Morning Japan |Equities Continue to Hold; China Stocks on Fire; Japan Major SQ

<ul>
<li>
Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW TO KEEP ABREAST.
</li>
<li>OVERSEAS:  SPX holding 100D; Trading in tight range at support; Focus on now recession risks; China continues to normalize around COVID; Microsoft tries to appease regulators; Carvana facing bankruptcy  </li>
<li>JAPAN: NKY futs -0.4% vs cash;  USDJPY ¥136.5;  Quiet ahead of major SQ; ANA  hiring again;  KEPCO set to restart Genkai; Hitachi canxl treasury shares; Nintendo strikes deal  with MSFT</li>
</ul>



Good Morning Japan:  We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW TO KEEP ABREAST.

OVERSEAS:  SPX holding 100D; Trading in tight range at support; Focus on now recession risks; China continues to normalize around COVID; Microsoft tries to appease regulators; Carvana facing bankruptcy  
JAPAN: NKY futs -0.4% vs cash;  USDJPY ¥136.5;  Quiet ahead of major SQ; ANA  hiring again;  KEPCO set to restart Genkai; Hitachi canxl treasury shares; Nintendo strikes deal  with MSFT


Good Morning Japan | Directionless Equities; As China Normalizes; Carvana Bankruptcy Imminent

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jul 31st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD26,908m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, Advantest, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Nintendo, Tokyo Electron, Sumitomo Mitsui Trust, Mizuho Financial, Disco, Toyota Motor, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jul 31st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD26,908m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, Advantest, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Nintendo, Tokyo Electron, Sumitomo Mitsui Trust, Mizuho Financial, Disco, Toyota Motor, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 31st): Kioxia, Advantest, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Nintendo, Disco

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We follow up our original piece after the release of full-year results and the annual IR day.</li>
<li>Some decent outperformance from the stock despite AI disruption fears.</li>
<li>Stock is cheap if the medium-term plan is achieved with Q1 results, the first scorecard.</li>
</ul>


We follow up our original piece after the release of full-year results and the annual IR day.
Some decent outperformance from the stock despite AI disruption fears.
Stock is cheap if the medium-term plan is achieved with Q1 results, the first scorecard.


NEC (6701.T) – Thesis Playing Out, Market Not Fully Convinced

Japan

Hitachi, Ltd. manufactures communications and electronic equipment, heavy electrical and industrial machinery, and consumer electronics.  The Company's diverse product line ranges from nuclear power systems to kitchen appliances. Hitachi also operates subsidiaries in the wire and cable, metal, and chemical industries.

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Hitachi Ltd (6501 JP)

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: 45 Adds; 39 Deletes; US$9bn Trade

There are 45 adds/39 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index resulting in a one-way turnover of 8.1% and a round-trip trade of JPY 1,424bn (US$9bn)....

Brian Freitas

Good Morning Japan |Equities Continue to Hold; China Stocks on Fire; Japan Major SQ

Good Morning Japan: We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW TO KEEP...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | Directionless Equities; As China Normalizes; Carvana Bankruptcy Imminent

Good Morning Japan: We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW TO KEEP...

Mark Chadwick

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 31st): Kioxia, Advantest, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Nintendo, Disco

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Kioxia (285A JP), Advantest (6857 JP), Mitsubishi UFJ Financial...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

NEC (6701.T) – Thesis Playing Out, Market Not Fully Convinced

+6% after Q1results. revenue +14.5% to ¥819.8bn; non-GAAP OP +¥34.7bn to ¥74.7bn. FY OP guidance raised ¥10bn to ¥430bn (revenue +¥40bn to...

Rikki Malik

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