Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For the month of December 2024, 13 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$16bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in December was ~46%. The average premium in 2024 was ~43%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of December 2024, 13 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$16bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in December was ~46%. The average premium in 2024 was ~43%.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Dec 2024: De Grey, Insignia, ESR Group, Fosun Tourism, HKBN, Pentamaster, Beenos

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>On 28 November, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avjennings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12578:1" rel="noopener">Avjennings Ltd (AVJ AU)</a> disclosed a non-binding indicative proposal from AVID at A$0.67 per share, a 103.0% premium to the undisturbed price. </li>
<li>On 27 December, Queensgate Investments became a substantial shareholder, representing 5.39% of outstanding shares. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ho-bee-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18298:1" rel="noopener">Ho Bee Land Ltd (HOBEE SP)</a>, a Singaporean real-estate developer, owns Queensgate.</li>
<li>Ho Bee Land is a strategic investor and is likely contemplating a competing offer, mainly because AVID’s offer is below NTA and AVJennings's controlling shareholder’s ties to Singapore. </li>
</ul>


On 28 November, Avjennings Ltd (AVJ AU) disclosed a non-binding indicative proposal from AVID at A$0.67 per share, a 103.0% premium to the undisturbed price. 
On 27 December, Queensgate Investments became a substantial shareholder, representing 5.39% of outstanding shares. Ho Bee Land Ltd (HOBEE SP), a Singaporean real-estate developer, owns Queensgate.
Ho Bee Land is a strategic investor and is likely contemplating a competing offer, mainly because AVID’s offer is below NTA and AVJennings's controlling shareholder’s ties to Singapore. 


AVJennings (AVJ AU): Competing Offer Brewing

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ec-world-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22842" rel="noopener">EC World Reit (ECWREIT SP)</a> 2Q22 DPU -9.5% YoY; Hit by the pre-termination compensation, though top-line remains stable</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sasseur-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26807" rel="noopener">Sasseur REIT (SASSR SP)</a> 2Q22 DPU -1.6% YoY; Weak performance of variable rental income though occupancy improving</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cromwell-european-real-estate" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25889" rel="noopener">Cromwell European REIT (CERT SP)</a> 1H22 DPU +2.3% YoY; Weaknesses in I&amp;L reversions, overall portfolio metrics remain stable</li>
</ul>



EC World Reit (ECWREIT SP) 2Q22 DPU -9.5% YoY; Hit by the pre-termination compensation, though top-line remains stable

Sasseur REIT (SASSR SP) 2Q22 DPU -1.6% YoY; Weak performance of variable rental income though occupancy improving

Cromwell European REIT (CERT SP) 1H22 DPU +2.3% YoY; Weaknesses in I&amp;L reversions, overall portfolio metrics remain stable


ASEAN Builder's Scoop (12Aug22) - ECWREIT Steady Top-Line Due to Master Leases

<ul>
<li>The Ong directors tried every trick in the book to derail the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwa-hong-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6648:1" rel="noopener">Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP)</a> offer. The trump card was hiring Evercore to attract competing offers by 25 July.</li>
<li>The Board confirmed today that there are no competing offers. This is a catalyst for shareholders sitting on the fence to accept the S$0.40 per share offer.</li>
<li>The offer closes on 1 August. While meeting the 50%+ minimum acceptance condition will be a close-run, we think it will be met. The gross spread is 5.3%.     </li>
</ul>


The Ong directors tried every trick in the book to derail the Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP) offer. The trump card was hiring Evercore to attract competing offers by 25 July.
The Board confirmed today that there are no competing offers. This is a catalyst for shareholders sitting on the fence to accept the S$0.40 per share offer.
The offer closes on 1 August. While meeting the 50%+ minimum acceptance condition will be a close-run, we think it will be met. The gross spread is 5.3%.     


<ul><li>Two 99-year leasehold developments slated for Jul22 launch; Cape Royale in Sentosa selling at an attractive S$2,103psf onwards</li><li>Sun Venture in due diligence to acquire Bugis Junction Towers</li><li>Bukit Batok EC site launched for tender under 1H22 GLS programme; Up to 8 bidders expected to participate</li></ul>

Two 99-year leasehold developments slated for Jul22 launch; Cape Royale in Sentosa selling at an attractive S$2,103psf onwardsSun Venture in due diligence to acquire Bugis Junction TowersBukit Batok EC site launched for tender under 1H22 GLS programme; Up to 8 bidders expected to participate

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (29Jun22) - Cape Royale in Sentosa Selling for S$2,100+psf Onwards

Singapore

Ho Bee Land Limited develops and invests in real estate properties in Singapore and United Kingdom.  The Company also operates hotels.

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Ho Bee Land Ltd (HOBEE SP)

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Dec 2024: De Grey, Insignia, ESR Group, Fosun Tourism, HKBN, Pentamaster, Beenos

For Dec 2024, 13 new transactions were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$16bn. The Dec average premium for these new...

David Blennerhassett

AVJennings (AVJ AU): Competing Offer Brewing

Queensgate Investments, owned by Ho Bee Land, has emerged as a substantial shareholder. Ho Bee is a strategic investor whose action suggests a high...

Arun George

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (12Aug22) - ECWREIT Steady Top-Line Due to Master Leases

SASSR hit by weak variable income; CERT weakness in I&L reversions; IREIT low gearing opportunities; UHU occupancies trending up; PWON reached 44%...

SCCM Asia Research

Hwa Hong Confirms No Competing Offers

It will be close but we think the offer meets the 50%+ minimum acceptance condition. The offer lapses at 5:30 pm on 1 August. At the last close,...

Arun George

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (29Jun22) - Cape Royale in Sentosa Selling for S$2,100+psf Onwards

Sun Venture in DD for Bugis Junction Tower; Bukit Batok EC tender launched; MYR3bn infra of Tun Razak Exchange 99% completed; Phils POGOs coming back

SCCM Asia Research

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