Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Sai Gon VRG Investment Corporation (SIP VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 20 December.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 5.1% and that results in a one-way trade of US$23m. There are a few stocks with more than 1x ADV to buy from passives.</li>
<li>The largest passive inflows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vix-securities-joint-stock-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35885:1" rel="noopener">VIX Securities (VIX VN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vietnam-dairy-products-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19635:1" rel="noopener">Vietnam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hoa-phat-group-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5813:1" rel="noopener">Hoa Phat Group Jsc (HPG VN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsc-bank-for-foreign-trade-of-vietnam-vietcombank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23054:1" rel="noopener">Vietcombank (VCB VN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Sai Gon VRG Investment Corporation (SIP VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 20 December.
Estimated one-way turnover is 5.1% and that results in a one-way trade of US$23m. There are a few stocks with more than 1x ADV to buy from passives.
The largest passive inflows will be in VIX Securities (VIX VN), Vietnam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN), Hoa Phat Group Jsc (HPG VN) and Vietcombank (VCB VN). 


MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add, Float & Capping Changes

Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms, Mint Finance

Pranay Yadav

Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Vietnam is streamlining transactions for foreign investors through market reforms as it seeks reclassification from frontier to emerging market status, a change that could drive substantial inflows into its equities.</li>
<li>Vietnam's strategic location, low labor costs, and "China Plus One" strategy make it a key player in global manufacturing. Strong domestic growth suggests equity upside.</li>
<li>The iEdge Vietnam 30 Sector Cap Index provides exposure to Real Estate, Financial Services, and Manufacturing. The index’s forward P/E of 13.65 suggests strong earnings growth ahead.</li>
</ul>


Vietnam is streamlining transactions for foreign investors through market reforms as it seeks reclassification from frontier to emerging market status, a change that could drive substantial inflows into its equities.
Vietnam's strategic location, low labor costs, and "China Plus One" strategy make it a key player in global manufacturing. Strong domestic growth suggests equity upside.
The iEdge Vietnam 30 Sector Cap Index provides exposure to Real Estate, Financial Services, and Manufacturing. The index’s forward P/E of 13.65 suggests strong earnings growth ahead.


Vietnam's Equities Poised To Recover On The Back Of Potential Market Upgrade And Easing Overhang

<ul>
<li>Viettel Construction (CTR VN) and EVN Finance (EVF VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 21 June.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 5.2% and that results in a one-way trade of US$27m. There are 3 stocks with more than 1x ADV to buy from passives.</li>
<li>There will be over US$1m to buy in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinhomes-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27079:1" rel="noopener">Vinhomes (VHM VN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-for-foreign-trade-of-vietnam" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23054:1" rel="noopener">Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam (VCB VN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vingroup-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13213:1" rel="noopener">Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Viettel Construction (CTR VN) and EVN Finance (EVF VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 21 June.
Estimated one-way turnover is 5.2% and that results in a one-way trade of US$27m. There are 3 stocks with more than 1x ADV to buy from passives.
There will be over US$1m to buy in Vinhomes (VHM VN), Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam (VCB VN) and Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN). 


MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Two Adds and Other Changes

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the index but there are float and capping changes that will be implemented at the close on 15 September.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.3% and the one-way trade is US$21.5m. There are eight stocks where passive trackers need to trade over 1 day of ADV.</li>
<li>After large creations for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/market-vectors-vietnam-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:648:1" rel="noopener">Market Vectors Vietnam ETF (VNM US)</a> at the start of the year, there has not been a lot of follow-on activity as the market moves higher.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the index but there are float and capping changes that will be implemented at the close on 15 September.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.3% and the one-way trade is US$21.5m. There are eight stocks where passive trackers need to trade over 1 day of ADV.
After large creations for Market Vectors Vietnam ETF (VNM US) at the start of the year, there has not been a lot of follow-on activity as the market moves higher.


MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Some Big Impact Changes

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) have marginally broken above the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range of $93 on ACWI-US.</li>
<li>In our 4/18/23 Int’l MacroVision we acknowledged that a break above $93 and a reach to $96-$97 was also possible – and so far, this is what has played out.</li>
<li>We will continue to watch the $93 level for a potential false breakout, but as long as the ACWI-US is above $90.50, we cannot be bearish.</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI) have marginally broken above the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range of $93 on ACWI-US.
In our 4/18/23 Int’l MacroVision we acknowledged that a break above $93 and a reach to $96-$97 was also possible – and so far, this is what has played out.
We will continue to watch the $93 level for a potential false breakout, but as long as the ACWI-US is above $90.50, we cannot be bearish.


MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece

Vietnam

Hoa Phat Group JSC is a multi-disciplinary manufacturing company. The Company manufactures a wide range of products, including steel, steel pipe, furniture, and refrigeration equipment.

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Hoa Phat Group Jsc (HPG VN)

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add, Float & Capping Changes

Saigon Vrg Investment will be added to the index at the close 20 December. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.1% and that results in a one-way trade...

Brian Freitas

Vietnam's Equities Poised To Recover On The Back Of Potential Market Upgrade And Easing Overhang

Vietnam’s investment case is bolstered by its global manufacturing appeal, concentrated sector opportunities with promising growth, and early signs...

Mint Finance

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Two Adds and Other Changes

Viettel Construction and EVN Finance will be added to the index at the close on 21 June. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.2% and that results in a...

Brian Freitas

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Some Big Impact Changes

Float and capping changes lead to an estimated one-way turnover is 3.3% and a one-way trade is US$21.5m. There are eight stocks where passive...

Brian Freitas

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM $TSM #Samsung $BABA; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece. $ACWI break above $93 and...

Vermilion Research

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