Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our focus on earnings delivery continues, this time turning to ASEAN. We screen stocks with consistent EPS estimate upgrades, strong EPS growth forecasts, net debt/equity below 1 and PEG&lt;1.3x.</li>
<li>In the six ASEAN markets, 10 stocks satisfy our criteria - four from Vietnam, two each from Indonesia and Thailand and one each from Singapore and Malaysia.</li>
<li>Nine of the ten stocks appreciated sharply over the past 3 and 6 months. Over the past 12 months 7 stocks appreciated and three declined.</li>
</ul>


Our focus on earnings delivery continues, this time turning to ASEAN. We screen stocks with consistent EPS estimate upgrades, strong EPS growth forecasts, net debt/equity below 1 and PEG&lt;1.3x.
In the six ASEAN markets, 10 stocks satisfy our criteria - four from Vietnam, two each from Indonesia and Thailand and one each from Singapore and Malaysia.
Nine of the ten stocks appreciated sharply over the past 3 and 6 months. Over the past 12 months 7 stocks appreciated and three declined.


Earnings Delivery, Reasonable Valuations, Healthy Balance Sheet - Ten Stocks in ASEAN

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baf-vietnam-agriculture-joint-stock-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45291" rel="noopener">BAF Vietnam Agriculture (BAF VN)</a> will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 20 June.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 9% and that results in a round-trip trade of US$74m. There are 5 stocks with more than 1x ADV to trade from passives.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vingroup-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13213:1" rel="noopener">Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinhomes-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27079:1" rel="noopener">Vinhomes (VHM VN)</a> stock prices have soared over the last few months and capping results in selling at this rebalance.</li>
</ul>



BAF Vietnam Agriculture (BAF VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 20 June.
Estimated one-way turnover is 9% and that results in a round-trip trade of US$74m. There are 5 stocks with more than 1x ADV to trade from passives.

Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN) and Vinhomes (VHM VN) stock prices have soared over the last few months and capping results in selling at this rebalance.


MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add, Capping & Float Changes

<ul>
<li>Nam A Commercial Joint Stock Bank (NAB VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 21 March.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.1% and that results in a round-trip trade of US$26m. There are 3 stocks with more than 1x ADV to trade from passives.</li>
<li>Vietnam is on the watchlist of a global index provider for possible reclassification from Frontier to Secondary Emerging Market and that could lead to inflows to the stocks.</li>
</ul>


Nam A Commercial Joint Stock Bank (NAB VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 21 March.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.1% and that results in a round-trip trade of US$26m. There are 3 stocks with more than 1x ADV to trade from passives.
Vietnam is on the watchlist of a global index provider for possible reclassification from Frontier to Secondary Emerging Market and that could lead to inflows to the stocks.


<ul>
<li>Sai Gon VRG Investment Corporation (SIP VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 20 December.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 5.1% and that results in a one-way trade of US$23m. There are a few stocks with more than 1x ADV to buy from passives.</li>
<li>The largest passive inflows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vix-securities-joint-stock-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35885:1" rel="noopener">VIX Securities (VIX VN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vietnam-dairy-products-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19635:1" rel="noopener">Vietnam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hoa-phat-group-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5813:1" rel="noopener">Hoa Phat Group Jsc (HPG VN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsc-bank-for-foreign-trade-of-vietnam-vietcombank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23054:1" rel="noopener">Vietcombank (VCB VN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Sai Gon VRG Investment Corporation (SIP VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 20 December.
Estimated one-way turnover is 5.1% and that results in a one-way trade of US$23m. There are a few stocks with more than 1x ADV to buy from passives.
The largest passive inflows will be in VIX Securities (VIX VN), Vietnam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN), Hoa Phat Group Jsc (HPG VN) and Vietcombank (VCB VN). 


MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add, Float & Capping Changes

<ul>
<li>Viettel Construction (CTR VN) and EVN Finance (EVF VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 21 June.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 5.2% and that results in a one-way trade of US$27m. There are 3 stocks with more than 1x ADV to buy from passives.</li>
<li>There will be over US$1m to buy in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinhomes-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27079:1" rel="noopener">Vinhomes (VHM VN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-for-foreign-trade-of-vietnam" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23054:1" rel="noopener">Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam (VCB VN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vingroup-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13213:1" rel="noopener">Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Viettel Construction (CTR VN) and EVN Finance (EVF VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 21 June.
Estimated one-way turnover is 5.2% and that results in a one-way trade of US$27m. There are 3 stocks with more than 1x ADV to buy from passives.
There will be over US$1m to buy in Vinhomes (VHM VN), Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam (VCB VN) and Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN). 


MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Two Adds and Other Changes

Vietnam

Hoa Phat Group is a leading industrial manufacturing group in Vietnam, primarily specializing in iron and steel production, including construction steel, hot rolled coil, steel pipes, and galvanized steel. The group also diversifies into agriculture, real estate, and home appliances. Founded in August 1992 as a construction machine and equipment trading company, Hoa Phat Group is headquartered in Hanoi, Vietnam.

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Hoa Phat Group (HPG VN)

Earnings Delivery, Reasonable Valuations, Healthy Balance Sheet - Ten Stocks in ASEAN

We identify stocks in ASEAN with consistent EPS est upgrades, strong growth forecasts, low debt/equity, and PEG<1.3x. Ten stocks meet the...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add, Capping & Float Changes

One add and large capping changes result in one-way turnover of 9% and a round-trip trade of US$74m. Vingroup and Vinhomes stock prices have soared...

Brian Freitas

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add, Capping & Float Changes

Nam A Commercial JSB is an add and there are capping and float changes. Vietnam could move from Frontier to Secondary Emerging Market in a global...

Brian Freitas

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add, Float & Capping Changes

Saigon Vrg Investment will be added to the index at the close 20 December. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.1% and that results in a one-way trade...

Brian Freitas

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Two Adds and Other Changes

Viettel Construction and EVN Finance will be added to the index at the close on 21 June. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.2% and that results in a...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

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Earnings Delivery, Reasonable Valuations, Healthy Balance Sheet - Ten Stocks in ASEAN

​We identify stocks in ASEAN with consistent EPS est upgrades, strong growth forecasts, low debt/equity, and PEG<1.3x. Ten stocks meet the...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add, Capping & Float Changes

One add and large capping changes result in one-way turnover of 9% and a round-trip trade of US$74m. Vingroup and Vinhomes stock prices have soared...

Brian Freitas

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add, Capping & Float Changes

Nam A Commercial JSB is an add and there are capping and float changes. Vietnam could move from Frontier to Secondary Emerging Market in a global...

Brian Freitas

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add, Float & Capping Changes

Saigon Vrg Investment will be added to the index at the close 20 December. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.1% and that results in a one-way trade...

Brian Freitas

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Two Adds and Other Changes

Viettel Construction and EVN Finance will be added to the index at the close on 21 June. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.2% and that results in a...

Brian Freitas

We identify stocks in ASEAN with consistent EPS est upgrades, strong growth forecasts, low debt/equity, and PEG<1.3x. Ten stocks meet the...