Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>There are few large US banks where quarterly net interest income is more than 1.6x higher now on average than in late FY19 and early FY20</li>
<li>JPM demonstrates some of the best asset-liability management (ALM) of any major bank in the US</li>
<li>Other risks and parts of the business appear to be very well managed too, including credit risk and operating costs</li>
</ul>


There are few large US banks where quarterly net interest income is more than 1.6x higher now on average than in late FY19 and early FY20
JPM demonstrates some of the best asset-liability management (ALM) of any major bank in the US
Other risks and parts of the business appear to be very well managed too, including credit risk and operating costs


JPM - Exceptional Core Income Strength, ALM Is Excellent, HFD for US Banks Supports Outlook

The most powerful delta is well in place for credit costs. During coming quarters the bank may see a union of several deltas: improving net interest income, net fee income, contained costs and less provision costs.

The most powerful delta is well in place for credit costs. During coming quarters the bank may see a union of several deltas: improving net interest income, net fee income, contained costs and less provision costs. 

US regional bank, Home BancShares may have had the highest credit cost delta in the most recent year of any bank globally. We can find no other, that is higher. The implications are for perhaps the greatest decline in credit costs in the current year.

US regional bank, Home BancShares may have had the highest credit cost delta in the most recent year of any bank globally. We can find no other, that is higher. The implications are for perhaps the greatest decline in credit costs in the current year.

Banks – Highest Provision Delta Globally?

The Utah-based bank saw its credit costs in sharp reversal during the most recent quarter. This bank had stood out in our research some months ago, where its credit costs were 58x higher than recent levels. Figures can still improve.

The Utah-based bank saw its credit costs in sharp reversal during the most recent quarter. This bank had stood out in our research some months ago, where its credit costs were 58x higher than recent levels. Figures can still improve.

United States

Home BancShares Inc. is a bank holding company whose subsidiaries provide a range of commercial and retail banking services to businesses, real estate developers and investors, individuals and municipalities.  The Banks serve central Arkansas, and the Florida Keys and southwestern Florida.

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Home Bancshares (HOMB US)

JPM - Exceptional Core Income Strength, ALM Is Excellent, HFD for US Banks Supports Outlook

JPM shows some of the best rise of quarterly net interest income in US banking, and we believe this is very much due strong ALM, which is core to...

Daniel Tabbush

Erste Bank – Venn Union of Delta

The most powerful delta is well in place. During coming quarters the bank may see a union of several deltas: improving net interest income, net fee...

Daniel Tabbush

Banks – Highest Provision Delta Globally?

US regional bank, Home BancShares may have had the highest credit cost delta in the most recent year of any bank globally. Its credit costs rose...

Daniel Tabbush

Zions – Most Prone To Reversals

Credit costs in FY20 were 11x higher than FY19, despite 4Q20 reversals. The bank can see a greater decline during FY21 than most US banks. It also...

Daniel Tabbush

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