Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-stock-exchange-weighted-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26056:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index (TWSE INDEX)</a> has surged this year as the Artificial Intelligence <s>hype</s> boom has taken over.</li>
<li>Short notional has risen too, more due to higher stock prices than due to increased shorting. However, there are stocks that have seen big changes in short interest YTD.</li>
<li>The largest YTD increase in shorts have been in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hon-hai-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:745:1" rel="noopener">Hon Hai Precision Industry</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lite-on-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14591:1" rel="noopener">Lite On Technology</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/acer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15726:1" rel="noopener">Acer</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wistron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2189:1" rel="noopener">Wistron Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-steel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:962:1" rel="noopener">China Steel</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhen-ding-technology-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16830:1" rel="noopener">Zhen Ding Technology Holding</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chailease-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6579:1" rel="noopener">Chailease Holding</a>.</li>
</ul>


The Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index (TWSE INDEX) has surged this year as the Artificial Intelligence hype boom has taken over.
Short notional has risen too, more due to higher stock prices than due to increased shorting. However, there are stocks that have seen big changes in short interest YTD.
The largest YTD increase in shorts have been in Novatek Microelectronics, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Lite On Technology, Acer, Wistron Corp, China Steel, Zhen Ding Technology Holding and Chailease Holding.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 2nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD902.6bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD2,923mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Umc, TSMC, Hon Hai, Mediatek, Quanta Computer, Unimicron Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 2nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD902.6bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD2,923mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Umc, TSMC, Hon Hai, Mediatek, Quanta Computer, Unimicron Tech.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 2nd): Umc, TSMC, Hon Hai, Mediatek, Quanta Computer, Unimicron Tech

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 26th which has an aggregated holding worth USD924.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,653mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Gigabyte Tech, TSMC, Quanta Computer, ASE, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 26th which has an aggregated holding worth USD924.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,653mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Gigabyte Tech, TSMC, Quanta Computer, ASE, Mediatek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 26th): Gigabyte Tech, TSMC, Quanta Computer, ASE, Mediatek

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 19th which has an aggregated holding worth USD965.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD3,489mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Wiwynn, TSMC, Quanta Computer, Mediatek, Gigabyte Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 19th which has an aggregated holding worth USD965.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD3,489mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Wiwynn, TSMC, Quanta Computer, Mediatek, Gigabyte Tech.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 19th): Wiwynn, TSMC, Quanta Computer, Mediatek, Gigabyte Tech

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

CK Infrastructure Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy (GULF TB)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch (INTUCH TB)</a> merger is an opportunistic, bullying method designed to have GULF shareholders buy INTUCH and therefore <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-info-service-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:947:1" rel="noopener">AIS (ADVANC TB)</a> at too low a price. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-infrastructure-holdings-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:163:1" rel="noopener">CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK)</a>'s interest in a possible London listing coincides with the LSE undergoing a listing regime change.</li>
<li>Management continue to creep their stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a>, and now hold a shade under 50%. </li>
</ul>


The Gulf Energy (GULF TB)/Intouch (INTUCH TB) merger is an opportunistic, bullying method designed to have GULF shareholders buy INTUCH and therefore AIS (ADVANC TB) at too low a price. 

CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK)'s interest in a possible London listing coincides with the LSE undergoing a listing regime change.
Management continue to creep their stake in Zhongsheng Group (881 HK), and now hold a shade under 50%. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Gulf Energy/Intouch, CK Infra, Zhongsheng, Thai Beverage, Fraser & Neave

Taiwan

Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. provides electronic manufacturing services for computers, communications, and consumer electronic products.  The Company's business operations include desktop and notebook PC assembly, connector production, cable assembly, PCB assembly, handset manufacturing, networking equipment, and other consumer electronic devices manufacturing.

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Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)

Taiwan: YTD Short Interest Moves

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TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 2nd): Umc, TSMC, Hon Hai, Mediatek, Quanta Computer, Unimicron Tech

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Umc, TSMC, Hon Hai, Mediatek, Quanta Computer,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 26th): Gigabyte Tech, TSMC, Quanta Computer, ASE, Mediatek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Gigabyte Tech, TSMC, Quanta Computer, ASE,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 19th): Wiwynn, TSMC, Quanta Computer, Mediatek, Gigabyte Tech

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Wiwynn, TSMC, Quanta Computer, Mediatek,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: Gulf Energy/Intouch, CK Infra, Zhongsheng, Thai Beverage, Fraser & Neave

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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