Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 281 Chinese companies listed on U.S Stock Exchanges with a total market cap of US$869bn. 32 of these companies are listed on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>If the rumours of Chinese stocks being delisted from U.S. Exchanges gathers steam, we could see a wave of secondary listings in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pdd-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">PDD Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/full-truck-alliance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33429:1" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vipshop-holdings-ltd-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1088:1" rel="noopener">Vipshop Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tal-education-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1124:1" rel="noopener">TAL Education</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR</a> are the largest China ADRs with no HK listing and could come under pressure.</li>
</ul>


We see 281 Chinese companies listed on U.S Stock Exchanges with a total market cap of US$869bn. 32 of these companies are listed on the HKEX (388 HK). 
If the rumours of Chinese stocks being delisted from U.S. Exchanges gathers steam, we could see a wave of secondary listings in Hong Kong.

PDD Holdings, Full Truck Alliance, Vipshop Holdings, TAL Education and ZEEKR are the largest China ADRs with no HK listing and could come under pressure.


What if China ADRs Are Delisted from US Exchanges?

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-kelun-biotech-biopharm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40071:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Bio (6990 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Ind. (669 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chervon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35309:1" rel="noopener">Chervon Hldgs (2285 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd-bf4a1265-beef-48b6-b82d-29308426030f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27795:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)</a> have a very high reliance on the US market.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vtech-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18812:1" rel="noopener">Vtech Hldgs (303 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsonite-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12790:1" rel="noopener">Samsonite (1910 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tcl-multimedia-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15654:1" rel="noopener">Tcl Multimedia (1070 HK)</a> ranked lower on the list, but consumer cutbacks will have a bigger impact. </li>
<li>The spillover effect of a US recession to other countries will pressurise companies that have low direct exposure, like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas International (316 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prada-s-p-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:889:1" rel="noopener">Prada S.P.A. (1913 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Bio (6990 HK), Techtronic Ind. (669 HK), Vesync (2148 HK), Chervon Hldgs (2285 HK), and WuXi AppTec (2359 HK) have a very high reliance on the US market.

Vtech Hldgs (303 HK), Samsonite (1910 HK), Haier Smart Home (6690 HK), and Tcl Multimedia (1070 HK) ranked lower on the list, but consumer cutbacks will have a bigger impact. 
The spillover effect of a US recession to other countries will pressurise companies that have low direct exposure, like Orient Overseas International (316 HK) and Prada S.P.A. (1913 HK).


China & HK Strategy: Who Are the Victims of a US Recession?

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

<ul>
<li>We stick with Brazilian exchange B3 as our core value pick; it has a growing share of data revenues, its post-trade revenues are understated and equity fee pressure is easing</li>
<li>We keep Hong Kong Exchange as a buy, with its high share of post-trade revenues; HKEx shares have been highly volatile, but they represent relative value combined with growth potential</li>
<li>Philippines Stock Exchange (PSE) and BSE are new additions to our coverage of EM exchanges with PSE being one to watch; MexBolsa is deep value, but lacking a re-rating catalyst</li>
</ul>


We stick with Brazilian exchange B3 as our core value pick; it has a growing share of data revenues, its post-trade revenues are understated and equity fee pressure is easing
We keep Hong Kong Exchange as a buy, with its high share of post-trade revenues; HKEx shares have been highly volatile, but they represent relative value combined with growth potential
Philippines Stock Exchange (PSE) and BSE are new additions to our coverage of EM exchanges with PSE being one to watch; MexBolsa is deep value, but lacking a re-rating catalyst


Emerging Market Exchanges – Brazilian Exchange B3 (B3SA3 BZ) Stands Out

Co-Founder & CEO, Newmark Risk

Nicholas Pezolano

Co-Founder & CEO

Option analytics for institutional investors

Newmark Risk

Fin-tech company focused on providing option derived analytics for institutional investors.

We handle the complexity of options data so you don't have to.

- Data and Analytics available all in one place so you can focus on Strategy Development
- Custom Solutions for your data and/or portfolio needs
- Advisory services to lend our expertise

Knowledge is something that was meant to be shared and we provide insights to our clients and to the community via posting about our research findings.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>HKEX has launched weekly stock options for 10 listed equities on 2024-11-04.</li>
<li>We explore recent HKEX volume trends and believe this may be a positive catalyst for HKEX.</li>
<li>HKEX may prove to be a catalyst for more equity option product development in the region.</li>
</ul>


HKEX has launched weekly stock options for 10 listed equities on 2024-11-04.
We explore recent HKEX volume trends and believe this may be a positive catalyst for HKEX.
HKEX may prove to be a catalyst for more equity option product development in the region.


EQD | HKEX Weekly Equity Options off to a Strong Start

Equity Bottom-Up

B3  - Brasil Bolsa Balcao / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our core pick is Brazilian exchange B3; this is a contrarian call, given its poor share price performance year to date, but it is attractively priced versus its peers</li>
<li>B3’s share of post-trade revenue is understated, and it is a well-diversified exchange in terms of the product offering, which includes cash equities, equity derivatives, FX, interest rates and commodities</li>
<li>We also like Hong Kong Exchange, with its high share of post-trade revenues; HKEx should benefit from improving investor sentiment towards China, boosted by the Chinese government’s recent economic stimulus</li>
</ul>


Our core pick is Brazilian exchange B3; this is a contrarian call, given its poor share price performance year to date, but it is attractively priced versus its peers
B3’s share of post-trade revenue is understated, and it is a well-diversified exchange in terms of the product offering, which includes cash equities, equity derivatives, FX, interest rates and commodities
We also like Hong Kong Exchange, with its high share of post-trade revenues; HKEx should benefit from improving investor sentiment towards China, boosted by the Chinese government’s recent economic stimulus


Emerging Market Exchanges – Attractive Valuations with Defensive Qualities

Hong Kong

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Limited owns and operates the stock exchange, futures exchange, and their related clearing houses in Hong Kong.  The Company provides the trading platforms for a range of cash and derivatives products and the facilities for processing trades.

Price Gauge
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HKEX (388 HK)

What if China ADRs Are Delisted from US Exchanges?

The escalating tariff wars have increased calls in the U.S for Chinese companies to be delisted. While there have been few mentions of an...

Brian Freitas

China & HK Strategy: Who Are the Victims of a US Recession?

Reliance on the US market varies among HK-listed companies, with some having high direct exposure to a recession. Those with low direct exposure...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Emerging Market Exchanges – Brazilian Exchange B3 (B3SA3 BZ) Stands Out

Our core value pick is B3 in Brazil, with its well spread product offering; buy HKEx with its high post-trade revenues, whilst PSE is one to watch,...

Victor Galliano

EQD | HKEX Weekly Equity Options off to a Strong Start

HKEX introduces weekly stock options, potentially boosting volume and driving further equity option product development in the region.

Nicholas Pezolano

Emerging Market Exchanges – Attractive Valuations with Defensive Qualities

B3’s share of post-trade revenue is understated, it is a well-diversified exchange in terms of the product offering; HKEx has a high share of post...

Victor Galliano

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

What if China ADRs Are Delisted from US Exchanges?

The escalating tariff wars have increased calls in the U.S for Chinese companies to be delisted. While there have been few mentions of an...

Brian Freitas

China & HK Strategy: Who Are the Victims of a US Recession?

​Reliance on the US market varies among HK-listed companies, with some having high direct exposure to a recession. Those with low direct exposure...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Emerging Market Exchanges – Brazilian Exchange B3 (B3SA3 BZ) Stands Out

Our core value pick is B3 in Brazil, with its well spread product offering; buy HKEx with its high post-trade revenues, whilst PSE is one to watch,...

Victor Galliano

EQD | HKEX Weekly Equity Options off to a Strong Start

​HKEX introduces weekly stock options, potentially boosting volume and driving further equity option product development in the region.

Nicholas Pezolano

Emerging Market Exchanges – Attractive Valuations with Defensive Qualities

​B3’s share of post-trade revenue is understated, it is a well-diversified exchange in terms of the product offering; HKEx has a high share of post...

Victor Galliano

Reliance on the US market varies among HK-listed companies, with some having high direct exposure to a recession. Those with low direct exposure...

HKEX introduces weekly stock options, potentially boosting volume and driving further equity option product development in the region.

B3’s share of post-trade revenue is understated, it is a well-diversified exchange in terms of the product offering; HKEx has a high share of post...