Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO (9866 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27399:1" rel="noopener">NIO (NIO US)</a> is looking to raise up to US$1.15bn, including the overallotment option, in an equity offering across Hong Kong and the U.S.</li>
<li>The HK offering is priced at HK$43.36/share and the ADR pricing is US$5.57/share. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27399:1" rel="noopener">NIO (NIO US)</a> closed at US$5.72/share overnight, so expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO (9866 HK)</a> to open around HK$44.55/share.</li>
<li>There will be buying from global index trackers at the time of settlement of the offering shares. The buying from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> trackers is more nuanced.</li>
</ul>



NIO (9866 HK) / NIO (NIO US) is looking to raise up to US$1.15bn, including the overallotment option, in an equity offering across Hong Kong and the U.S.
The HK offering is priced at HK$43.36/share and the ADR pricing is US$5.57/share. NIO (NIO US) closed at US$5.72/share overnight, so expect NIO (9866 HK) to open around HK$44.55/share.
There will be buying from global index trackers at the time of settlement of the offering shares. The buying from Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) trackers is more nuanced.


NIO (9866 HK/NIO US): Index Implications of US$1bn+ Offering

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 5th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi, Tencent, Pop Mart Intl, Shandong Gold Mining, Horizon Robotics, ZTE, China Hongqiao, Kuaishou.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 5th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi, Tencent, Pop Mart Intl, Shandong Gold Mining, Horizon Robotics, ZTE, China Hongqiao, Kuaishou.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 5th): Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi, Tencent, Pop Mart Intl

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM, XINYI SOLAR, HSBC, Meituan, Jd, AIA, Bidu, Sino Biopharm, Xinyi Solar.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM, XINYI SOLAR, HSBC, Meituan, Jd, AIA, Bidu, Sino Biopharm, Xinyi Solar.


HSI Index Earning Revision (Aug): AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

<ul>
<li>Financials Exchanges have hit record highs in Global fund ownership, with 58% of global funds invested and 49% ahead of the MSCI ACWI index.</li>
<li>CME Group and London Stock Exchange lead momentum, both reaching record ownership after strong inflows through 2023–2024.</li>
<li>Despite growth, ownership breadth remains shallow, with only a few stocks widely held, leaving room for further expansion in positioning.</li>
</ul>


Financials Exchanges have hit record highs in Global fund ownership, with 58% of global funds invested and 49% ahead of the MSCI ACWI index.
CME Group and London Stock Exchange lead momentum, both reaching record ownership after strong inflows through 2023–2024.
Despite growth, ownership breadth remains shallow, with only a few stocks widely held, leaving room for further expansion in positioning.


Global Financial Exchanges: A Sector on the Rise

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-telecom-corp-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1015:1" rel="noopener">China Telecom (H) (728 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (2618 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart (9992 HK)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> at the close on 5 September.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.5% and the estimated round-trip trade is HK$11.25bn (US$1.44bn). The official capping will be done based on closing prices from 2 September.</li>
<li>At 88 constituents, we near the 100-index member target. The target is likely to be reached by early-2027 - maybe 2026 given mainland companies listing of H-shares on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX</a>.</li>
</ul>



China Telecom (H) (728 HK), JD Logistics (2618 HK) and Pop Mart (9992 HK) will be added to the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) at the close on 5 September.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.5% and the estimated round-trip trade is HK$11.25bn (US$1.44bn). The official capping will be done based on closing prices from 2 September.
At 88 constituents, we near the 100-index member target. The target is likely to be reached by early-2027 - maybe 2026 given mainland companies listing of H-shares on the HKEX.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Pop Mart, China Telecom, JD Logistics Added to Get to 88 Members

Hong Kong

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Limited owns and operates the stock exchange, futures exchange, and their related clearing houses in Hong Kong.  The Company provides the trading platforms for a range of cash and derivatives products and the facilities for processing trades.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

HKEX (388 HK)

NIO (9866 HK/NIO US): Index Implications of US$1bn+ Offering

NIO (9866 HK) is looking to raise up to US$1.15bn in an equity offering across HK/US. Global passive trackers will buy around 13% of the offering....

Brian Freitas

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 5th): Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi, Tencent, Pop Mart Intl

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba (9988 HK), Ping An Insurance (2318 HK), Xiaomi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSI Index Earning Revision (Aug): AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM

We analyzed HSI's consensus for Aug 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK), MEITUAN (3690 HK), JD.COM (9618 HK), BIDU...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Global Financial Exchanges: A Sector on the Rise

Financials Exchanges are at record exposure levels, led by CME and LSE. Momentum is strong, but breadth is shallow, with few stocks widely...

Steven Holden

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Pop Mart, China Telecom, JD Logistics Added to Get to 88 Members

Pop Mart, JD Logistics, China Telecom added to get to 88 index members. Estimated one-way turnover is 2.5% and the round-trip trade is HK$11.25bn....

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)