Chief Economist

Diana Choyleva

Enodo Economics

Enodo Economics is an independent macroeconomic forecasting company that untangles complexity, challenges the consensus, and makes sense of the future. Our focus is on China – one of the most misunderstood economies in the world, but one of the most important to figure out.  Enodo’s chief economist, Diana Choyleva, has been analysing China for almost 20 years, while Enodo’s team boasts a combined 140 years’ experience covering China’s economy, politics and markets. 

Macroeconomics

<h2>China News That Matters</h2><ul><li>China’s debt: the default option</li><li>US and China call trade truce, for now</li><li>North Korea at heart of geopolitical manoeuvring in Asia-Pacific</li><li>On your marks, get set, procreate!</li><li>China sets sights on blockchain top spot</li><li>Chinese soft power comes to Bulgaria</li></ul><div class="content-remarks"><p>In my weekly digest China News That Matters, I will give you selected summaries, sourced from a variety of local Chinese-language and international news outlets, and highlight why I think the news is significant. These posts are meant to neither be bullish nor bearish, but help you separate the signal from the noise.</p></div>

China News That MattersChina’s debt: the default optionUS and China call trade truce, for nowNorth Korea at heart of geopolitical manoeuvring in Asia-PacificOn your marks, get set, procreate!China sets sights on blockchain top spotChinese soft power comes to BulgariaIn my weekly digest China News That Matters, I will give you selected summaries, sourced from a variety of local Chinese-language and international news outlets, and highlight why I think the news is significant. These posts are meant to neither be bullish nor bearish, but help you separate the signal from the noise.

China Bond Defaults/Trade Truce or Not/Geopolitical Tension/Birth Control/Blockchain

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

China Construction Bank H / Technical Analysis

<p>We are placing a greater emphasis on triangle patterns maturing in Hong Kong that have a high correlation to the current S&amp;P triangle formation and looking for clues not only for the breakout direction in Hong Kong but also the S&amp;P and the global cycle going into the summer. We features triangle patterns in ICBC and CCB that will act as trade points and counter balance signals.</p><p>Here we see the HSI range contracting with break points at 29,900 and 30,600 and the HK property sector's well defined…</p>

We are placing a greater emphasis on triangle patterns maturing in Hong Kong that have a high correlation to the current S&amp;P triangle formation and looking for clues not only for the breakout direction in Hong Kong but also the S&amp;P and the global cycle going into the summer. We features triangle patterns in ICBC and CCB that will act as trade points and counter balance signals.Here we see the HSI range contracting with break points at 29,900 and 30,600 and the HK property sector's well defined…

<p>We have held a cautious to bearish stance on the S&amp;P from the roll at 2,844 in early February. Increasing evidence points to the current triangulation breaking lower. S&amp;P 2,675 was our near term inflection that has been decisively broken. We are seeing a triangle take shape in the S&amp;P which mirrors the current pattern HK and we take a look at the correlation both markets and weaker links that will act as an inflection point.</p><p>This S&amp;P chart was captured over the weekend and we have since broken…</p>

We have held a cautious to bearish stance on the S&amp;P from the roll at 2,844 in early February. Increasing evidence points to the current triangulation breaking lower. S&amp;P 2,675 was our near term inflection that has been decisively broken. We are seeing a triangle take shape in the S&amp;P which mirrors the current pattern HK and we take a look at the correlation both markets and weaker links that will act as an inflection point.This S&amp;P chart was captured over the weekend and we have since broken…

S&P HSI Reflections as HK Property Teeters

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

<p>Commodities and related stocks are on the rise. Crude oil, industrial metals, and lumber prices are all breaking out to new highs and related energy and materials stocks are reaping the benefits. We expect their outperformance to continue. In this week's report we highlight commodities and actionable associated stocks.</p>

Commodities and related stocks are on the rise. Crude oil, industrial metals, and lumber prices are all breaking out to new highs and related energy and materials stocks are reaping the benefits. We expect their outperformance to continue. In this week's report we highlight commodities and actionable associated stocks.

Opportunities in Global Energy & Materials Stocks

<p>In our April International Strategy, we explore the recent consolidation across global equity markets and examine the following opportunities within:</p><ul><li>Defensive Sectors, including an actionable Group within Health Care: Pharmaceuticals</li><li>Japan and Hong Kong</li><li>Emerging Markets</li></ul><p>Also included are links to in-depth commentary on all 12 sectors</p>

In our April International Strategy, we explore the recent consolidation across global equity markets and examine the following opportunities within:Defensive Sectors, including an actionable Group within Health Care: PharmaceuticalsJapan and Hong KongEmerging MarketsAlso included are links to in-depth commentary on all 12 sectors

Global Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Japan, HK, &  EM

Hong Kong

The Hang Seng Index is a free-float capitalization-weighted index of a selection of companies from the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong. The components of the index are divided into four subindices: Commerce and Industry, Finance, Utilities, and Properties. The index was developed with a base level of 100 as of July 31, 1964.

Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)

China Bond Defaults/Trade Truce or Not/Geopolitical Tension/Birth Control/Blockchain

China News That Matters China’s debt: the default option US and China call trade truce, for now North Korea at heart of geopolitical manoeuvring in...

Diana Choyleva

CCB and ICBC Triangle Break Points

We are placing a greater emphasis on triangle patterns maturing in Hong Kong that have a high correlation to the current S&P triangle formation...

Thomas Schroeder

S&P HSI Reflections as HK Property Teeters

We have held a cautious to bearish stance on the S&P from the roll at 2,844 in early February. Increasing evidence points to the current...

Thomas Schroeder

Opportunities in Global Energy & Materials Stocks

Commodities and related stocks are on the rise. Crude oil, industrial metals, and lumber prices are all breaking out to new highs and related...

Vermilion Research

Global Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Japan, HK, & EM

In our April International Strategy, we explore the recent consolidation across global equity markets and examine the following opportunities...

Vermilion Research