Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Over the past five trading days, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.</li>
<li>Long volatility strategies dominate, with the ratio of bearish vs. bullish positions approximately 2:1.</li>
<li>Diagonal Spreads account for 25% of all strategies and can make for near self-financing strategies. </li>
</ul>


Over the past five trading days, Meituan (3690 HK) multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.
Long volatility strategies dominate, with the ratio of bearish vs. bullish positions approximately 2:1.
Diagonal Spreads account for 25% of all strategies and can make for near self-financing strategies. 


Meituan (3690 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> raised US$5.6bn in a secondary offering a few weeks ago and the stock is trading a lot higher than the placement price.</li>
<li>Buying from global index trackers is done, but there will be more passive buying from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI)</a> trackers later this month.</li>
<li>With the release of the God's Eye advanced driver-assistance system (ADAS), the stock could be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in June, bringing more passive inflows.</li>
</ul>



BYD (1211 HK) raised US$5.6bn in a secondary offering a few weeks ago and the stock is trading a lot higher than the placement price.
Buying from global index trackers is done, but there will be more passive buying from Hang Seng Index (HSI) and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) trackers later this month.
With the release of the God's Eye advanced driver-assistance system (ADAS), the stock could be added to the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in June, bringing more passive inflows.


BYD (1211 HK): God's Eye & Potential HSTECH Index Inclusion

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook</li>
<li>Gold is now considered the most crowded trade. Should we be worried?</li>
<li>Who is going to buy US government bonds going forward?</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook
Gold is now considered the most crowded trade. Should we be worried?
Who is going to buy US government bonds going forward?


HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tcl-multimedia-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15654:1" rel="noopener">Tcl Multimedia Technology (1070 HK)</a> are the prime beneficiaries of Trump's tariff exemption.</li>
<li>On average, they have 24.5% of revenue from the US market, and their share price has collapsed 19.8% MTD. They are well set to have a decent rebound.</li>
<li>There will be speculations that more exemptions in other sectors will be granted, and the big losers will see a relief rally. </li>
</ul>



Lenovo (992 HK), AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK), BYD Electronics (285 HK), and Tcl Multimedia Technology (1070 HK) are the prime beneficiaries of Trump's tariff exemption.
On average, they have 24.5% of revenue from the US market, and their share price has collapsed 19.8% MTD. They are well set to have a decent rebound.
There will be speculations that more exemptions in other sectors will be granted, and the big losers will see a relief rally. 


China & HK Strategy: Tariff Exemption Beneficiaries

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook</li>
<li>The new Trump Administration’s “plan” for China is becoming clearer</li>
<li>What’s next for markets after the tumultuous events of the last week</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook
The new Trump Administration’s “plan” for China is becoming clearer
What’s next for markets after the tumultuous events of the last week


Overview #22 – The Lunatics Have Taken over the Asylum

Hong Kong

The Hang Seng Index is a free-float capitalization-weighted index of a selection of companies from the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong. The components of the index are divided into four subindices: Commerce and Industry, Finance, Utilities, and Properties. The index was developed with a base level of 100 as of July 31, 1964.

Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)

Meituan (3690 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

Meituan's multi-leg option strategies show dominance of long volatility and 25% use of Diagonal Spreads, providing a variety of approaches in the...

Gaudenz Schneider

BYD (1211 HK): God's Eye & Potential HSTECH Index Inclusion

BYD has corrected recently. There could be passive buying in the stock later this week as the index shares increase (following the placement) for...

Brian Freitas

Overview #23 Gold, Bonds and the USD

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at recent investor sentiment towards gold, the USD, bonds and...

Rikki Malik

China & HK Strategy: Tariff Exemption Beneficiaries

Lenovo, AAC Technologies, BYD Electronics, and Tcl Multimedia are set to benefit from Trump's tariff exemption, with potential for a rebound in...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Overview #22 – The Lunatics Have Taken over the Asylum

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. What happens next for markets after the events of the last week

Rikki Malik

Meituan (3690 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

​Meituan's multi-leg option strategies show dominance of long volatility and 25% use of Diagonal Spreads, providing a variety of approaches in the...

Gaudenz Schneider

BYD (1211 HK): God's Eye & Potential HSTECH Index Inclusion

BYD has corrected recently. There could be passive buying in the stock later this week as the index shares increase (following the placement) for...

Brian Freitas

Overview #23 Gold, Bonds and the USD

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at recent investor sentiment towards gold, the USD, bonds and...

Rikki Malik

China & HK Strategy: Tariff Exemption Beneficiaries

​Lenovo, AAC Technologies, BYD Electronics, and Tcl Multimedia are set to benefit from Trump's tariff exemption, with potential for a rebound in...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Overview #22 – The Lunatics Have Taken over the Asylum

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. What happens next for markets after the events of the last week

Rikki Malik

Meituan's multi-leg option strategies show dominance of long volatility and 25% use of Diagonal Spreads, providing a variety of approaches in the...

Lenovo, AAC Technologies, BYD Electronics, and Tcl Multimedia are set to benefit from Trump's tariff exemption, with potential for a rebound in...