Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Overnight, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> has announced a placement of 118m shares at a price range of HK$333-345/share that could raise up to HK$40.7bn (US$5.2bn).</li>
<li>The Pink Sheets listing for BYD (BYDDY.PK) closed at US$87.1/share and traded US$155m for the day. That close implies an open of HK$338.7/share for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD</a>, middle of the placement range.</li>
<li>There will be passive buying from global index trackers later this week while buying from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a> trackers will come in April.</li>
</ul>


Overnight, BYD (1211 HK) has announced a placement of 118m shares at a price range of HK$333-345/share that could raise up to HK$40.7bn (US$5.2bn).
The Pink Sheets listing for BYD (BYDDY.PK) closed at US$87.1/share and traded US$155m for the day. That close implies an open of HK$338.7/share for BYD, middle of the placement range.
There will be passive buying from global index trackers later this week while buying from Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index trackers will come in April.


BYD (1211 HK) Placement: Continuing to Power Up

Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chifeng-jilong-gold-mining-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7782:1" rel="noopener">Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (600988 CH)</a> has launched an H-share offering that could raise up to US$554m if the offer size adjustment option and overallocation option are both exercised.</li>
<li>The price range of HK$13.72-HK$15.83/share is a discount of 18.7-29.5% to the A-shares and between 17-26% of the offering will be allocated to cornerstone investors.</li>
<li>The small issue size will result in the stock staying out the global indices for the foreseeable future. Inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect will take place in April.</li>
</ul>



Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (600988 CH) has launched an H-share offering that could raise up to US$554m if the offer size adjustment option and overallocation option are both exercised.
The price range of HK$13.72-HK$15.83/share is a discount of 18.7-29.5% to the A-shares and between 17-26% of the offering will be allocated to cornerstone investors.
The small issue size will result in the stock staying out the global indices for the foreseeable future. Inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect will take place in April.


Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (6693 HK) IPO: H-Share Offering Details & Index Inclusion

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Put trading as a percentage of total volume continues to increase and coupled with a shift in the skew highlights changing sentiment.</li>
<li>Volatile price action this week with Wednesday and Friday both moving ~3.50%.</li>
<li>Implied and historic volatilities were all up on the week and seasonal setup over next two weeks not favorble. </li>
</ul>


Put trading as a percentage of total volume continues to increase and coupled with a shift in the skew highlights changing sentiment.
Volatile price action this week with Wednesday and Friday both moving ~3.50%.
Implied and historic volatilities were all up on the week and seasonal setup over next two weeks not favorble. 


HSCEI Index Options Weekly (Feb 24-28): Shifting Sentiment

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook</li>
<li>Is the OpenAI NVIDIA Artificial Intelligence driven bull market over?</li>
<li>The Japanese and Taiwanese stock markets are most at risk</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook
Is the OpenAI NVIDIA Artificial Intelligence driven bull market over?
The Japanese and Taiwanese stock markets are most at risk


Overview #17 – Buckle Up, We’re Not in Kansas Anymore!

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Event-Driven

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Several US tariffs are expected in March, but their implementation remains uncertain and is part of ongoing negotiations.</li>
<li>Central banks in India, Japan, and the US will announce rate decisions in March, with India possibly cutting rates by 0.25%.</li>
<li>Major HK stocks are set to announce earnings in March, and index changes will occur in the S&amp;P 500, Nifty 50, S&amp;P/ASX 200, and HSCEI indices.</li>
</ul>


Several US tariffs are expected in March, but their implementation remains uncertain and is part of ongoing negotiations.
Central banks in India, Japan, and the US will announce rate decisions in March, with India possibly cutting rates by 0.25%.
Major HK stocks are set to announce earnings in March, and index changes will occur in the S&amp;P 500, Nifty 50, S&amp;P/ASX 200, and HSCEI indices.


March Key Events in Asia-Pac: Tariffs, Rates, Earnings, and Indices in Focus

Hong Kong

The Hang Seng Index is a free-float capitalization-weighted index of a selection of companies from the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong. The components of the index are divided into four subindices: Commerce and Industry, Finance, Utilities, and Properties. The index was developed with a base level of 100 as of July 31, 1964.

Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)

BYD (1211 HK) Placement: Continuing to Power Up

BYD is looking to raise US$5.2bn at a 5.1-8.4% discount to last. The pink sheets listing implies an HK open around HK$339/shr. There will be some...

Brian Freitas

HSCEI Index Options Weekly (Feb 24-28): Shifting Sentiment

Increasing trading volume percentage and shifting skew highlight changing sentiment. Volatility spiked this week with significant price movements,...

John Ley

Overview #17 – Buckle Up, We’re Not in Kansas Anymore!

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We examine some implications of a peaking in the AI narrative-driven...

Rikki Malik

March Key Events in Asia-Pac: Tariffs, Rates, Earnings, and Indices in Focus

March will be a busy month with US tariffs, central bank rate decisions, major HK stock earnings, and index changes on the horizon.

Gaudenz Schneider

BYD (1211 HK) Placement: Continuing to Power Up

BYD is looking to raise US$5.2bn at a 5.1-8.4% discount to last. The pink sheets listing implies an HK open around HK$339/shr. There will be some...

Brian Freitas

Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (6693 HK) IPO: H-Share Offering Details & Index Inclusion

Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining is looking to raise up to US$554m in its H-share offering with around a quarter of the issue taken by cornerstone...

Brian Freitas

HSCEI Index Options Weekly (Feb 24-28): Shifting Sentiment

​Increasing trading volume percentage and shifting skew highlight changing sentiment. Volatility spiked this week with significant price movements,...

John Ley

Overview #17 – Buckle Up, We’re Not in Kansas Anymore!

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We examine some implications of a peaking in the AI narrative-driven...

Rikki Malik

March Key Events in Asia-Pac: Tariffs, Rates, Earnings, and Indices in Focus

​March will be a busy month with US tariffs, central bank rate decisions, major HK stock earnings, and index changes on the horizon.

Gaudenz Schneider

Increasing trading volume percentage and shifting skew highlight changing sentiment. Volatility spiked this week with significant price movements,...

March will be a busy month with US tariffs, central bank rate decisions, major HK stock earnings, and index changes on the horizon.