Freelance Research Analyst

Tay Hock Meng

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Developers managed to sell 384 new units, excluding executive condominiums (ECs) in December 2015, compared to 759 units in November 2015, and 230 units in December 2014. Including ECs, developers sold a total of 508 new units in December 2015, compared to 945 new units in November 2015, and 406 new units in December 2014. The December 2015 results brings the total number of new private residential units sold by developers to around 7,460 to 7,490 in 2015, about 2% higher than 2014 (Comprehensive property sales results for 4Q and whole of 2015  is scheduled to be released by the government on January 22, 2016).</p><p> </p>

Developers managed to sell 384 new units, excluding executive condominiums (ECs) in December 2015, compared to 759 units in November 2015, and 230 units in December 2014. Including ECs, developers sold a total of 508 new units in December 2015, compared to 945 new units in November 2015, and 406 new units in December 2014. The December 2015 results brings the total number of new private residential units sold by developers to around 7,460 to 7,490 in 2015, about 2% higher than 2014 (Comprehensive property sales results for 4Q and whole of 2015  is scheduled to be released by the government on January 22, 2016). 

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>January saw S$17 million net institutional outflows in Singapore-listed Consumer Cyclical stocks, with MoneyMax, ValueMax, and Aspial Lifestyle drawing S$8.5 million inflows.</li><li>MoneyMax led with S$4.0 million inflow, 53% share price surge, and applied to transfer from Catalist to Mainboard.</li><li>ValueMax and Aspial Lifestyle recorded S$2.7 million and S$1.8 million inflows, with 18% and 30% price gains respectively.</li></ul>

January saw S$17 million net institutional outflows in Singapore-listed Consumer Cyclical stocks, with MoneyMax, ValueMax, and Aspial Lifestyle drawing S$8.5 million inflows.MoneyMax led with S$4.0 million inflow, 53% share price surge, and applied to transfer from Catalist to Mainboard.ValueMax and Aspial Lifestyle recorded S$2.7 million and S$1.8 million inflows, with 18% and 30% price gains respectively.

Trio of Gold‑Linked Financial Retailers Topped January Consumer‑Cyclical Inflows

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/low-keng-huat-singapore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1928:1" rel="noopener">Low Keng Huat Singapore (LKH SP)</a> has disclosed a voluntary conditional offer from the Managing Director at S$0.72 per share, a 17.1% premium to the last close price. </li>
<li>While the offer represents an all-time high, it is below net asset value (implying a P/NAV of 0.91x). It is also light compared to precedent transactions. </li>
<li>The offer price has not been declared final. A bump may be needed to satisfy the 90% minimum acceptance condition.</li>
</ul>



Low Keng Huat Singapore (LKH SP) has disclosed a voluntary conditional offer from the Managing Director at S$0.72 per share, a 17.1% premium to the last close price. 
While the offer represents an all-time high, it is below net asset value (implying a P/NAV of 0.91x). It is also light compared to precedent transactions. 
The offer price has not been declared final. A bump may be needed to satisfy the 90% minimum acceptance condition.


Low Keng Huat (LKH SP): Conditional VGO at S$0.72 May Need a Bump

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Far East Hospitality Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Not all hospitality REITs in Singapore are beneficiaries of the rebound in tourism in Singapore. </li>
<li>Genting, OUE Commercial REIT, and Fraser Hospitality Trust are not exactly beneficiaries to the current tourism rebound. </li>
<li>Only Far East Hospitality Trust has a 100% exposure in hotels in Singapore while CDL Hospitality Trust has 41% of the total contribution from Singapore. </li>
</ul>


Not all hospitality REITs in Singapore are beneficiaries of the rebound in tourism in Singapore. 
Genting, OUE Commercial REIT, and Fraser Hospitality Trust are not exactly beneficiaries to the current tourism rebound. 
Only Far East Hospitality Trust has a 100% exposure in hotels in Singapore while CDL Hospitality Trust has 41% of the total contribution from Singapore. 


Southeast Asia Tourism: Who Are the Beneficiaries

<ul>
<li>Cuscaden is offering an all-cash offer of S$2.36 or cash &amp; units offer to comprise S$1.602 in cash and 0.782 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sph-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP)</a> units per SPH share (worth S$2.40).</li>
<li>SPH independent directors preliminarily recommend to shareholders to vote against the Keppel scheme and vote in favour of the Cuscaden scheme. Cuscaden’s offer will be implemented by February 2022. </li>
<li>Cuscaden’s revised offer options are attractive in the context of SPH’s long-term multiples/share prices and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a>’s final offer. Cuscaden’s revised offer seems like a done deal. </li>
</ul>


Cuscaden is offering an all-cash offer of S$2.36 or cash &amp; units offer to comprise S$1.602 in cash and 0.782 SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP) units per SPH share (worth S$2.40).
SPH independent directors preliminarily recommend to shareholders to vote against the Keppel scheme and vote in favour of the Cuscaden scheme. Cuscaden’s offer will be implemented by February 2022. 
Cuscaden’s revised offer options are attractive in the context of SPH’s long-term multiples/share prices and Keppel Corp (KEP SP)’s final offer. Cuscaden’s revised offer seems like a done deal. 


Cuscaden’s Revised Offer Options to End the Battle for SPH

Singapore

Hotel Properties is a Singapore-based company primarily engaged in hotel ownership, management, and operation, alongside property development and investment holding. It owns and operates hotels globally under prestigious brands such as Four Seasons, Hilton, and InterContinental, and develops premium residential and commercial properties. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Singapore.

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Hotel Properties (HPL SP)

Modest Rise in New Home Sales in 2015

Developers managed to sell 384 new units, excluding executive condominiums (ECs) in December 2015, compared to 759 units in November 2015, and 230...

Tay Hock Meng

Trio of Gold‑Linked Financial Retailers Topped January Consumer‑Cyclical Inflows

January saw S$17 million net institutional outflows in Singapore-listed Consumer Cyclical stocks, with MoneyMax, ValueMax, and Aspial Lifestyle...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Low Keng Huat (LKH SP): Conditional VGO at S$0.72 May Need a Bump

While the offer represents an all-time high, it is below NAV. The offer price has not been declared final. A bump may be needed to satisfy the 90%...

Arun George

Southeast Asia Tourism: Who Are the Beneficiaries

the real beneficiaries of the Singapore rebound in tourism (ex-China) are limited to a few names only. Far East Hospitality Trust and CDL...

Henry Soediarko

Cuscaden’s Revised Offer Options to End the Battle for SPH

Cuscaden is offering an all-cash offer of S$2.36 per share or cash & units offer to comprise S$1.602 in cash and 0.782 SPH REIT units per SPH share...

Arun George

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