Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The earnings report for HP Inc.'s second quarter of fiscal year 2025 presents a mixed picture, reflecting both growth and challenges.</li><li>On the positive side, HP has shown remarkable progress in revenue growth, with an increase of 5% year-over-year in constant currency.</li><li>This marks the fourth consecutive quarter of revenue growth, largely driven by strong performance in the Personal Systems segment, especially in the commercial sector.</li></ul>

The earnings report for HP Inc.'s second quarter of fiscal year 2025 presents a mixed picture, reflecting both growth and challenges.On the positive side, HP has shown remarkable progress in revenue growth, with an increase of 5% year-over-year in constant currency.This marks the fourth consecutive quarter of revenue growth, largely driven by strong performance in the Personal Systems segment, especially in the commercial sector.

HP Inc.: Expansion of Personal Systems With AI PCs Is The CLEAR WAY FORWARD!

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>
HP Results Show Commercial PC Growth is Resilient, AI PC Penetration Expanding</li>
<li>
Key Industry Outlook Perspective -- HP's ZGX AI Station with NVIDIA Chips Marks the True Arrival of AI PCs... Locally Run LLMs Signal a Step-Change for PC Capabilities</li>
<li>
Remain Structurally Long PC Makers on AI PC Upgrade Cycle -- Emergence of New NVIDIA Blackwell-Powered Workstations Clarifying the Path for AI PCs to Deliver Step-Change Improvements in Value</li>
</ul>



HP Results Show Commercial PC Growth is Resilient, AI PC Penetration Expanding

Key Industry Outlook Perspective -- HP's ZGX AI Station with NVIDIA Chips Marks the True Arrival of AI PCs... Locally Run LLMs Signal a Step-Change for PC Capabilities

Remain Structurally Long PC Makers on AI PC Upgrade Cycle -- Emergence of New NVIDIA Blackwell-Powered Workstations Clarifying the Path for AI PCs to Deliver Step-Change Improvements in Value


PC Monitor: Commercial PC Demand Resilient; AI PC Momentum Builds W/ NVDA Blackwell-Powered Launches

<ul><li>HP Inc.'s first-quarter 2025 earnings report presented a mixed picture, with revenue growth offset by declining profitability.</li><li>The company reported a 2% year-over-year revenue increase to $13.50 billion, exceeding Wall Street's expectation of $13.39 billion.</li><li>However, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) fell 9% to $0.74, aligning with analyst estimates.</li></ul>

HP Inc.'s first-quarter 2025 earnings report presented a mixed picture, with revenue growth offset by declining profitability.The company reported a 2% year-over-year revenue increase to $13.50 billion, exceeding Wall Street's expectation of $13.39 billion.However, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) fell 9% to $0.74, aligning with analyst estimates.

HP Faces Tariff Trouble: Will AI-Powered PCs Be Its Lifeline?

<ul>
<li>We hosted a conference call with Elan Microelectronics management; We view the company as a Structural Long position for the AI PC upgrade cycle.</li>
<li>From the company's perspective, significant impact from AI PC demand will come but not until 4Q24E or 1H25E. However, supply chain excess inventory improved and prepping for upcycle.</li>
<li>An estimated 90% of AI PC models launched at CES 2024 use Elan's products in their design; Elan well positioned for the upcycle and entrenching its position. Maintain Structural Long.</li>
</ul>


We hosted a conference call with Elan Microelectronics management; We view the company as a Structural Long position for the AI PC upgrade cycle.
From the company's perspective, significant impact from AI PC demand will come but not until 4Q24E or 1H25E. However, supply chain excess inventory improved and prepping for upcycle.
An estimated 90% of AI PC models launched at CES 2024 use Elan's products in their design; Elan well positioned for the upcycle and entrenching its position. Maintain Structural Long.


TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing

<ul>
<li>Branded PC makers' shares have been mostly lower in April, however Intel and Microsoft developments are providing strong signals for a future PC upgrade cycle into AI PCs.</li>
<li>Over 60% of Fortune 500 companies are now using Microsoft's CoPilot AI assistant; Intel expects the industry to exceed its prior forecast for AI PC shipments in 2024E.</li>
<li>CoPilot is the killer app that will trigger a global enterprise PC upgrade cycle; The next generation of CoPilot will be an edge AI app that will require powerful hardware.</li>
</ul>


Branded PC makers' shares have been mostly lower in April, however Intel and Microsoft developments are providing strong signals for a future PC upgrade cycle into AI PCs.
Over 60% of Fortune 500 companies are now using Microsoft's CoPilot AI assistant; Intel expects the industry to exceed its prior forecast for AI PC shipments in 2024E.
CoPilot is the killer app that will trigger a global enterprise PC upgrade cycle; The next generation of CoPilot will be an edge AI app that will require powerful hardware.


PC Monitor: The Next Version of MSFT CoPilot Will Be the Killer App for a Global AI PC Upgrade Cycle

United States

HP Inc. provides imaging and printing systems, computing systems, mobile devices, solutions, and services for business and home. The Company offers products which includes laser and inkjet printers, scanners, copiers and faxes, personal computers, workstations, storage solutions, and other computing and printing systems. HP sells its products worldwide.

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Hewlett Packard Co (HPQ US)

HP Inc.: Expansion of Personal Systems With AI PCs Is The CLEAR WAY FORWARD!

The earnings report for HP Inc.'s second quarter of fiscal year 2025 presents a mixed picture, reflecting both growth and challenges. On the...

Baptista Research

PC Monitor: Commercial PC Demand Resilient; AI PC Momentum Builds W/ NVDA Blackwell-Powered Launches

HP's commercial PC growth remains strong, with AI PC penetration expanding through NVIDIA chips like the ZGX AI Station, signaling a step-change...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

HP Faces Tariff Trouble: Will AI-Powered PCs Be Its Lifeline?

HP Inc.'s first-quarter 2025 earnings report presented a mixed picture, with revenue growth offset by declining profitability. The company...

Baptista Research

TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing

Elan Microelectronics is poised for growth in the AI PC upgrade cycle, with a strong position in the market and potential impact expected in late...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

PC Monitor: The Next Version of MSFT CoPilot Will Be the Killer App for a Global AI PC Upgrade Cycle

CoPilot, as an edge AI app, will drive a global PC upgrade cycle with its next-gen version requiring advanced hardware.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HP Inc.: Expansion of Personal Systems With AI PCs Is The CLEAR WAY FORWARD!

The earnings report for HP Inc.'s second quarter of fiscal year 2025 presents a mixed picture, reflecting both growth and challenges. On the...

Baptista Research

PC Monitor: Commercial PC Demand Resilient; AI PC Momentum Builds W/ NVDA Blackwell-Powered Launches

​HP's commercial PC growth remains strong, with AI PC penetration expanding through NVIDIA chips like the ZGX AI Station, signaling a step-change...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

HP Faces Tariff Trouble: Will AI-Powered PCs Be Its Lifeline?

HP Inc.'s first-quarter 2025 earnings report presented a mixed picture, with revenue growth offset by declining profitability. The company...

Baptista Research

TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing

​Elan Microelectronics is poised for growth in the AI PC upgrade cycle, with a strong position in the market and potential impact expected in late...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

PC Monitor: The Next Version of MSFT CoPilot Will Be the Killer App for a Global AI PC Upgrade Cycle

​CoPilot, as an edge AI app, will drive a global PC upgrade cycle with its next-gen version requiring advanced hardware.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

HP's commercial PC growth remains strong, with AI PC penetration expanding through NVIDIA chips like the ZGX AI Station, signaling a step-change...

Elan Microelectronics is poised for growth in the AI PC upgrade cycle, with a strong position in the market and potential impact expected in late...

CoPilot, as an edge AI app, will drive a global PC upgrade cycle with its next-gen version requiring advanced hardware.