Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>HP Inc. has demonstrated resilience in a challenging macroeconomic environment, showcasing solid performance across key financial metrics, including revenue, non-GAAP operating margin, EPS, and free cash flow.</li><li>This strategy focuses on reducing structural costs while investing in key growth areas, aiming for long-term fundamental improvements in cost structure and prudent expense management.</li><li>HP Inc. 's focus on profitable growth, especially in higher-value market segments, and commitment to returning 100% of free cash flow to shareholders highlight its strategic priorities.</li></ul>

HP Inc. has demonstrated resilience in a challenging macroeconomic environment, showcasing solid performance across key financial metrics, including revenue, non-GAAP operating margin, EPS, and free cash flow.This strategy focuses on reducing structural costs while investing in key growth areas, aiming for long-term fundamental improvements in cost structure and prudent expense management.HP Inc. 's focus on profitable growth, especially in higher-value market segments, and commitment to returning 100% of free cash flow to shareholders highlight its strategic priorities.

HP Inc.: The Dark Horse of Tech Stocks? - Major Drivers

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>Taiwan PC makers have been top performers in the market; some may worry that their rallies have become over-extended by too much AI PC excitement.</li>
<li>We believe Dell may present a Long opportunity as the Long side to a Long/Short trade whereby one Sells Acer against it. Acer rose over 50% in December.</li>
<li>Dell will report its results end-February. We would Long Dell vs. Short Acer ahead of the Dell earnings event. We see more upside surprise potential in Dell.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan PC makers have been top performers in the market; some may worry that their rallies have become over-extended by too much AI PC excitement.
We believe Dell may present a Long opportunity as the Long side to a Long/Short trade whereby one Sells Acer against it. Acer rose over 50% in December.
Dell will report its results end-February. We would Long Dell vs. Short Acer ahead of the Dell earnings event. We see more upside surprise potential in Dell.


AI PC Reality Check: PC Upgrade Cycle Ahead, But Worth a 50% 1M Acer Rally? Long Dell Vs. Short Acer

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest results</li>
<li>Micron Analysis, Industry Takeaways: Memory Market TAM New Highs into 2025; SK Hynix Trade</li>
<li>Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining</li>
</ul>


PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest results
Micron Analysis, Industry Takeaways: Memory Market TAM New Highs into 2025; SK Hynix Trade
Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining


Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Shares Clearly On Santa's Nice List; Soaring After AI PC Releases; Dell Trade

<ul><li>Despite a challenging market environment, HP increased net revenue, non-GAAP EPS, non-GAAP operating profit, and free cash flow quarter over quarter.</li><li>With $13.2 billion in net revenue, the company's annualized revenue was down 10% or 7% in constant currency.</li><li>Despite not being immune to the end market concerns, these businesses combined produced strong sequential growth in the quarter.</li></ul>

Despite a challenging market environment, HP increased net revenue, non-GAAP EPS, non-GAAP operating profit, and free cash flow quarter over quarter.With $13.2 billion in net revenue, the company's annualized revenue was down 10% or 7% in constant currency.Despite not being immune to the end market concerns, these businesses combined produced strong sequential growth in the quarter.

HP Inc.: The Collaborative Moves Making The Company A Market Leader! - Major Drivers

<ul>
<li>Dell and HP's latest results indicate an improving PC industry environment in 2H23E, though weaker than expected China demand has softened initial expectations.</li>
<li>A key take-away is that a major AI PC upgrade cycle is indeed on the horizon, with additional clarity now provided as to when and how it will unfold.</li>
<li>A 'step-change' AI PC upgrade cycle will make the strength of the current near-term cycle recovery less relevant, and isn't yet priced-in by the market.</li>
</ul>


Dell and HP's latest results indicate an improving PC industry environment in 2H23E, though weaker than expected China demand has softened initial expectations.
A key take-away is that a major AI PC upgrade cycle is indeed on the horizon, with additional clarity now provided as to when and how it will unfold.
A 'step-change' AI PC upgrade cycle will make the strength of the current near-term cycle recovery less relevant, and isn't yet priced-in by the market.


Recent Dell & HP Results Provide Additional Clarity on Coming AI PC Wave

United States

HP Inc. provides imaging and printing systems, computing systems, mobile devices, solutions, and services for business and home. The Company offers products which includes laser and inkjet printers, scanners, copiers and faxes, personal computers, workstations, storage solutions, and other computing and printing systems. HP sells its products worldwide.

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Hewlett Packard Co (HPQ US)

HP Inc.: The Dark Horse of Tech Stocks? - Major Drivers

HP Inc. has demonstrated resilience in a challenging macroeconomic environment, showcasing solid performance across key financial metrics,...

Baptista Research

AI PC Reality Check: PC Upgrade Cycle Ahead, But Worth a 50% 1M Acer Rally? Long Dell Vs. Short Acer

Dell will report its results end-February. We would Long Dell vs. Short Acer ahead of the Dell earnings event. We see more upside surprise...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Shares Clearly On Santa's Nice List; Soaring After AI PC Releases; Dell Trade

PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

HP Inc.: The Collaborative Moves Making The Company A Market Leader! - Major Drivers

Despite a challenging market environment, HP increased net revenue, non-GAAP EPS, non-GAAP operating profit, and free cash flow quarter over...

Baptista Research

Recent Dell & HP Results Provide Additional Clarity on Coming AI PC Wave

A 'step-change' AI PC upgrade cycle will make the strength of the current near-term cycle recovery less relevant, and isn't yet priced-in by the...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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