Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this report, we review our IPO investment research in 2022, including the performance of our calls.</li>
<li>The accuracy rate of our calls on IPOs this year was 79% (15 calls right, 4 calls wrong), higher than our average accurate rate of 77% from 2017 to 2022.</li>
<li>In 2022, the 12 stocks (positive ratings) were up 50.1% on average from their IPO prices. The 7 stocks (negative ratings) were down 11.2% on average from their IPO prices. </li>
</ul>


In this report, we review our IPO investment research in 2022, including the performance of our calls.
The accuracy rate of our calls on IPOs this year was 79% (15 calls right, 4 calls wrong), higher than our average accurate rate of 77% from 2017 to 2022.
In 2022, the 12 stocks (positive ratings) were up 50.1% on average from their IPO prices. The 7 stocks (negative ratings) were down 11.2% on average from their IPO prices. 


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KRX unveiled the rebalancing results of the CSI KRX China-Korea indices for Korean constituents yesterday.</li>
<li>There is still insufficient evidence data to estimate specific passive impact. The previous rebalancing in June showed no clear correlation between constituent changes and price impact.</li>
<li>Although it may be risky to trade on this rebalancing, monitoring the correlation of their passive impact at this point, one year after the release, seems worthwhile.</li>
</ul>


KRX unveiled the rebalancing results of the CSI KRX China-Korea indices for Korean constituents yesterday.
There is still insufficient evidence data to estimate specific passive impact. The previous rebalancing in June showed no clear correlation between constituent changes and price impact.
Although it may be risky to trade on this rebalancing, monitoring the correlation of their passive impact at this point, one year after the release, seems worthwhile.


CSI KRX China-Korea: Rebalancing Results from KRX & Flow Trading Considerations

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 11 inclusions and 11 exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance to be implemented at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>We had forecast most of the changes (10 adds and 9 deletes), so there are a few surprises. The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sillajen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22838:1" rel="noopener">SillaJen Inc (215600 KS)</a> is the biggest one.</li>
<li>The adds to the index become short sell eligible from the open of trading on 9 December while the deletions will not be short sell eligible from the same time.</li>
</ul>


There are 11 inclusions and 11 exclusions for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance to be implemented at the close on 8 December.
We had forecast most of the changes (10 adds and 9 deletes), so there are a few surprises. The inclusion of SillaJen Inc (215600 KS) is the biggest one.
The adds to the index become short sell eligible from the open of trading on 9 December while the deletions will not be short sell eligible from the same time.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 11 Changes with a Couple of Surprises

<ul>
<li>Korea Exchange announced the KOSPI 200, KOSDAQ 150, and KRX 300 rebalance changes today. Lotte Confectionery will be added and Samyang Holdings will be deleted from the KOSPI 200 index.</li>
<li>The rebalances of these Korean indices are regularly updated twice a year. The changes to these indices will be effective starting 9 December. </li>
<li>The potential exclusion candidates for KOSPI 200 in 2023 include K Car, Handsome, HS Enterprise, Zinus, and Hyundai Home Shopping. </li>
</ul>


Korea Exchange announced the KOSPI 200, KOSDAQ 150, and KRX 300 rebalance changes today. Lotte Confectionery will be added and Samyang Holdings will be deleted from the KOSPI 200 index.
The rebalances of these Korean indices are regularly updated twice a year. The changes to these indices will be effective starting 9 December. 
The potential exclusion candidates for KOSPI 200 in 2023 include K Car, Handsome, HS Enterprise, Zinus, and Hyundai Home Shopping. 


KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150 Rebalance Changes + KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150 Exclusion Candidates in 2023

<ul>
<li>Korea's partial short-selling system, implemented in May last year, created a new trading pattern, a surge in short selling for new additions, immediately after index rebalancing.</li>
<li>Canaria Bio, HPSP, and SungEel Hitech are highly likely to be the primary targets for short selling, but there is one more thing we need to consider.</li>
<li>KODEX will likely begin rebalancing buying on HPSP and SungEel on December 9, the same day the short-selling starts for them. So, we need a more flexible setup.</li>
</ul>


Korea's partial short-selling system, implemented in May last year, created a new trading pattern, a surge in short selling for new additions, immediately after index rebalancing.
Canaria Bio, HPSP, and SungEel Hitech are highly likely to be the primary targets for short selling, but there is one more thing we need to consider.
KODEX will likely begin rebalancing buying on HPSP and SungEel on December 9, the same day the short-selling starts for them. So, we need a more flexible setup.


Shorting Setup on Additions to KS200/KQ150 with KODEX Battery ETF Flow

South Korea

HPSP Co., Ltd operates as a manufacturing company. The Company manufactures semiconductor devices, systems and others. HPSP also provides related solution services.

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HPSP (403870 KS)

Recap of Our IPO Research in 2022

In this report, we review our IPO investment research in 2022, including the performance of our calls. The accuracy rate of our calls on IPOs this...

Douglas Kim

CSI KRX China-Korea: Rebalancing Results from KRX & Flow Trading Considerations

This post details the rebalancing results of the CSI KRX China-Korea indices (50, EV, and Semiconductor), effective December 12, and discusses...

Sanghyun Park

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 11 Changes with a Couple of Surprises

There are 11 changes at the Dec rebal: mostly in line with forecasts. SillaJen is a surprise add; Devsisters is a surprise delete. Short interest...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150 Rebalance Changes + KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150 Exclusion Candidates in 2023

Korea Exchange announced the KOSPI 200, KOSDAQ 150, and KRX 300 rebalance changes today. Lotte Confectionery will be added and Samyang Holdings...

Douglas Kim

Shorting Setup on Additions to KS200/KQ150 with KODEX Battery ETF Flow

This post examines the shorting situation of the KS200/KQ150 additions in the upcoming rebalancing with the potentially mitigating flow from the...

Sanghyun Park

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