Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 42 stocks in Korea in October 2022, among which 7 are in KOSPI and 35 are in KOSDAQ.</li>
<li>These 42 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in October and could underperform relative to the market. </li>
<li>Among these 42 stocks, the top 3 market cap stocks include NH Investment &amp; Securities, Sungeel Hitech, and Dongwon Systems. They could be exposed to greater selling pressures in October. </li>
</ul>


We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 42 stocks in Korea in October 2022, among which 7 are in KOSPI and 35 are in KOSDAQ.
These 42 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in October and could underperform relative to the market. 
Among these 42 stocks, the top 3 market cap stocks include NH Investment &amp; Securities, Sungeel Hitech, and Dongwon Systems. They could be exposed to greater selling pressures in October. 


End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 42 Companies in Korea in October 2022

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hpsp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36004:1" rel="noopener">HPSP (403870 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sungeel-hitech-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36028:1" rel="noopener">Sungeel Hitech (365340 KS)</a> are the candidates for Early Entry in the December rebalancing as they sit comfortably within the Early Entry zone.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rsupport-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14783:1" rel="noopener">Rsupport (131370 KS)</a> and Kona I (052400 KS) are safe deletion bets. If they are not deleted through the rebalancing process, they will most likely be excluded by Early Entry.</li>
<li>
HPSP and SungEel should see an inflow equivalent to 0.9x and 0.8x ADTVs, respectively. Rsupport and Kona I will likely suffer an outflow of 3.4x and 3.8x ADTVs, respectively.</li>
</ul>



HPSP (403870 KS) and Sungeel Hitech (365340 KS) are the candidates for Early Entry in the December rebalancing as they sit comfortably within the Early Entry zone.

Rsupport (131370 KS) and Kona I (052400 KS) are safe deletion bets. If they are not deleted through the rebalancing process, they will most likely be excluded by Early Entry.

HPSP and SungEel should see an inflow equivalent to 0.9x and 0.8x ADTVs, respectively. Rsupport and Kona I will likely suffer an outflow of 3.4x and 3.8x ADTVs, respectively.


KOSDAQ 150 Early Entry Candidates for December Rebalancing

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>SOCAR announced its IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 28,000 won (18% lower than the low end of the IPO range).</li>
<li>Our base case target price for SOCAR is 27,176 won, which is 3% lower than the IPO price of 28,000 won. </li>
<li>We remain Negative on this IPO due to lack of upside. There were 348 companies involved in the IPO survey with the final demand ratio of 56 to 1.</li>
</ul>


SOCAR announced its IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 28,000 won (18% lower than the low end of the IPO range).
Our base case target price for SOCAR is 27,176 won, which is 3% lower than the IPO price of 28,000 won. 
We remain Negative on this IPO due to lack of upside. There were 348 companies involved in the IPO survey with the final demand ratio of 56 to 1.


<ul>
<li>We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 49 stocks in Korea in August 2022, among which 3 are in KOSPI and 46 are in KOSDAQ.</li>
<li>These 49 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in August and could underperform relative to the market. </li>
<li>Among these 49 stocks, the top five market cap stocks include Wemade, HPSP, Sungeel Hitech, Wemade Max, and Eoflow. These companies could be exposed to greater selling pressures in August. </li>
</ul>


We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 49 stocks in Korea in August 2022, among which 3 are in KOSPI and 46 are in KOSDAQ.
These 49 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in August and could underperform relative to the market. 
Among these 49 stocks, the top five market cap stocks include Wemade, HPSP, Sungeel Hitech, Wemade Max, and Eoflow. These companies could be exposed to greater selling pressures in August. 


End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 49 Companies in Korea in August 2022

<ul>
<li>We remain Bearish on the WCP IPO. Our base case valuation of WCP is implied market cap of 3.0 trillion won and target price of 87,805 won per share.</li>
<li>In this insight, we highlight four additional important considerations to the WCP IPO including comparison to SK IE Technology, 1Q22 earnings comparison, higher IPO discount, and overly optimistic EBITDA estimates. </li>
<li>We would categorize WCP as an excellent company but not exceptional as HPSP. Therefore, the weak market conditions will likely have a negative impact on the WCP IPO pricing.</li>
</ul>


We remain Bearish on the WCP IPO. Our base case valuation of WCP is implied market cap of 3.0 trillion won and target price of 87,805 won per share.
In this insight, we highlight four additional important considerations to the WCP IPO including comparison to SK IE Technology, 1Q22 earnings comparison, higher IPO discount, and overly optimistic EBITDA estimates. 
We would categorize WCP as an excellent company but not exceptional as HPSP. Therefore, the weak market conditions will likely have a negative impact on the WCP IPO pricing.


WCP IPO: Additional Important Considerations

South Korea

HPSP Co., Ltd operates as a manufacturing company. The Company manufactures semiconductor devices, systems and others. HPSP also provides related solution services.

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HPSP (403870 KS)

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 42 Companies in Korea in October 2022

We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 42 stocks in Korea in October 2022, among which 7 are in KOSPI and 35 are in KOSDAQ.

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ 150 Early Entry Candidates for December Rebalancing

This post investigates the Early Entry candidates and the resulting exclusion names fo the KOSDA 150 rebalancing in December.

Sanghyun Park

SOCAR IPO Book Building Results

SOCAR announced its IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 28,000 won (18% lower than the low end of the IPO range).

Douglas Kim

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 49 Companies in Korea in August 2022

We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 49 stocks in Korea in August 2022, among which 3 are in KOSPI and 46 are in KOSDAQ.

Douglas Kim

WCP IPO: Additional Important Considerations

We highlight four additional important considerations to the WCP IPO including comparison to SK IE Technology, 1Q22 earnings comparison, higher IPO...

Douglas Kim

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