Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

China Merchants Bank A / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>New results detail from CMB shows divergence with credit quality and actual credit costs</li>
<li>The bank saw its credit costs decline 25% YoY despite higher Loss and Doubtful Loans YoY</li>
<li>Property development NPLs surged from 4.1% to 5.5% at 1H23 HoH, to RMB19.6bn in total</li>
</ul>


New results detail from CMB shows divergence with credit quality and actual credit costs
The bank saw its credit costs decline 25% YoY despite higher Loss and Doubtful Loans YoY
Property development NPLs surged from 4.1% to 5.5% at 1H23 HoH, to RMB19.6bn in total


China Merchants Bank - New Results: Property Dev. NPLs at 5.5% from 4.1%...  25% Lower Credit Costs

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the support at 1,515/1,506 points and the resistance at 1,526/1,535 points.</li><li>The Constitutional Court's dismissal of the petition to renominate Move Forward Party leader Khun Pita as prime minister yesterday means the prime ministerial vote is likely to proceed, with the House speaker having scheduled the date for the vote on August 22, 2023.</li><li>A stronger dollar is poised to benefit stocks with revenue denominated in USD, particularly those in the electronics and export sectors.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the support at 1,515/1,506 points and the resistance at 1,526/1,535 points.The Constitutional Court's dismissal of the petition to renominate Move Forward Party leader Khun Pita as prime minister yesterday means the prime ministerial vote is likely to proceed, with the House speaker having scheduled the date for the vote on August 22, 2023.A stronger dollar is poised to benefit stocks with revenue denominated in USD, particularly those in the electronics and export sectors.

<ul>
<li>News out this morning that HDFC Bank and HDFC merger became effective 1 July </li>
<li>This occurred after the Boards approved the merger scheme on 30 June</li>
<li>Funding cost benefits, operating cost synergies, product cross-sale: major benefits</li>
</ul>


News out this morning that HDFC Bank and HDFC merger became effective 1 July 
This occurred after the Boards approved the merger scheme on 30 June
Funding cost benefits, operating cost synergies, product cross-sale: major benefits


HDFC - Amalgamated, We List Its Own Key Synergies, Which Appear Tremendous

<ul><li>The SET Index today is expected to recover, with the support at 1,518/1,507 points and the resistance at 1,540/1,545 points.</li><li>The market will thus turn its focus to the 1Q23 corporate earnings that will be reported this week, which could provide a lift if they come out better than expected.</li><li>Historical data from the five most recent general elections shows that the SET Index generated an average return of +1.87% in the week before the elections took place.</li></ul>

The SET Index today is expected to recover, with the support at 1,518/1,507 points and the resistance at 1,540/1,545 points.The market will thus turn its focus to the 1Q23 corporate earnings that will be reported this week, which could provide a lift if they come out better than expected.Historical data from the five most recent general elections shows that the SET Index generated an average return of +1.87% in the week before the elections took place.

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay, Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay

Quantitative fund & research firm with a qualitative overlay. 

Our coverage: General U.S. with a skew towards the primary sector. 

Methods: Smart Beta/Factor Pricing, Neural Networks, Street Gossip, and Common Sense.

<ul>
<li>HSBC Holdings plc agrees to acquire SVB Financial Group's UK-based business for merely £1.</li>
<li>HSBC stock's current risks pertain to a newly evolved countercyclical environment and mainstream's "flight to safety" instead of potential structural breaks within the firm.</li>
<li>In a drastic turn of events, HSBC Holdings plc (OTCPK:HBCYF) has snapped up SVB Financial Group's (NASDAQ:SIVB) UK lending division.</li>
</ul>


HSBC Holdings plc agrees to acquire SVB Financial Group's UK-based business for merely £1.
HSBC stock's current risks pertain to a newly evolved countercyclical environment and mainstream's "flight to safety" instead of potential structural breaks within the firm.
In a drastic turn of events, HSBC Holdings plc (OTCPK:HBCYF) has snapped up SVB Financial Group's (NASDAQ:SIVB) UK lending division.


What HSBC's SVB U.K. Deal Could Mean For Investors

United Kingdom

HSBC Holdings plc is a British universal bank and financial services group that provides banking and financial products and services worldwide. It offers retail, commercial and institutional banking, global banking and markets, wealth management, and private banking. The company was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom.

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HSBC (HSBC US)

China Merchants Bank - New Results: Property Dev. NPLs at 5.5% from 4.1%... 25% Lower Credit Costs

CMB shows surging property development NPLs, and overdue loans by 1-3 years, which is completely at odds with its 25% lower provision expenses in...

Daniel Tabbush

Today's Dominant Ideas

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the support at 1,515/1,506 points and the resistance at 1,526/1,535 points. The...

Krungthai XSpring

HDFC - Amalgamated, We List Its Own Key Synergies, Which Appear Tremendous

We provide a simple list here of the merger benefits as laid out by HDFC, now that merger is done, today. The initial Insight I want to Boomerang...

Daniel Tabbush

Today's Dominant Ideas

The SET Index today is expected to recover, with the support at 1,518/1,507 points and the resistance at 1,540/1,545 points. The market will thus...

Krungthai XSpring

What HSBC's SVB U.K. Deal Could Mean For Investors

HSBC stock's current risks pertain to a newly evolved countercyclical environment and mainstream's "flight to safety" instead of potential...

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

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