Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>This week some of the strongest names in HSI are covered.</li>
<li>In real estate, banking, and global infrastructure sectors. They have been consolidating for months and should resolve soon to establish new trends or act as a continuation pattens.</li>
<li>These are likely to prove crucial to Hong Kong and Greater China.</li>
</ul>


This week some of the strongest names in HSI are covered.
In real estate, banking, and global infrastructure sectors. They have been consolidating for months and should resolve soon to establish new trends or act as a continuation pattens.
These are likely to prove crucial to Hong Kong and Greater China.


HSBC, Sun Hung Kai Properties, and CK Hutchison Holdings

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, the net outflow over the past week was ~US$0.56bn, split (-US$0.44bn) for Shanghai and (-US$0.12bn) for Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a>. The largest outflow was in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC (883 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, the net outflow over the past week was ~US$0.56bn, split (-US$0.44bn) for Shanghai and (-US$0.12bn) for Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were into Geely Auto (175 HK) and Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK). The largest outflow was in Meituan (3690 HK) and CNOOC (883 HK).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (15 July 2022)

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Monthly data just out reveals exceptionally strong aggregate financing growth</li>
<li>There is no interim period where the monthly new financing as been this high</li>
<li>China's SOE banks may be best positioned to benefit from new fiscal projects</li>
</ul>


Monthly data just out reveals exceptionally strong aggregate financing growth
There is no interim period where the monthly new financing as been this high
China's SOE banks may be best positioned to benefit from new fiscal projects


<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~US$1.3bn, split US$0.7bn for Shanghai and US$0.6bn for Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>. The largest outflow was in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~US$1.3bn, split US$0.7bn for Shanghai and US$0.6bn for Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were into Tencent (700 HK) and Li Auto (2015 HK). The largest outflow was in Meituan (3690 HK) and Great Wall Motor (2333 HK).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (8 July 2022)

<ul>
<li>Over the last few days, the banks and financials have been acting very poorly.</li>
<li>The gap down on Wednesday in a few sectors and stocks got my attention as there was a bearish setup before today's trading day.</li>
<li>A gap, if not filled, will usually mark a change or acceleration of a trend. </li>
</ul>


Over the last few days, the banks and financials have been acting very poorly.
The gap down on Wednesday in a few sectors and stocks got my attention as there was a bearish setup before today's trading day.
A gap, if not filled, will usually mark a change or acceleration of a trend. 


Hang Seng Index Constituents 6th July 2022

United Kingdom

HSBC Holdings plc is the holding company for the HSBC Group. The Company provides a variety of international banking and financial services, including retail and corporate banking, trade, trusteeship, securities, custody, capital markets, treasury, private and investment banking, and insurance.  The Group operates worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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P/E	0.00
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HSBC Holdings (5 HK)

HSBC, Sun Hung Kai Properties, and CK Hutchison Holdings

In real estate, banking, and global infrastructure sectors. They have been consolidating for months and should resolve soon to establish new trends...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (15 July 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net outflow over the past week was ~US$0.56bn, split (-US$0.44bn)...

David Blennerhassett

China - Surging Stimulus

New data from China, shows huge growth in aggregate financing. This suggests that the government is going all out to support lending, and to...

Daniel Tabbush

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (8 July 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the last week in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-Hong Kong Connect. The net inflow over the past week was ~US$1.3bn, split...

David Blennerhassett

Hang Seng Index Constituents 6th July 2022

The gap down on Wednesday in a few sectors and stocks got my attention as there was a bearish setup before today's trading day.

Untying The Gordian Knot

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSBC, Sun Hung Kai Properties, and CK Hutchison Holdings

In real estate, banking, and global infrastructure sectors. They have been consolidating for months and should resolve soon to establish new trends...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (15 July 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net outflow over the past week was ~US$0.56bn, split (-US$0.44bn)...

David Blennerhassett

China - Surging Stimulus

New data from China, shows huge growth in aggregate financing. This suggests that the government is going all out to support lending, and to...

Daniel Tabbush

Shanghai/​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (8 July 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the last week in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-Hong Kong Connect. The net inflow over the past week was ~US$1.3bn, split...

David Blennerhassett

Hang Seng Index Constituents 6th July 2022

The gap down on Wednesday in a few sectors and stocks got my attention as there was a bearish setup before today's trading day.

Untying The Gordian Knot

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (15 July 2022)

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (8 July 2022)