Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 21st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Alibaba, Hua Hong Semi, Xiaomi, Kingboard Laminates, Cspc Pharma, China Life, 3Sbio.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 21st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Alibaba, Hua Hong Semi, Xiaomi, Kingboard Laminates, Cspc Pharma, China Life, 3Sbio.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, Hua Hong Semi, Xiaomi, Kingboard Laminates, Cspc Pharma, 3Sbio

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 28th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Innovent Bio, Minimax, Kuaishou, Ping An.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 28th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Innovent Bio, Minimax, Kuaishou, Ping An.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 28th): Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Minimax

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1810 HK/XPEV/NIO/1211HK: ZEEKR 007 hits the market, starting at 209,900 yuan (-)</li>
<li>LKNCY: Luckin plans to set up the third roasting factory, with annual capacity of 55k tons.(+)</li>
<li>1347.HK/688469.SH/603290.SH/605111.SH: Analog Devices raising semiconductor prices by 10-20% for China customers (+)</li>
</ul>


1810 HK/XPEV/NIO/1211HK: ZEEKR 007 hits the market, starting at 209,900 yuan (-)
LKNCY: Luckin plans to set up the third roasting factory, with annual capacity of 55k tons.(+)
1347.HK/688469.SH/603290.SH/605111.SH: Analog Devices raising semiconductor prices by 10-20% for China customers (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]: 1810 HK/XPEV/NIO/1211HK/LKNCY/1347.HK/688469.SH/603290.SH/605111.SH

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

<ul>
<li>The oversupply of 8"/12" mature technology and price war especially within China for the next 5 years is inevitable, especially negative for SMIC and Hua Hong Semi.</li>
<li>Production moving out of China semi demand might increase to 65-70% in next five years to benefit Globalfoundries, UMC, Vanguard, Powerchip mitigating impacts from rising domestic replacement in China.  </li>
<li>By building up in-house fabs, Huawei and HiSilicon supply chain vendors will be benefited the most like semiconductor equipment, material, fab construction, CoWoS interposer, and CoWoS packaging vendors.</li>
</ul>


The oversupply of 8"/12" mature technology and price war especially within China for the next 5 years is inevitable, especially negative for SMIC and Hua Hong Semi.
Production moving out of China semi demand might increase to 65-70% in next five years to benefit Globalfoundries, UMC, Vanguard, Powerchip mitigating impacts from rising domestic replacement in China.  
By building up in-house fabs, Huawei and HiSilicon supply chain vendors will be benefited the most like semiconductor equipment, material, fab construction, CoWoS interposer, and CoWoS packaging vendors.


No Sign of Selling Advanced Scanners by ASML to China Customers, Implications

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Major global semi foundries (TSMC/UMC/VIS/GF/SMIC/HH) reported in-line 3Q23 results but mixed 4Q23 outlook with shipment/ASP pressure and lower GPM given weak broad-based recovery, low UTR, depreciation and higher utility costs.</li><li>Looking into 2024, most fabs expected 2024 to be a year of growth driven by consumer/smartphone/PC recovery despite automotive inventory correction.</li><li>Overall, we expect global foundry industry to return to positive growth in 1H24. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Major global semi foundries (TSMC/UMC/VIS/GF/SMIC/HH) reported in-line 3Q23 results but mixed 4Q23 outlook with shipment/ASP pressure and lower GPM given weak broad-based recovery, low UTR, depreciation and higher utility costs.Looking into 2024, most fabs expected 2024 to be a year of growth driven by consumer/smartphone/PC recovery despite automotive inventory correction.Overall, we expect global foundry industry to return to positive growth in 1H24. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China

Hua Hong Semiconductor is a global pure-play semiconductor foundry specializing in embedded/standalone non-volatile memory, power discrete, analog & power management, and logic & RF technologies. The company provides diversified wafer fabrication and supporting services for various specialty process platforms. It is headquartered in Shanghai, China, and was founded in 2005.

Price Gauge
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Hua Hong Semiconductor (1347 HK)

HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, Hua Hong Semi, Xiaomi, Kingboard Laminates, Cspc Pharma, 3Sbio

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 21st and highlight short interest changes in Alibaba (9988 HK), Hua...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 28th): Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Minimax

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Blue Lotus Daily]: 1810 HK/XPEV/NIO/1211HK/LKNCY/1347.HK/688469.SH/603290.SH/605111.SH

New electric vehicle ZEEKR 007 launches in China at 209,900 yuan. Luckin Coffee to establish a new roasting factory. Analog Devices increases...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

No Sign of Selling Advanced Scanners by ASML to China Customers, Implications

No Sign of Selling Advanced Scanners by ASML to China Customers, Implications; Huawei and HiSilicon supply chain vendors will be benefited the most

Andrew Lu

Technology – Global Foundry 3Q23 Wrap

Looking into 2024, most fabs expected 2024 to be a year of growth driven by consumer/smartphone/PC recovery despite automotive inventory correction

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, Hua Hong Semi, Xiaomi, Kingboard Laminates, Cspc Pharma, 3Sbio

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 21st and highlight short interest changes in Alibaba (9988 HK), Hua...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 28th): Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Minimax

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Blue Lotus Daily]: 1810 HK/XPEV/NIO/1211HK/LKNCY/1347.HK/688469.SH/603290.SH/605111.SH

​New electric vehicle ZEEKR 007 launches in China at 209,900 yuan. Luckin Coffee to establish a new roasting factory. Analog Devices increases...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

No Sign of Selling Advanced Scanners by ASML to China Customers, Implications

No Sign of Selling Advanced Scanners by ASML to China Customers, Implications; Huawei and HiSilicon supply chain vendors will be benefited the most

Andrew Lu

Technology – Global Foundry 3Q23 Wrap

Looking into 2024, most fabs expected 2024 to be a year of growth driven by consumer/smartphone/PC recovery despite automotive inventory correction

CMB International

New electric vehicle ZEEKR 007 launches in China at 209,900 yuan. Luckin Coffee to establish a new roasting factory. Analog Devices increases...