Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

United Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>2Q25 was good QoQ: utilization up 7 pct-points, wafer shipments up 6%, US$ ASP up 8%, US$ revenue up 15% QoQ. But NT$ appreciated 13%, cancelling out the operating recovery.</li>
<li>3Q25 guidance: slow US$-revenue growth, NT$-revenue decline. FX leads to both 2Q and 3Q below Consensus by mid-teens%. Big miss despite improving operations: utilization higher, mix better, ASP higher.</li>
<li>The stock is cheap. Outlook is positive in terms of mix improvement, specialty process. But many unknowns (US tariffs, macro overall, NT$) will cloud the outlook for another 2-3 quarters. </li>
</ul>


2Q25 was good QoQ: utilization up 7 pct-points, wafer shipments up 6%, US$ ASP up 8%, US$ revenue up 15% QoQ. But NT$ appreciated 13%, cancelling out the operating recovery.
3Q25 guidance: slow US$-revenue growth, NT$-revenue decline. FX leads to both 2Q and 3Q below Consensus by mid-teens%. Big miss despite improving operations: utilization higher, mix better, ASP higher.
The stock is cheap. Outlook is positive in terms of mix improvement, specialty process. But many unknowns (US tariffs, macro overall, NT$) will cloud the outlook for another 2-3 quarters. 


UMC 2Q25: The Recovery Is Cancelled Out by NT$ Appreciation

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 63.9% as of Jul 11th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -4.0ppt week-on-week, led by financials, real estate, energy and offset by information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering, Guolian Minsheng Securities, CHALIECO, Tigermed, Guotai Haitong Securities.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 63.9% as of Jul 11th.
The average A-H premium changed by -4.0ppt week-on-week, led by financials, real estate, energy and offset by information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering, Guolian Minsheng Securities, CHALIECO, Tigermed, Guotai Haitong Securities.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 11th): Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on BYD, Ntes, Kuaishou, Lenovo, Li Auto, Horizonrobot, China Lit, Asmpt.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on BYD, Ntes, Kuaishou, Lenovo, Li Auto, Horizonrobot, China Lit, Asmpt.


HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Jun): BYD, Ntes, Kuaishou, Lenovo, Li Auto, Horizonrobot, China Lit

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Xiaomi, Ntes - S, Meituan, Jd - Sw, Smic, Horizonrobot, Hua Hong Semi.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Xiaomi, Ntes - S, Meituan, Jd - Sw, Smic, Horizonrobot, Hua Hong Semi.


HS TECH Index Earning Revision (May): Xiaomi, Ntes, Meituan, Jd, Smic, Horizonrobot

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 16th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in AIA, Sinopec, Bilibili, Jd, HSBC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 16th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in AIA, Sinopec, Bilibili, Jd, HSBC.


HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Sinopec, Bilibili, Jd, HSBC

China

Hua Hong Semiconductor is a global pure-play semiconductor foundry specializing in embedded/standalone non-volatile memory, power discrete, analog & power management, and logic & RF technologies. The company provides diversified wafer fabrication and supporting services for various specialty process platforms. It is headquartered in Shanghai, China, and was founded in 2005.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hua Hong Semiconductor (1347 HK)

UMC 2Q25: The Recovery Is Cancelled Out by NT$ Appreciation

2Q25 showed strong performance but NT$ appreciation offset gains. 3Q25 guidance predicts slow US$-revenue growth, NT$ decline, despite operational...

Nicolas Baratte

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 11th): Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering, Guolian...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Jun): BYD, Ntes, Kuaishou, Lenovo, Li Auto, Horizonrobot, China Lit

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in BYD, Ntes, Kuaishou, Lenovo, Li Auto, Horizonrobot, China Lit, Asmpt.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (May): Xiaomi, Ntes, Meituan, Jd, Smic, Horizonrobot

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for May 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Xiaomi, Ntes - S, Meituan, Jd - Sw, Smic, Horizonrobot, Hua Hong Semi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Sinopec, Bilibili, Jd, HSBC

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 16th and highlight short interest changes in AIA, Sinopec, Bilibili,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

UMC 2Q25: The Recovery Is Cancelled Out by NT$ Appreciation

​2Q25 showed strong performance but NT$ appreciation offset gains. 3Q25 guidance predicts slow US$-revenue growth, NT$ decline, despite operational...

Nicolas Baratte

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 11th): Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Central China Securities, China Energy Engineering, Guolian...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Jun): BYD, Ntes, Kuaishou, Lenovo, Li Auto, Horizonrobot, China Lit

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in BYD, Ntes, Kuaishou, Lenovo, Li Auto, Horizonrobot, China Lit, Asmpt.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (May): Xiaomi, Ntes, Meituan, Jd, Smic, Horizonrobot

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for May 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Xiaomi, Ntes - S, Meituan, Jd - Sw, Smic, Horizonrobot, Hua Hong Semi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Sinopec, Bilibili, Jd, HSBC

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 16th and highlight short interest changes in AIA, Sinopec, Bilibili,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

2Q25 showed strong performance but NT$ appreciation offset gains. 3Q25 guidance predicts slow US$-revenue growth, NT$ decline, despite operational...