TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

Slack Technologies Inc / Equity Bottom-Up

In light of the recent leg down in growth software, we thought it timely to do a followup to our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/slack-technologies-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Slack Technologies Inc (WORK US)</a> case study from the time of  its IPO. At the time, we leaned bullish on Slack's competitive positioning and open-ended growth opportunity, and despite recent history showing us that investors have been rewarded for buying richly valued SaaS companies, we were inclined to wait for a better entry point. Today's 7% pullback after a rough first two quarters got us to ask ourselves....is now that entry point?This analysis tests our Working Thesis and evaluates how Slack's Key Questions and Thesis Threats have evolved over its last two quarters. As a reminder, the one page up front summary is meant to be used by investors as a road map to evaluate Slack's progress over its first few quarters.

In light of the recent leg down in growth software, we thought it timely to do a followup to our Slack Technologies Inc (WORK US) case study from the time of  its IPO. At the time, we leaned bullish on Slack's competitive positioning and open-ended growth opportunity, and despite recent history showing us that investors have been rewarded for buying richly valued SaaS companies, we were inclined to wait for a better entry point. Today's 7% pullback after a rough first two quarters got us to ask ourselves....is now that entry point?This analysis tests our Working Thesis and evaluates how Slack's Key Questions and Thesis Threats have evolved over its last two quarters. As a reminder, the one page up front summary is meant to be used by investors as a road map to evaluate Slack's progress over its first few quarters.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

The S&amp;P 500 has paused just below logical resistance at the downtrend, and we believe the equity market is in wait-and-see mode for incremental information on a variety of issues including trade talks, Fed action and earnings.  Meanwhile, We are upgrading equal-weighted Technology to overweight. Our equal-weighted Tech Sector has surged to the top of our RSR ranks due to broad-based strength in semiconductors last week. Solar stocks are another Group that is emerging as leadership. In today’s report we highlight attractive small-cap Technology stocks, as well as selection of key stocks (MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, V, NFLX, and ADBE) and subsectors (semis, biotech, and homebuilders) which are all up against logical price resistance.

The S&amp;P 500 has paused just below logical resistance at the downtrend, and we believe the equity market is in wait-and-see mode for incremental information on a variety of issues including trade talks, Fed action and earnings.  Meanwhile, We are upgrading equal-weighted Technology to overweight. Our equal-weighted Tech Sector has surged to the top of our RSR ranks due to broad-based strength in semiconductors last week. Solar stocks are another Group that is emerging as leadership. In today’s report we highlight attractive small-cap Technology stocks, as well as selection of key stocks (MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, V, NFLX, and ADBE) and subsectors (semis, biotech, and homebuilders) which are all up against logical price resistance.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Market in Wait-And-See Mode; Upgrading Tech

<ul><li>We believe the intraday low of 2,532.69 made by the S&amp;P 500 on 2/9/18 marked an important short-term bottom within the long-term advance. We continue to see this low and  the 200-day moving average as critical support levels should there be a retest. After a quick recovery from these lows, the S&amp;P 500 has paused near the 50-day moving average, a logical resting area as the market determines its next move. </li><li>In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable groups within Technology, all relating to software and the attractiveness of dependable recurring revenues: Software; Enterprise Applications, E-Commerce, Education, and Customer Relationship Mgt. (CRM).</li></ul>

We believe the intraday low of 2,532.69 made by the S&amp;P 500 on 2/9/18 marked an important short-term bottom within the long-term advance. We continue to see this low and  the 200-day moving average as critical support levels should there be a retest. After a quick recovery from these lows, the S&amp;P 500 has paused near the 50-day moving average, a logical resting area as the market determines its next move. In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable groups within Technology, all relating to software and the attractiveness of dependable recurring revenues: Software; Enterprise Applications, E-Commerce, Education, and Customer Relationship Mgt. (CRM).

United States

HubSpot, Inc. provides a cloud-based marketing and sales software platform. The Company offers integrated applications that helps in lead generation and social marketing.

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Hubspot Inc (HUBS US)

Slack: A Case Study Followup

In light of the recent leg down in growth software, we thought it timely to do a followup to our Slack Technologies Inc (WORK US) case study from...

Aaron Gabin

U.S. Equity Strategy: Market in Wait-And-See Mode; Upgrading Tech

The S&P 500 has paused just below logical resistance at the downtrend, and we believe the equity market is in wait-and-see mode for incremental...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy

We believe the intraday low of 2,532.69 made by the S&P 500 on 2/9/18 marked an important short-term bottom within the long-term advance. We...

Vermilion Research

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