Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng Indexes announces changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a>, HSIII Index and HSCI Index (among others) post market close today. </li>
<li>The net round-trip trade across the stocks is estimated to be HK$35bn (US$4.5bn) with big impact in a lot of stocks.</li>
<li>Capping will lead to most inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> while the largest outflows will be from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Hang Seng Indexes announces changes to the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, Hang Seng TECH Index, HSIII Index and HSCI Index (among others) post market close today. 
The net round-trip trade across the stocks is estimated to be HK$35bn (US$4.5bn) with big impact in a lot of stocks.
Capping will lead to most inflows to Meituan (3690 HK) while the largest outflows will be from Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) and Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK). 


Hang Seng Indexes: Announcement Today; Updated Flows (Some Big Ones)

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, DZT Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for the month ended Apr 30th.</li>
<li>We estimate that the net southbound flows in April were $5.6bn Inflows.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, stake changes, and holdings, and highlight flows for China Mobile, CCB, Pop Mart Intl, ICBC, Yofc.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for the month ended Apr 30th.
We estimate that the net southbound flows in April were $5.6bn Inflows.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, stake changes, and holdings, and highlight flows for China Mobile, CCB, Pop Mart Intl, ICBC, Yofc.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (April): $5.6bn Inflows

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng Indexes announced the latest Hang Seng Family / HSCI review results after market close on Feb 13</li>
<li>We reviewed the Sep 2025 HK Connect round to guide positioning for the upcoming adjustment.</li>
<li>We highlight the most actionable patterns from the Sep 2025 episode.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng Indexes announced the latest Hang Seng Family / HSCI review results after market close on Feb 13
We reviewed the Sep 2025 HK Connect round to guide positioning for the upcoming adjustment.
We highlight the most actionable patterns from the Sep 2025 episode.


HSCI / HK Connect Inclusion (Mar 2026): Lessons from a Sep 2025 Retrospective Event Study

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Yangtuo Technology Inc. / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Yangtuo’s business model is B2B2C, targeting lower-tier market, but the consumption upgrade in lower-tier market lags behind, which will affect the sales of high-margin products and require more marketing/promotion investment.</li>
<li>Yangtuo decides to shift from digital marketplace business to self-operated business, but such strategic adjustments may force Yangtuo to abandon the light-asset model and turn to heavy-asset model.</li>
<li>Overall performance and key operating metrics have shown a downward trend. Continuous decline in profit margins is expected. Valuation of Yangtuo should be lower than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kidswant-children-products-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34640:1" rel="noopener">Kidswant Children Products (301078 CH)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Yangtuo’s business model is B2B2C, targeting lower-tier market, but the consumption upgrade in lower-tier market lags behind, which will affect the sales of high-margin products and require more marketing/promotion investment.
Yangtuo decides to shift from digital marketplace business to self-operated business, but such strategic adjustments may force Yangtuo to abandon the light-asset model and turn to heavy-asset model.
Overall performance and key operating metrics have shown a downward trend. Continuous decline in profit margins is expected. Valuation of Yangtuo should be lower than Kidswant Children Products (301078 CH).


Pre-IPO Yangtuo Technology - The Business Model And Strategic Adjustments Will Not Work

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 3rd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile, CCB.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 3rd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile, CCB.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 3rd): Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile

China

Huitongda Network is a China-based company primarily engaged in supply chain retail, focusing on lower-tier cities and rural areas. It sells a wide range of merchandise and offers intelligent business and marketing subscription services, including SaaS+ solutions and merchant solutions. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Nanjing, China.

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Huitongda Network (9878 HK)

Hang Seng Indexes: Announcement Today; Updated Flows (Some Big Ones)

Hang Seng Indexes announces post market close today. There will be changes for the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII and HSCI indices. The net round-trip...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows (April): $5.6bn Inflows

We estimate inflows to be $5.6bn from mainland investors to HK stocks in April. We highlight flows for China Mobile, CCB, Pop Mart Intl, ICBC, Yofc.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI / HK Connect Inclusion (Mar 2026): Lessons from a Sep 2025 Retrospective Event Study

A retrospective study of the Sep 2025 HK Connect event reveals where the alpha sat, when mean reversion kicks in, and how Connect inflows and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pre-IPO Yangtuo Technology - The Business Model And Strategic Adjustments Will Not Work

Yangtuo faces challenges in lower-tier market consumption upgrade.Shifts to self-operated business may lead to heavier asset investment.Declining...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 3rd): Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hang Seng Indexes: Announcement Today; Updated Flows (Some Big Ones)

Hang Seng Indexes announces post market close today. There will be changes for the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII and HSCI indices. The net round-trip...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows (April): $5.6bn Inflows

We estimate inflows to be $5.6bn from mainland investors to HK stocks in April. We highlight flows for China Mobile, CCB, Pop Mart Intl, ICBC, Yofc.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI / HK Connect Inclusion (Mar 2026): Lessons from a Sep 2025 Retrospective Event Study

A retrospective study of the Sep 2025 HK Connect event reveals where the alpha sat, when mean reversion kicks in, and how Connect inflows and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pre-IPO Yangtuo Technology - The Business Model And Strategic Adjustments Will Not Work

​Yangtuo faces challenges in lower-tier market consumption upgrade.Shifts to self-operated business may lead to heavier asset investment.Declining...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 3rd): Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yangtuo faces challenges in lower-tier market consumption upgrade.Shifts to self-operated business may lead to heavier asset investment.Declining...