Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hugel-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22860:1" rel="noopener">Hugel Inc (145020 KS)</a> is expected to start shipment of Botulax to China this month. Moreover, the company will launch its HA filler in China by middle of 2023.</li>
<li>Hugel plans to focus on expanding into the global market in 2H23. The company began full-scale sales of Botulax in Australia in April and plans to enter Canada this year.</li>
<li>Preliminary ruling regarding legal dispute in US is expected in November, while final ruling will come in March 2024. Hugel pushed back its US entry to 2025.  </li>
</ul>



Hugel Inc (145020 KS) is expected to start shipment of Botulax to China this month. Moreover, the company will launch its HA filler in China by middle of 2023.
Hugel plans to focus on expanding into the global market in 2H23. The company began full-scale sales of Botulax in Australia in April and plans to enter Canada this year.
Preliminary ruling regarding legal dispute in US is expected in November, while final ruling will come in March 2024. Hugel pushed back its US entry to 2025.  


Hugel Inc (145020 KS): Expanding Global Presence Provides Solace Amid Patent Tussle with Competitor

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea Exchange announced the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 indices constituents changes today. </li>
<li>Kum Yang (001570 KS) and Cosmochemical (005420 KS) were included in the KOSPI 200. Dongwon Industries (006040 KS) and Hwaseung Enterprise (241590 KS) were excluded in KOSPI 200 index.</li>
<li>We expect continued underperformance of Kumyang and Cosmo Chemical as many investors will now start to sell these stocks based on <em>"buy on rumor, sell on news"</em> strategy.</li>
</ul>


Korea Exchange announced the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 indices constituents changes today. 
Kum Yang (001570 KS) and Cosmochemical (005420 KS) were included in the KOSPI 200. Dongwon Industries (006040 KS) and Hwaseung Enterprise (241590 KS) were excluded in KOSPI 200 index.
We expect continued underperformance of Kumyang and Cosmo Chemical as many investors will now start to sell these stocks based on "buy on rumor, sell on news" strategy.


Trading Strategy Post KRX Rebalance Announcement of KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150

<ul>
<li>During 2022, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bnc-korea-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34785:1" rel="noopener">BNC Korea (256840 KS)</a> reported gross profit margin of 48.3%, lower than 51.9% reported in 2021, as increasing competition is leading to price erosion of botulinum toxin products.</li>
<li>In March 2023, prosecutors have indicted BNC Korea for allegedly selling botulinum toxin injections to exporters without the approval of the MFDS from December 2015 to December 2021.</li>
<li>With the pandemic on a downward trend for more than a year now, we are skeptical about BNC Korea’s in-licensed COVID-19 drug candidate for a milestone payment of $15M.</li>
</ul>


During 2022, BNC Korea (256840 KS) reported gross profit margin of 48.3%, lower than 51.9% reported in 2021, as increasing competition is leading to price erosion of botulinum toxin products.
In March 2023, prosecutors have indicted BNC Korea for allegedly selling botulinum toxin injections to exporters without the approval of the MFDS from December 2015 to December 2021.
With the pandemic on a downward trend for more than a year now, we are skeptical about BNC Korea’s in-licensed COVID-19 drug candidate for a milestone payment of $15M.


BNC Korea (256840 KS): Margin Pressure; Base Business Faces Regulatory Risk; COVID Drug in Doldrum

Yungjin Pharmaceutical Co / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yungjin-pharmaceutical-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9781:1" rel="noopener">Yungjin Pharmaceutical Co (003520 KS)</a> earns 15% of total revenue from exports. The company mainly exports antibiotic product cephalosporins to Japan.</li>
<li>Yungjin’s export income declined 47% y/y in 2021 due to COVID. With Japan’s policy of reducing the usage of antibiotics, we are not upbeat on the recovery of this business.  </li>
<li>Yungjin’s outlicensed new drug candidate completed only phase 1 trial. If the candidate successfully completes later stages of trials, it is expected to be marketed only in 2024.</li>
</ul>



Yungjin Pharmaceutical Co (003520 KS) earns 15% of total revenue from exports. The company mainly exports antibiotic product cephalosporins to Japan.
Yungjin’s export income declined 47% y/y in 2021 due to COVID. With Japan’s policy of reducing the usage of antibiotics, we are not upbeat on the recovery of this business.  
Yungjin’s outlicensed new drug candidate completed only phase 1 trial. If the candidate successfully completes later stages of trials, it is expected to be marketed only in 2024.


Yungjin Pharm (003520 KS): Antibiotic Business on a Jeopardy; Long Way to Go Before New Drug Launch

South Korea

Huons Co., Ltd. manufactures pharmaceutical products. The Company produces medical drugs in the fields of nervous system, sensory organs, anti-histamines, circulatory system, respiratory system, digestive system, metabolic agents and hormones.

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Huons (243070 KS)

Hugel Inc (145020 KS): Expanding Global Presence Provides Solace Amid Patent Tussle with Competitor

Hugel is expected to resume shipment of Botulax to China this month and will enter Canada and some European markets this year. The company is in...

Tina Banerjee

Trading Strategy Post KRX Rebalance Announcement of KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150

Korea Exchange announced the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 indices constituents changes today. We expect continued underperformance of Kumyang and Cosmo...

Douglas Kim

BNC Korea (256840 KS): Margin Pressure; Base Business Faces Regulatory Risk; COVID Drug in Doldrum

We remain bearish on BNC Korea due to regulatory overhang on its base business, competitive pressure in BTX industry, and exposure to Russia & CIS...

Tina Banerjee

Yungjin Pharm (003520 KS): Antibiotic Business on a Jeopardy; Long Way to Go Before New Drug Launch

Yungjin’s export revenue is declining due to weak demand of antibiotics in Japan. The company reported operating loss in 2021. New drug launch is...

Tina Banerjee

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