Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US listed China companies.</li>
<li>The Hong Kong visit was on the back of the 26th Aug 2022 announcement by PCAOB and CSRC that they had entered into an agreement with US authorities for access.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments, possible outcomes and implications.</li>
</ul>


PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US listed China companies.
The Hong Kong visit was on the back of the 26th Aug 2022 announcement by PCAOB and CSRC that they had entered into an agreement with US authorities for access.
In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments, possible outcomes and implications.


China ADRs Delisting - Friday Could Be Judgment Day for over US$800bn Mcap of Stocks

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The PCAOB has not, despite a cooperation agreement with the CSRC signed in 2013, been able to conduct on-site investigations of a HK or mainland-based company since 2010.</li>
<li>On Friday, the CSRC published a new Strengthening Confidentiality and File Management Related to Overseas Issuance to replace 2009 rules. </li>
<li>Importantly, the revised Provisions deletes the stipulation that “on-site inspections shall be dominated by domestic regulators or depend on the conclusions of inspections by domestic regulators.” Will it be enough?</li>
</ul>


The PCAOB has not, despite a cooperation agreement with the CSRC signed in 2013, been able to conduct on-site investigations of a HK or mainland-based company since 2010.
On Friday, the CSRC published a new Strengthening Confidentiality and File Management Related to Overseas Issuance to replace 2009 rules. 
Importantly, the revised Provisions deletes the stipulation that “on-site inspections shall be dominated by domestic regulators or depend on the conclusions of inspections by domestic regulators.” Will it be enough?


New CSRC "Provisions" Take a Step Towards Meeting PCAOB Requirements

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>HCM’s consolidated revenues from oncology/immunology increased 294% YoY to US$359mn in 1H23, mainly driven by the US$259mn income recognition related to the total US$400mn upfront payment received from Takeda.</li><li>The in-market product sales increased 16% YoY (25% at CER) to US$101mn in 1H23, among which sales of fruquintinib increased 12% YoY (20% at CER) to US$56mn, maintaining leadership in patient share (47%) in 3L CRC in China.</li><li>Surufatinib’s in-market sales in 1H23 increased 66% YoY (79% at CER) to US$23mn, driven by increase in DoT and additional hospital listings. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

HCM’s consolidated revenues from oncology/immunology increased 294% YoY to US$359mn in 1H23, mainly driven by the US$259mn income recognition related to the total US$400mn upfront payment received from Takeda.The in-market product sales increased 16% YoY (25% at CER) to US$101mn in 1H23, among which sales of fruquintinib increased 12% YoY (20% at CER) to US$56mn, maintaining leadership in patient share (47%) in 3L CRC in China.Surufatinib’s in-market sales in 1H23 increased 66% YoY (79% at CER) to US$23mn, driven by increase in DoT and additional hospital listings. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hutchmed (13 HK) – Eyes on the FDA Approval of Fruquintinib in Nov

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>HUTCHMED has been a company that is easily overlooked by investors. However, its BD capabilities have been verified after the deal with Takeda, and its commercialization performance is also commendable.</li>
<li>Based on our forecast, total oncology/immunology consolidated revenue in 2023 could reach about US$220 million. If product sales growth remains benign, together with good cost control on R&amp;D/SG&amp;A, eventual breakeven is reachable.</li>
<li>However, based on the current development trend, HUTCHMED could have to remain at the stage of a biotech, and is difficult to become a biopharma. Investors should be aware of this.</li>
</ul>


HUTCHMED has been a company that is easily overlooked by investors. However, its BD capabilities have been verified after the deal with Takeda, and its commercialization performance is also commendable.
Based on our forecast, total oncology/immunology consolidated revenue in 2023 could reach about US$220 million. If product sales growth remains benign, together with good cost control on R&amp;D/SG&amp;A, eventual breakeven is reachable.
However, based on the current development trend, HUTCHMED could have to remain at the stage of a biotech, and is difficult to become a biopharma. Investors should be aware of this.


Hutchmed China Ltd (13.HK/HCM.US)- Stronger than Expected and Deserves More Attention from Investors

Hutchison China MediTech Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>HUTCHMED’s 23H1 results were in line with expectation. We updated our forecast for the three core products. Its 2023 total revenue would achieve a high double-digit growth. HUTCHMED is undervalued. </li>
<li>Performance prospects for 2024 and beyond largely depend on whether fruquintinib can smoothly obtain FDA approval in 2023, which means significant progress in internationalization and possibility of breakeven in 2025.</li>
<li>Based on the performance so far, we think the clarity of HUTCHMED’s performance is high and the guidance given by management is reliable. The Company deserves more attention from investors.</li>
</ul>


HUTCHMED’s 23H1 results were in line with expectation. We updated our forecast for the three core products. Its 2023 total revenue would achieve a high double-digit growth. HUTCHMED is undervalued. 
Performance prospects for 2024 and beyond largely depend on whether fruquintinib can smoothly obtain FDA approval in 2023, which means significant progress in internationalization and possibility of breakeven in 2025.
Based on the performance so far, we think the clarity of HUTCHMED’s performance is high and the guidance given by management is reliable. The Company deserves more attention from investors.


Hutchmed China Ltd (13.HK/​HCM.US) 23H1 - This Company Is Becoming More Attractive

Hong Kong

HUTCHMED (China) Limited develops, manufactures, and sells pharmaceutical products. The Company offers drugs for oncology and autoimmune diseases treatment. HUTCHMED (China) markets its products worldwide.

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Hutchmed China Ltd (13 HK)

China ADRs Delisting - Friday Could Be Judgment Day for over US$800bn Mcap of Stocks

PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US...

Sumeet Singh

New CSRC "Provisions" Take a Step Towards Meeting PCAOB Requirements

CSRC has published new Provisions putting the onus of info management on companies, making it easier for the PCAOB to conduct on-site audits. It...

Travis Lundy

Hutchmed (13 HK) – Eyes on the FDA Approval of Fruquintinib in Nov

HCM’s consolidated revenues from oncology/immunology increased 294% YoY to US$359mn in 1H23, mainly driven by the US$259mn income recognition

CMB International