Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We estimate the outflows to be $12.8bn in August and consumer staples, and financials sectors led the outflows.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Wuxi Wapptec, Fuyao Glass, Foxconn Industrial, CMB, Wuliangye, Mindray, Moutai, Longi Green.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
We estimate the outflows to be $12.8bn in August and consumer staples, and financials sectors led the outflows.
We highlight flows for CATL, Wuxi Wapptec, Fuyao Glass, Foxconn Industrial, CMB, Wuliangye, Mindray, Moutai, Longi Green.


Northbound Flows Monthly (August): $12.8bn Outflows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSCI rebalances will take place at the close on 4 September since the market was closed on 1 September due to Typhoon Saola.</li>
<li>There will be a few announcements next week with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a> early in the week and the MVIS series post close on Friday. Plus the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a> rebalances on Friday.</li>
<li>Another week of huge inflows into mainland China ETFs focused on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI Smallcap 500 Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


The HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSCI rebalances will take place at the close on 4 September since the market was closed on 1 September due to Typhoon Saola.
There will be a few announcements next week with Nikkei 225 early in the week and the MVIS series post close on Friday. Plus the STAR50 rebalances on Friday.
Another week of huge inflows into mainland China ETFs focused on the CSI 300 Index, STAR50 INDEX and CSI Smallcap 500 Index.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50, KOSPI200, Hang Seng, MVIS, AMFI, Jio, China ETF

<ul>
<li>As expected, the index committee has used a 6-month minimum listing history and that results in two changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> in September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/piotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36698:1" rel="noopener">Piotech (688072 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwatsing-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36700:1" rel="noopener">Hwatsing Technology (688120 CH)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzhou-nanomicro-technology-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33272:1" rel="noopener">Suzhou Nanomicro Technology (688690 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhuhai-cosmx-battery-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34667:1" rel="noopener">Zhuhai CosMX Battery (688772 CH)</a> in the index.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 2.83% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,562m. There does not appear to be a lot of pre-positioning on the stocks.</li>
</ul>


As expected, the index committee has used a 6-month minimum listing history and that results in two changes to the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) in September.

Piotech (688072 CH) and Hwatsing Technology (688120 CH) will replace Suzhou Nanomicro Technology (688690 CH) and Zhuhai CosMX Battery (688772 CH) in the index.
One-Way turnover is estimated at 2.83% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,562m. There does not appear to be a lot of pre-positioning on the stocks.


STAR50 Index Rebalance: Two Changes; Pre-Positioning Appears Light

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends today. The changes could be announced on 25 August with the implementation taking place after the close on 8 September.</li>
<li>The upcoming launch of the STAR100 Index could result in the index committee continuing to use a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in two changes to the index.</li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 2.3% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 2,658m. The impact on the deletions will be much larger than that on the inclusions.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance ends today. The changes could be announced on 25 August with the implementation taking place after the close on 8 September.
The upcoming launch of the STAR100 Index could result in the index committee continuing to use a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in two changes to the index.
One way turnover is estimated at 2.3% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 2,658m. The impact on the deletions will be much larger than that on the inclusions.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes Playing Catchup

<ul>
<li>The review period for a bunch of indices ended early last week and the announcement of the changes will be made in the next few weeks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hydro-lithium-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8293:1" rel="noopener">Hydro Lithium (101670 KS)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nice-information-service-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20236:1" rel="noopener">Nice Information Service Co (030190 KS)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY)</a> at the close on Monday.</li>
<li>There have been big net inflows into China focused ETFs and outflows from Taiwan focused ETFs during the week.</li>
</ul>


The review period for a bunch of indices ended early last week and the announcement of the changes will be made in the next few weeks.

Hydro Lithium (101670 KS) will replace Nice Information Service Co (030190 KS) in the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY) at the close on Monday.
There have been big net inflows into China focused ETFs and outflows from Taiwan focused ETFs during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, STAR50, NIFTY NEXT50, SF Holding

China

Hwatsing Technology Co., Ltd. operates as a semiconductor equipment manufacturer. The Company produces and sells chemical mechanical polishing equipment, grinding equipment, and other products. Hwatsing Technology markets its products throughout China.

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Hwatsing Technology (688120 CH)

Northbound Flows Monthly (August): $12.8bn Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for August and highlight flows for CATL, Wuxi Wapptec, Fuyao Glass, Foxconn Industrial, CMB,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50, KOSPI200, Hang Seng, MVIS, AMFI, Jio, China ETF

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance: Two Changes; Pre-Positioning Appears Light

There are 2 changes for the STAR50 in Sep. The adds/dels were expected and there has been big outperformance over the last few weeks. But,...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes Playing Catchup

Changes will be announced after market close today. The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes by over 10% since the end of the...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, STAR50, NIFTY NEXT50, SF Holding

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

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